BobbyG's Blog

All I ever wanted to do was play guitar for a living

BobbyG

BobbyG
Location
Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Birthday
February 09
Title
All I ever wanted to do was play guitar for a living.
Company
bgladd.com
Bio
Quantitative analyst and writer, mostly. Primus inter pares Santa Fe fan, bookworm, statistician, SAS programmer, teacher, perpetual student, musician, songwriter, photographer, 2 guard (Mr. No-Hops, a.k.a. "old school"), skier, loyal husband, father, grandfather, friend. DISCLAIMER (06/25/09): Salon.com has chosen to force unsolicited advertising directly into our blog posts, without consent or warning. We have no say in the matter -- with respect to either ad content or placement, -- nor do we make any money from them. I in no way endorse what they pitch on my pages. You may be able to use AdBlock Plus to block such things.

MY RECENT POSTS

JUNE 5, 2009 12:08AM

VEGAS, THE NEXT ANASAZI RUIN?

Rate: 5 Flag

I've lived in Las Vegas since 1992 (moved here for my wife to take a QA manager job at the DOE Nuke Test Site). Absent gaming, this place would be Barstow II, maybe 30,000 dessicated, hardscrabble residents servicing the truck and railstops. Maybe more, if we count the military at Nellis AFB, and the Nevada Site Site workers. But, still, nothing like the 2 million here today.

 I track the decline in the water level at Lake Mead, scraping the accruing data off a website and dumping them into an Excel spreadsheet. Here are some of my latest graphs, the first of which shows the month-by-month levels in yearly series since Jan 2000:


Below: Yearly averages since 2000 (with 2009 being calculated from Jan-May):

Finally, July over July since the historical high water mark of July 1983:

The level has declined 117'4" since January 2000! (from 1,214.26 in Jan 2000 to 1,096.92 in May 2009) That's roughly the equivalent of a 12-story building. The lake is currently at about 44% of capacity and dropping.

Yesterday, after hangin' with my Ma at the nursing home during supper, I drove out to the dam to shoot a few shots. Below, the significantly exposed hydroelectric intake towers, and the shoreline "bathtub ring."

UPDATE: Below, here's a nice aerial shot I found online, from March 1998. Wow.

Note on the far left of that photo, the overflow spillway, with the water level right up close to it. Now, note my shot over by the spillway yesterday, below.

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Below, the current state of the U.S. 93 bypass now under construction just below the dam. It's being built to help facilitate our en masse Latter-Day Anasazi exodus once the water runs out.


Pretty impressive engineering project.

BTW, the Las Vegas Sun has produced an excellent analytical reporting series on the southern Nevada drought problems.

"Las Vegas was first settled for its springs, springs that made it an oasis in the desert. Although those springs have decades since run dry, water is still the most import resource to Las Vegas and the dry Southwest.

And by all indications the region is only going to get dryer. Scientists predict devastating effects from global warming, conservationists are calling for a halt to growth in Southern Nevada as a way to preserve supplies and water managers are looking to ever more creative ways to reduce reliance on the overburdened Colorado River. A Colorado River reservoir at Lake Mead is the source of 90 percent of the valley's water supply. Water levels there have fallen steadily for nearly a decade..."

Highly recommended. I don't see any technically or economically viable solution to this situation.

UPDATE: I saw news of this last year, and just dug out a YouTube clip.
Spain's worst drought in decades has forced the city of Barcelona to begin shipping in drinking water in an unprecedented effort to avoid water restrictions.

For the first time ever, tankers began to deliver desperately needed drinking water to the parched region of five million people. Incredibly, Spain has seen almost no rain in the last eighteen months. Water levels have dropped so low in local reservoirs that a long forgotten medieval village has emerged from beneath a rapidly drying lake. 

Sixty six tankers are expected to deliver water over the next few months. Meanwhile the Spanish government apears to have given up relying on rainwater. They are now constructing a desalination plant that will supply 60 billion litres of water a year to the parched region.

 
NOTE: I apologize for the embedded ad below, now forced on us on June 25th without advance warning by Salon.com. Not my doing, and not within my power to delete. 
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Man plans, God laughs.
Rated. Chilling... Will water be what we fight for when oil is old-hat?
@Hello...

"Will water be what we fight for when oil is old-hat?"
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Yes, indeed. A lot of experts predict exactly that. Absent gasoline, you could indeed walk. Absent water, you die.
Before the water wars, there will be a die off from the petroleum absence. No petroleum means no fertilizer, no cheap shipping.

If coal becomes the standard for locomotion then, you can add up the environmental disaster caused by its extraction along with the added CO2 in the atmosphere. Clean coal is a canard.
You can have some of our rain--I am sick of it in Virginia! Just kidding.

My husband and I travel out west every summer. We are tempted to move out there but always think they must be running out of water--especially the desert communities.
Funny. I was just in Vegas a few weeks ago and went jet skiing on Lake Mead, and I noticed the huge drop in the water level line. I wondered at that moment how long it would take them to ruin it and drain it dry, just like with what happened to the Salton Sea.

I live in Michigan, a place that's extremely abundant in water, so when I go to such dry places, I always wonder how long the water will last!