My outlook for 2011 has taken on bulwark characteristics as I gird up to wade through another annual calendar. The same thought just keeps rolling across my mind, like the CNBC crawl.
Embrace what is ahead, and adjust your sights accordingly.
Economically, the last two generations which includes myself and my children, have fallen behind. Our economic machinery has stalled, our government is in trouble, and our world power status is declining as other countries are on the economic rise.
As a nation, we never had a birthright to success, although I don't think most of us believed that, but whatever upward spiral we were on is now unwinding, in complete unity with the Laws of Nature and Gravity - what goes up, comes down.
We are see-sawing on the age old dilemma of rise and fall, teetering back and forth on the shifting growth of economic productivity, and the exponential cost of armament and war. Military strength and economic strength are always inverse, as one either focuses on military might, draining economic strength, or we free up resources to be used for other 'goods' which increase national prosperity. It's an eternally delicate balance, and one we have been uniquely privileged to watch closely in the past 100 years as Russia, Britain, the US, Japan, and China have alternately built up, and dismantled, arms and economies in our collective lifetime histories over the past century.
Power balances are altering and shifting before our eyes, in accordance with the changing military and economic policies of nations. To paraphrase Bismarck, all world powers are "traveling on the stream of Time, which they can neither create or direct, but upon which they can steer with more, or less, skill and experience", and the outcome depends largely on the responses of governments as the international scene emerges and shifts, kaleidoscope style.
In a recent interview, Paul Kennedy, author of The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers, expressed his belief that our most urgent need is to determine what is beyond our reach, and to deal with those things that we still have some ability to influence, the things we have the power to change. Reversible problems include education, what we do with our national budget and with our technology. The rest, the irreversible stuff, leave it behind.
Simplistically speaking, Reinhold Niebur was right. Things will start looking better if we accept the things we can not change now, and have the collective intelligence to change the things we still can control, and figure out what the hell is the difference.
Otherwise, we're f*cked.
___________________
To those who take away 'abandon hope, all ye who enter here' from this post, read through the comments before making this assumption. It just ain't so, Spanky. Hopey New Year!


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Comments
rated with hugs
Best Wishes,
Blittie
HAPPY NEW YEAR!!! Rated!!!
I watched a pbs show on anglo saxon treasure, and they had jewelry that jewelers today could hardly imagine making without lasers. Where did that knowledge come from? Where did it go? Who were those people, there or any other lost civilization? Oh, we'll be there too someday.
well that hits home :/
I just ignore reality around me most days. It's pathetic, but my other option is to worry myself onto a psych ward.
Daughter left the country in Jan 2010 and moved to New Zealand. She's making 1/3 more salary now, but the taxes are painful. They go to support free education and health care for all NZed perm residents and citizens. She's working on residency!
None of us expect luxuries, just necessities. We dream, like everyone, but a comfortable life has been out of my reach for the past 5 years. It's been a horrific experience that has given me lessons in letting go... of just about everything. I'm trying to clear my head enough to keep going and to find a place where what I have to offer will be considered fair trade for what I need to live. I don't think anyone would argue we are heading down a road that is going to make that harder and harder to achieve. Yikes.
I tend toward natural optimism, although that has been at odds with the past several years of my life (but that's a whole bunch of other blogs for another time.) Still, I see things, people, government, etc. as cyclical and although I am disappointed, dismayed and discouraged about the current state of affairs in our country, I still hold out hope that things are not as dire as many are predicting.
Thought-provoking post, Abby. Well-done.
Rated.
♥
Military strength we have Abby. We have it at the expense of the general welfare of our populace. The power of the military industrial complex has been well documented and warned against.
I've said many times, "dot.com bubble" or not WE thrived in the late 90's. We as a country were robbed blind by the Bush Administration et.al who, to the delight of their MIC pals, unjustly invaded Iraq. We went from budget surplus and boom times to "Obama's deficit" and inherited economic meltdown.
You can erase my first comment Abby. \great piece.
Trig - I'm leaving that one up. Because. That's why.
Blittie, what can I say? hope you got some nice treats stored up for the coming year, I think it's going to be lean. (I don't know what to say to a cat, I struggle with that Tink fellow, too)
Rita, we do what we can, but I'm resolved not to be too resolute. ha.
Tink, ok. But it looks like you might be enjoying it a little too much.
OB - there is no doubt, and we seem to be greasing the skids.
Scanner, you old poet you. Thanks for coming by.
Julie, it's the one thing I can count on! Isn't that ridiculous?
Bo, just watch out it doesn't knock you in the head, buddy.
Joanie, sooo ferkakdeh (did I spell that right?)
I avoid CNN, CNBC and the like. I hope for the best but it's a complicated theory ...
I've gone back to school and now survive on food stamps, scholarships, Pell grants and student loans while trying to re-invent myself hoping to find a place to fit into the economic mix.
I remain both cautiously optimistic and skeptical of everything, depending on the time or day the question comes up.
I can't tell from day to day if going back to school will save me or light the fuse that eventually will cause me to live a cardboard existence.
I can tell you that I firmly believe the problems we face as a country are all solvable and if those problems are solved, we still have a chance to live above a third world level. What we can't continue to do is play the worlds terrorist police and not get help footing the bill. Borrowing money from China to fight these wars, while we do all the fighting and dying and they contribute nothing,
is pure bullsh*t.
Of course, that is only one of a thousand examples of how the system is broken. My worry isn't that solutions aren't available, it's that the asses we continue to elect will grow up fast enough to actually come together long enough to adopt the solutions and put them to action. Of that, I am quite concerned.
There is a predictable path that history follows (as Oryoki alluded to) and the nature of anything that rises, is that it falls. The terrifically well researched material in Kennedy's book identifies things that have an effect on the rising and falling. Economy is the key, and many factors affect that.
In our case, we have been dragged back into a war economy with an abundance of our resources being delivered to the cause of 'peace in the Middle East', I guess that's the story being told these days out of D.C.
As a result, we have less money being invested in the economy, and we have higher costs for daily commodities, such as gas and oil, associated with the diversion of resources to military efforts, etc. I believe we are out of balance and in order to prevent a complete topple of the ragged economy we have right now, we need to understand better how all of this works. Then talk about it. That's all.
I'm not a news watcher, I detest doom and gloom and days with the word 'Black' in front of them. I refuse to hand wring and fret. What good could possibly come of it? I'm a self confessed lazy thinker sometimes, and in lieu of dwelling on the negative, I've expressed here a need to focus on what I can personally do, for myself, to help me gird up myself against the storm since I really want to make it through in one piece. Having lived in Hurricane Alley for most of my life, I know that ignoring the storm warning is, well, just stoopid.
A head in the sand never saved the ostrich. He just didn't see it coming. Some folks may prefer that approach. I am having second thoughts and would like to do something to improve my outlook about the outcome.
Your last line says it all.
R
F'd...and not in a good way.
It's scary that our national public narrative is still stuck on "shining city on a hill" and all that delusional nonsense.