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Nikki Stern

Nikki Stern
Location
Princeton, New Jersey, USA
Birthday
April 10
Title
whatever sounds good
Company
Sure, come on in
Bio
Author of "Because I Say So: The Dangerous Appeal of Moral Authority" (www.nikkistern.com) and "Hope in Small Doses" to be released June 1, 2010 by Humanist Press.

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NOVEMBER 4, 2010 4:28PM

Palin-Rubio in 2012

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 T

hink about it. Maybe you don't want to. But you'd better, because it's not too soon and it  doesn't seem so far-fetched.  

Last week's New York Magazine painted a provocative scenario in which Sarah Palin is elected President in 2012: the billionaire mayor Michael Bloomberg throws his hat into the ring, bypassing bothersome conventions and building a credible campaign as an independent. Being a northeast, big-city, pro-gay rights, pro-abortion, pro-gun control kind of independent, however, he siphons votes away only from  a battered Democratic incumbent, leaving the field open to the Republican challenger. Mitt Romney? Maybe not. "In a normal presidential cycle," writes political analyst John Heilemann, "Romney would be the clear Republican front-runner." But these are not normal times; they are so strange, in fact, as to make what once seemed impossible possible.

Heilermann took his share of hits from Washington pundits, some of whom chided him for far-fetched fantasies. After all, Ms. Palin, while enjoying the spotlight, especially as it combines with those big speaking fees, may come to realize that the day to day grind of a 5 to 9 (AM to PM) office job isn't much fun at all. She hasn't evinced a whole lot of interest in the details of government or policy or even geography for that matter. She walked away from office once before; she's no darling of the Republican establishment and a recent poll  shows fewer than 30% see her as qualified to actually serve as President. 

Not so fast, friends. Let's say Sarah the Barracuda (or grizzly or whatever dang animal she represents lately) can't resist the siren song of candidacy for the highest office. Imagine she reaches diagonally across the country to tap an up and comer, a charismatic, politically astute, Hispanic with Republican establishment cred. Imagine, in other words, she selects as a running mate someone who's recently been dubbed "The Great Right Hope": Senator-elect Marco Rubio. 

Are you tuning in now?

Last summer, Rubio graced the cover of The National Reviewthe handsome young contender seemed to preside over the headline, "Yes, He Can." The cover became a campaign sign; now some are wondering just how far the newly-elected Florida Senator can go.

Rubio isn't perfect;  his rock-solid conservative values have wobbled a bit when it comes to issues like immigration. But his is a story of the American dream fulfilled: how hard work and due diligence plus good looks can pay off.

Laugh if you dare. But keep your eyes on not only the fundraiser, pundit, media star, and mother of a teen activist turned dance competitor, but also on the man from Florida. You might see a new bumper sticker faster than you can say "Marco--Palin."

Of course it'd be the other way around, although you never know. There once was a freshman Senator named Barack... 

 

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nothing is far-fetched
Oh I think this is almost certainly what will happen. r.
Can everyone say, "Alasssska!" I hope you are wrong. Let me see here--5 different college enrollments and a bachelor's degree in sports and radio-television journalism from that tier-four bastion of academia, the University of Idaho - Moscow.
This whole scenario scares me to death.
There are so many yahoos out there that are so gullible.
rated with hugs
There is a certain very scary logic to it. If she selects a wing nut like herself (like O'Donnell or Angle), she goes down in flames. But Rubio is just sane enough to make her electable.

But...if Obama has no serious competition, factor in cross-over voters in the primaries. Aye, there's the rub. Do I vote Palin in the hope that she's not electable, or someone like Romney, out of fear Obama will lose and Romney is the lesser of two evils?

Thanks...now I have to ponder this for two years!
Oh great - something else to think about!
Marco-Polo - great game.
Sarah the Barracuda (or grizzly or whatever dang animal she represents lately)

You left out lipstick-wearing pitbull, but I agree, it's hard to keep track of which animal Sarah thinks she is. Though I can see Rubio on the GOP ticket in 2012, I think Ms. Palin has pretty much peaked as a person of real influence with the establishment (as opposed to Tea Party) Right. I may be wrong about that; it's entirely possible the Tea Party will continue to grow in power, though in all honesty the movement has never been anything but a way of giving a grassroots feel to the usual Republican corporatist agenda.
Nikki, Halloween is over! (I'll admit I have dark dreams like this too.)
Not far fetched at all, and Rubio is very telegenic. Hopefully Bloomberg, or any viable 3rd party individual will have better sense. And Palin will still get crushed at the top of any ticket. She can't win a debate. Rubio is quite another matter.
I already weighed in on Gwool's election post that I think Bloomberg will run and change the race -- but exactly how remains the question.

I think the economy is as always the ultimate issue. If things are decidedly better in 2 years, the Reps will have a lot more trouble getting any traction. If they are the same or worse, anything can happen. In the latter case, it may be lucky for the Dems that the Reps got control of Congress in this session, to spread the blame. Otherwise, 2012 would be a massacre for them that would make this look like a paper cut.
What nanatehay said.

But what if Bill Beck and you are correct...that it could happen. How ticked off would people get? Would that mobilize the masses? Or would she be so utterly ridiculous in debate situations that we would all get lulled into complacency at her inanities and miss a groundswell of support for Rubio that could push the ticket?
Scary to ponder. If you liked the 2010 elections you're going to love the next two years.
Certainly possible, but from one Jerseyan to another, don't you think our Governor is going to be in the mix?
Palin-Rubio...colonoscopies and root canals...it's all the same to me!
Nelle Engoron,

Sadly, we dont have 2 years for things to start looking better. We only have about one year. The campaigns will be in full stride within a year, and the talking points will have been repeated enough that they are considered established fact by the beginning of 2012. That is 13 months away.

It gets worse, if Krugman is correct, we are entering something like 1937 economically. Austerity measures by government will cause a downturn in the economy. This will accomplish two things. It will validate Keynesian theory again, although only the choir will notice it, and Main Street will be hurting enough to elect a business friendly fascist.
Rubio is an embarrassment- this is Senatorial timber? A Flyweight. Fidel is laughing his pinko eyes out, "Look what I hath wrought!"

The unlikely scenario you propose would take the US Empire's decline, and like Theodosius before her, complete the fall. Perhaps in a millennia Palin will be our Cleopatra, remembered for her desperate, yet fatal, bid to hold on to power.
I dont think Palin will run but she will have this odd power of anointing someone. Geez. I was thinking Ron Paul. But Rubio sounds like a new force to be reckoned with.
You don't have to be smart to make some people love you, just a tad smarter than they are.
If you're really smart the same people will hate you.
Palin and Rubio are the bright spots on the very dark Republican horizon right now.
They're not smart but they are smarter than....
Zanelle,

Ron Paul is 75 now. He will be 77 by election day in 2012. Perhaps you meant Rand Paul.

Marco Rubio is 39. He'll be 41 on election day. Palin will be about 48. We could have to deal with them for the next 4 or 5 presidential election cycles.

Mitt Romney is 60, so he's good for perhaps two more election cycles. Bloomberg is about 67 now. This might be his last chance, which makes this theory that much more frightening.
I believe the newly minted Congress will shut down the Government at least once in 2011 and either through their action or inaction the the economy will have tanked once again. At that point the electorate will be more in-touch with their inner progressive and the Republican candidate, whoever they are, will have the same chance to win the presidency as a love child from Bob Dole and John McCain.
I saw a SarahPalinPac video on CNN tonight that was as slick as any I have seen. She looks almost presidential if you didn't already know she was such a spaz. I don't think stranger things have happened, but they could!
Please let me leave Florida behind before this actually happens. GAH!
No way. The Tea Party will be gone in 2 years. By 2012, when voters' short term memories are gone, they'll be nostalgiac for the "good times" we had under W. and elect Jeb. This Palin-Rubio punditry is your typical post-election nonsense.
Nikki, great analysis here but I am going with my prediction that Sarah Palin will join up with Arizona Representative Jeff Flake. Palin-Flake 2012 it has a rather nice ring to it . . .
I read all the comments to make sure I was not saying anything unoriginal. I love trilogy's Marco Polo, and agree with LC about Canada....If all this wasn't so possible and real, it would truly be funny. Since it is so close to the last election, I am up for funny. When Palin came on the scene as a provocateur, I christened her Bailin Palin for leaving her post as governor. I thought that would sap any of her bogus credibility away. Boy, was I wrong. Then I thought she would be really giving the kiss of death to anyone in the Republican party, and now we see just how wrong I was about that. So, I think whatever scenarios you all think up here, we could be in for some more of her influence, spells, witchcraft, whatever you want to call it. It is going to be tough but I think we need to really think about how we can accept something like this happening to our country. Do we really sit back and elect Marco Polo or do we work to really prevent her from getting any kind of power. MMm how could that be done?
Ohhh Nikki, I've already had a week full of loss and sadness and now this :) I know you're just the messenger, but you have spoken my worst nightmare. I was just thinking today, after hearing Palin's little pep rally commercial on the radio that she may just pull it off...at least a nomination if nothing more. How depressing would that be? And this Rubio guy is straight out of central casting. The Rebublican wet dream- a handsome, young Cuban-American with conservative cred. Wake me when it's over.
I would love to see the ex-governor get the Republican nomination. Even the honcho's of the GOP (I think it was Karl Rove himself) have said that President Obama would "crush her."
the quality of the candidates must either reflect the the importance of the office, or the inability of the electorate to get a useful result from the ballot.

ordinary americans are so disconnected from their political masters that they can not make meaningful decisions. so anyone can win, and anyone is vying for a vote. hell of a way to run a nation.
I do think that Rubio is almost a lock to be the VP nominee in 2012... not so sure about Mrs. Palin. Great post!
If Palin is considering a run, you can bet she'll be rehearsed and scripted out the ying-yang before any debate takes place. And if the debates follow along the lines of previous debates, they won't exactly be measured (or even conducted) in a manner that allows for (or rewards) in-depth analysis. They'll be scheduled opposite dancing with or skating with or singing with some faux stars; the viewing audience will be low. The next day, people will turn to whichever media outlet they trust most (or hate least) to deliver a slanted analysis with which they already agree.

In the age of "media-ization" (can you tell I made that word up?), those who can attract free coverage while raising the necessary money for supplemental coverage can do wildly well. I can't help but think money will flow to a young female-Hispanic ticket and there won't be much room for the old white male Republican establishment to maneuver.
One real fear -- someone like Bloomberg coming in would almost assure whoever the Repubs put out there will be viable. Short of that, to quote our past pres...."Bring her on".... He might but why would Rubio want a demotion from Messiah to VP -- I suspect he is more ambitious than being Palin or Romney's foil...but who knows...
I don't relish the idea of Sarah "dinosaurs were alive 6000 years ago" Palin being President...but Paul/Rubio...or Rubio/Paul? I can get behind that...
Gawd, Nikki. You've made me head-palm my head in despair. Couldn't you at least have given us a week before you posted this?
Would be a strong ticket but we have a really great "bench" to choose from so I'll wait and see.
You just gave me cold chills. It is sort of possible, I guess. I don't think Romney will ever be the Republican nominee. Too many of the right-wing Tea Party-type base believe that Mormons are cultists. To them, it'd be about like electing a Scientologist President.
Nope, not going to happen. Rubio is 39. In two years he will be 41. Not old enough to assume the presidency if something happened to Palin. Also, she would have to get someone in the party with more experience like Obama did with Biden. You would have 1 inexperienced idiot Governor that quit and a guy that is a neophyte in his political career. Palin will run, but get creamed by the establishment for doing so. The Republican's are going to have more problems in their own party than they will from Democrat's. I can't wait for them to start fighting in January.
Lordy, but I hope this grew out of something you ate, Nikki. Dyspepsia is bad, but it passes, they say. A nice restful sleep and all should be...EEEEEEEK, you're right!!!!!
The cockeyed optimist in me would like to think such a ticket could sound the death knell for a (R) ticket in '12.

The realist in me says "Yeah, that'd just about figure. I for one will be the first to welcome our sub-100-IQ overlords."
Jeez Nikki... aren't things bad enough, already? =o)

You know what really chaps my goat about Tuesday? It's knowing that somewhere, Sarah Palin and Glenn Beck are sickening pleased and pleased with themselves about this whole outcome.
Barf-O-Bits!
It's possible, sure -- but based on the evidence of the last two years, she would be a disaster as a candidate in the general election, and most of the candidates she endorsed would ride her coattails to defeat. And if she did win, she'd probably quit halfway through her term.

What she's doing now is a lot more lucrative and a lot easier than being president, governor or mayor of Wasilla. Why should she get off the gravy train?
A 2 year Governor and by that time a 2 year Senator. And I thought Obama lacked the experience.
It's fanciful but these days practically nothing is far-fetched. This scenario depends on Bloomberg running as an independent and I'm not sure how likely that it. But if the tea Partiers have already forgotten what a mess Bush made of it, and now want more of the same, anything's possible.
i don't think palin-rubio is at all far-fetched. both are physically attractive -- always a plus in a candidate -- and appealing to the voters who want someone "like me" (no experience, little knowledge of current events or history, no understanding of economic principles) and who don't hold candidates to a truth standard. i only quibble with the bloomberg as candidate under the fictional scenario. michael bloomberg would be a formidable candidate, but i don't think he would ever put himself in a position to be responsible for a win by sarah palin; he's a far better human being than that. good post, nikki. makes ya think!
I tuned in for the joke, but you make a reasonable case

I don't see Bloomberg willing and dumb enough to play spoiler for the benefit of Palin, but otherwise your points are well taken, and Obama may not need a third party challenge to lose, nothing much's going to get done in Washington for the next two years, and as the country sinks, the question is who'll get to the point the finger of blame, the Republican media noise machine and unlimited cash from corporations and rich individuals (read Wall Street fraudsters) have shown they can get the job done nicely, thank you

and as for Palin not wanting to work time-and-a-half, W showed that it doesn't have to be part of the job description, especially when there are lots of ambitious courtiers around to pick up the busy work
Rubio would be a big help in FL and with Latinos, but why would he soil himself running with Palin? I think he's waiting to run as VP on a ticket with his mentor, Jeb Bush in 2016. Of course, I won't be surprised if there are several third-party offerings in 2012.
Sarah Palin as GOP nominee: the next Christine O'Donnell.
Chilling possibility. As you say, the impossible seems distinctly possible.
It is not very far fetched, but I so far Bloomberg has been a reasonable enough person. I hope he stays this way and this scenario does not come true.
You're right Nikki, I don't see it out of the realm of possibilites at all. I earnestly believe that the GOP is in the mind-set to select runners as close to evolution's missing link as possible for ticket choices and they've proven my theory time and again:

Palin/anyone dumber than she is if that's possible (maybe O'Donnell)
McCain/Palin
King George II/Cheney
Dole/Kemp
King George I/Quayle
Regan/Bush
Ford/Dole
Nixon/Agnew

And the list goes on...........

Perhaps!! Just perhaps, it's the elite selecting those they find it easier to control. I'm certain it won't be long before Alvin Greene changes parties and wins the GOP nomination for Tennessee.
Actually, Jeb Bush is the one to keep your on . . .
Palin will be the VP, I'll put money on it -- or she'll not be on the ticket. She won't be at the top of the ticket, because she's unelectable there due to her very high negatives. I'm looking to a Haley Barbour-Sarah Palin ticket.
Sigh.

Palin's popularity numbers are utter rubbish. She couldn't win dog-catcher in Wasilla.

As for Rubio, he's at best a VP candidate in 2012. That gives us two years to ferret out whatever kinky sexual acts he secretly engages in.
"But keep your eyes on not only the fundraiser, pundit, media star, and mother of a teen activist turned dance competitor"

See ... that's the whole problem right there. It's all about image, not reality or ability. It probably started big time with JFK vs Nixon in the televised debates (leaving out, for the moment, all those dead people who voted in Chicago). It's become hugely worse since.

Marshall McLuhan, what're you doin'.....
Let me make one thing perfectly clear: this is not the outcome I want by any stretch of the imagination; it's the outcome I fear could be foisted upon an alternately fearful and inattentive public.
I don't dare laugh, but I wonder, if Sarah enjoys making money more than being in power. If your prophesy is true, we'll have the first Hispanic president by 2013, based on Sarah's ability to commit to any job.
Were you trying to give me a heart attack with that headline? You nearly succeeded. As far as Palin being on any ticket in 2012, whether it be for President or Vice, I would bet it's not gonna happen.

She's been very coy with the media keeping herself in the headlines by making idiotic statements such as "If there's no one else to do it, I would." She spoke of running for the highest office in the land as if she was talking about making a run to the grocery store. Sure, she has her followers, but not enough to elect her. She's also making way too much money to ever "sit in a stuffy office" as she reflected on her work as Governor of Alaska.

Trust me, if she made an announcement, it would only be to see if the underground would make her an offer not to run. And you can betcha, she'd get her asking price.
This is a no-brainer like everything that is tea party
...I need to befriend everyone north or south of our borders to be ready for this scenario. scary scary stuff. runs away screaming and muttering something about minimal IQ test requirements for candidates...rated for helping me feel the fear. xo ;}
NOOOOOOOOOOOOO, please God, no!!!!!!!!! r.
Rubio is telegenic, personable and seriously scary. Rubio-Palin isn't a crazy thought; it's a real possibility. Never forget that 47% of the voters wanted Sarah to be second in line after old man McCain last go-around.

Time to stop belittling Palin and figure out how to beat her.

For the record: Palin was a city council member, a twice elected mayor. She was elected president of the Alaska Conference of Mayors. She was a contender for Lt. governor, and chaired the Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Committee.

In high school, she headed the Fellowship of Christian Athletes; she was co-captain of a winning basketball team.

She didn't win the Miss Alaska contest, but was voted Miss Congeniality and awarded a college scholarship. After her sorted college experience, she was awarded a BA. She then went to work as a TV sportscaster and a sportswriter for a local paper.

Big mistake for us intellectuals to blow her off. Respect her abilities; attack her weaknesses, her inaccuracies. Treat her with respect and demand she act the same to our own political heros.

Rated; you're spot on.
You've nailed it, I think.
Anything can happen.
Ya never know what?
Who Ya write too.
`
NYC's Bloomberg gave $80 million to George Washington University.
I guess that is`
Benevolence`
Generosities`
Philanthropic`
+
Priest get canonized`
But, Popes die between`
Poor alter-boy `Thighs`
huh?
Pudding ain't Finger Food!
No unearth neo-Nazi Bones!
Toss thighs to Politico Boys!
`
dying pervert envisions self`
giggling in puddle-of-wines`
Sunday School teacher may`
hop in hell on a Pogo Stick!
Stinky?
Nikki Stern is Catholic girl?
How many impure thoughts`
Equal One "bad" pure smooch?
giggle.
I am querying 'One" pure idea?
When are Ya in DC to sign book?
Have Ya read the book Ya wrote?
`
I'd buy two or three if Ya in DC.
A old vet can pinch and dovetail.
I contemplate citizen bar arrest.
I regret Ya had a bad back. Oho.
Tell Ya doc Ya need vet massage?
Free.
Vet Day Special.
No buy mattress.
I hate Veteran Day.
Pillow Sales ETC.,
Mattress Discount?
Vet Warehouse huh?
Mattress Pillow Sale?
Behave.
You do.
Thanks.
far-fetch.
fetch date.
Vet kisses?
O, my tease!
Thanks, Nikki.
I'll buy Ya book.
or,
barter arugula?
Art, you are incorrigible, but as ever, delightful to read. Wish I could rate your comment.
you have certainly painted a vivid image of one possible future here. rated