Tomorrow Happens

...trends slamming at us from the dark

David Brin

David Brin
Location
San Diego, California, USA
Birthday
October 06
Bio
David Brin’s novels have been translated into more than twenty languages, including New York Times Best-sellers that won Hugo, Nebula and other awards. His 1989 ecological thriller, Earth, foreshadowed cyberwarfare the World Wide Web,global warming and Gulf Coast flooding. ........ A 1998 Kevin Costner film was loosely adapted from his Campbell prizewinner - The Postman. Kiln People portrays technology letting people be in two places at once. "Foundation's Triumph" brought a grand finale to Isaac Asimov's famed Foundation Universe. Brin's groundbreaking hardcover graphic novel "The Life Eaters" was an international sensation. .......... David Brin is also a noted scientist, futurist and speaker who appears frequently on television ("Life After People," "The Universe," "the Architechs"), discussing trends in the near and far future, with subjects as diverse as surveillance technology, astronomy, SETI, nanotechnology and national defense. His non-fiction book -- "The Transparent Society: Will Technology Make Us Choose Between Freedom and Privacy?" -- deals with issues of openness, security and liberty in the new wired-age. It won the 2000 Freedom of Speech Award of the American Library Association and a prize from the McGannon Foundation for public service in communications. .......... Main web site: http://www.davidbrin.com .......... Alternate blog: http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/ ........... Speaking/consulting: http://www.davidbrin.com/speaker.html

David Brin's Links

Salon.com
Editor’s Pick
SEPTEMBER 11, 2008 7:44PM

Things Only A Zillionaire Could Do To Save America

Rate: 13 Flag

Mention George Soros anywhere on the far-right and you’ll get fulminations.  To Republicans, Soros is an aristocratic mastermind who swore to “spend whatever it takes” to end the Bush-Neocons’ grip on political power in America.  He is a vile plutocrat, striving to trample the will of plain-folks, along with the populist GOP that protects them.

 

Okay, after wiping away tears of ironic laughter, one is left wondering.  If George Soros - and other rich liberals - are so potent and determined, why have they accomplished so little?

On the right, you see plenty of men and women who have proved ruthlessly effective at translating money into power, directing vast resources toward politically effective ends. There’s Rupert Murdoch, controlling much of the world’s mass media, and deep-pocket interests who funded Swift Boat Veterans for Truth.  A pair of wealthy and radically fanatical brothers have leveraged millions from likeminded investors, to wrest control over most of the nation’s voting machines.  Not to mention foreign commodities moguls who have used deep fingers of influence to fare best of all, in recent years.  The list goes on and on.

 

All right, it’s hard to envision Steven Spielberg pulling shenanigans like that.  But isn’t there something that rich Democrats can do, other than donate up to their campaign limit and then host a lot of parties?

 

Do Friendly Billionaires Matter?

 

Let’s be clear.  Our present electoral fight won’t depend on the whim of a few  moguls.  Nor is Culture War all about “rich vs poor” - not yet. Historically, most nations were wracked by class struggle - and we may yet revert to that age-old pattern - an especially dangerous schism, when the poor will be technologically empowered.  But such times may be averted.  Indeed, many of today’s affluent are loyal to the mobile, competitive, egalitarian and rather-flat society our parents made, after World War II.  One that rewarded innovative commerce, without entrenching permanent castes.

 

So, let’s suppose there are a lot of wealthy, frustrated democrats and independents out there.  With so much hanging in the balance, what’s a rich dude to do? Time is too short to start a competing company to, say, make honest voting machines.  Is there a quickie option for some liberal billionaire? One that won’t violate the law, or fairness, but maybe cancel out some cheater on the other side?

 

Some possibilities are already out there.  For example, organizations that perform poll watching and electoral process-checking could absorb large donations in coming weeks, in time to do a lot of good.  Though these groups are officially neutral, we know who would benefit, if elections proceed transparently and fair.

 

But it's my role to look in directions that are more, well, unconventional.  So let me bring up one idea, from a general compilation of Concepts for Billionaires, that's been in circulation for some time. 

 

A Henchman's Prize

 

I've long wondered why some billionaire who is worried about our open society doesn't pony-up and offer truly substantial  whistleblower rewards. One action that could be especially well-targeted, during the next month or so -- while having immense publicity value -- would be to announce a great big prize for proof of massive cheating or dirty tricks, in time for the evidence to matter, before the election.

 

For best effectiveness, one would couch the idea in nonpartisan terms.  Offer a million dollars to any conspirator who turns coat and steps forward with - say - solid evidence that either party has engaged in a systematic effort to deny the vote to a thousand or more people in any political constituency.  Plus five million if the evidence leads to rapid, public plea bargains or convictions.

 

Yes, five million dollars is a lot of money.  But note that the larger sum is paid upon conviction, in which case it's a small amout to buy a scandal-tumult of huge proportions. Perhaps big enough to transform politics in America.

 

Sure, people will see through couching it in nonpartisan terms.  (Though a Republican co-sponsor could be found.)  But even that implication would be useful, highlighting what everybody knows -- where that kind of cheating is coming from.

 

Why emphasize "conspirator"?

 

This is where the word henchman comes in.  Those most likely to have the goods -- real evidence -- will be people already deep inside.  Ironically, a henchman is probably venal and psychologically primed to jump ship, if offered the right combination of inducements -- both cash and introduction to people who can offer some immunity.  (Rep. Henry Waxman, for example.)  This qualifier also keeps out a flood of mere rumor-mongers, who have other places to go. 

 

There are many other possible whistleblower prizes.

 

But there’s a catch.  Any such program must be carefully phrased. A billionaire will have to fight past his or her own attorneys, in order to do something like this.  One doesn’t want to be held liable for enticing unproved or false allegations, or slander.  (There might be a discreet application process and a committee to vet claims, while police and prosecutors are given their full due.)

 

Still this sort of thing has one advantage -- it could be set up and unleashed quickly.  And it appeals to the avaricious spirit that has driven so many GOP dirty tricks operatives, ever since the days of Nixon and Donald Segretti.  Remember, tempting rats to betray each other ought to be easy, if you use the right cheese.

 

And all it might take is just one.

 

 

 

 

Your tags:

TIP:

Enter the amount, and click "Tip" to submit!
Recipient's email address:
Personal message (optional):

Your email address:

Comments

Type your comment below:
This is my first posting on OpenSalon.

My main site as an author/futurist is:
http://www.davidbrin.com

As a Speaker/consultant:
http://www.davidbrin.com/speaker.html

My regular blog:
http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/

Good luck to us all....
I like this idea David, and welcome! And good luck to us all, indeed -- I say that having just watched Sarah Palin.
What dangerous things did you say at the Daily Kos? I say that as someone who was banned from the Daily Kos myself. I was banned for talking about the influence of AIPAC and Israel, which you're not allowed to discuss. You're also not to discuss the possibility of election fraud or the many many finely researched books written by Greg Palast, Mark Crispin Miller and Bob Fitrakis among other things. Two points on smoking gun evidence: Fitrakis and others in Ohio have a lawsuit that sure could use some funding. They're finding stuff.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CK2_OTtJUT0

You should also, if you haven't yet, take a long long look at the Richard Hayes Philip book.

http://web.northnet.org/minstrel/default.html

He had to self publish but he's actually examined the 2004 physical ballots. He took pictures of ballots. Amazing work actually. Would be nice if a zillionaire funded this book.

Philip Shropshire
www.threeriversonline.com

PS: One reason the zillionaires failed is that they quit trying and didn't broaden their efforts or even start them. Soros funded America Coming Together in 2004 but didn't continue funding afterward. Even when he funded it the organization had limitations. I worked for ACT in 2004 and we never did any opposition work against Arlen Specter. Was it because Specter was Jewish and Soros was a holocaust survivor. I don't know. It probably played a factor...

PPS: Top zillionaire thing to do, which could easily be done by either the Microsoft or Google Foundations, is take 100 million or a billion dollars and fund a truly not for profit health insurance company. Make health insurance affordable. No more than 10 percent of salary, ceiling of 100 a month per person, 150 a month per family, include dental. You would be looking at, conservatively, 27 trillion in revenues. You could probably break even or better...
A henchmen's prize would be a great contribution to social progress, but it is fantasy to suppose it would mainly benefit Democrats over Republicans - they all have dirt to expose.
I think that Brin is not trying to set a Republican trap per se, but is interested in generally ferreting out behavior like this, no matter its political stripe. But these types of tactics can be effective considering the power dynamic of the moment. The right spent considerable energy on taking potshots at the Clintons, the effects of which didn't uncover anything of tremendous substance, but did lead to the political fatigue that allowed for the first Bush election.

Obama capitalized on that in the primaries - playing the transcendent rhetoric card to assure us that we wouldn't be mired in a remake of the Clinton/Gingrich mutually assured political destruction drama. Obama succeeded there, but it isn't clear yet what the strategy is for the campaign that actually matters. His first approach was to abandon the primary strategy and go policy wonk. The real dirty trick that needs to be exposed is how the republican plumbers broke into his campaign headquarters and replaced his playbook with a stolen Al Gore/Mike Dukakis version.
Aside from GEORGE SOROS being a convicted and sentenced FELON for his various frauds and money manipulations in 'la belle FRANCE'[where he will be imprisoned if he ever ventures back there!!! but sure he has 'lawyers/bribes' working on this inconvenience] ; ALEXANDER HAMILTON wrote on several occassions that "...only the rich/wealthy should rule in AMERIKA." Nothing in this countries recent history casts any doubt on this assertion made now over 200 years ago. Only the wealthy, ie, the KENNEDY's, the BUSH's, and other families have the largesse and time to attend to the 'running' of the ESTADOS UNIDOS. This says nothing about the intelligence of these individuals of wealth - merely that they have the requisite means and perhaps can allocate their time perogeratives to do what is best for the citizenry in the true mode of 'Cincinnatus' - the gentleman legate and farmer who scarificed so much for the ROMAN republic. Oh where have you gone THEODORE ROSEVELT or GEORGE WASHINGTON??? And yet we have had 'commoners' such as ABRAHAM LINCOLN, and HARRY TRUMAN turn out pretty well-run governments also. All-in-all, quite an impressive republic always survives - no matter the elected leadership.
Nothing is more crucial right now than counting every vote fairly and accurately in the up coming election.

So, in my opinion, the single most useful thing a billionaire could do right now is to organize andfund a takeover of Diebold Inc for the purpose of spinning off its voting machine business, now called Premier Voting Systems.

Following a take over of the parent company, the voting machine business should be given its own board of directors, chosen by our billionaire and committed to creating tamper-proof and open-source voting machines. Also, the board should immediately make public all the technical details of the current machines, including source code.

Taking over the parent Diebold would take a lot of capital. But it wouldn't involve losing the investment. Following the spin off the new owners would control a quite profitable parent company. The billionaire could keep it as an investment and/or slowly sell off his shares, recouping the original capital cost.

Anyone have Soros' ear?
Thrilled to have you on board, David. Great post -- and welcome!
The main thing that caught my eye here was the remark that $5M was a lot of money. I could certainly pay off bills and retire on that, but it's not free money, it's got to be earned, and I think the number is low if you want to incentivize anyone but someone with a lot of free money themselves.

The problem is partly that you have to multiply the amount offered times the chance of failing to get a sense of what the real offering is in terms of expectation. I'd bet the chances are less than 1 in 100, perhaps less than 1 in 1000 that anyone trying will get this money. Yes, a lucky person might stumble on something important and cash in big, but the real gains to be had here probably come after tons of work, possibly with special equipment and/or custom effort (like special-purpose analysis software) combing public records, burning a lot of shoe leather and gas going from here to there. And without the guarantee it will pay off.

And there are risks to the person's life and livelihood, which they may be able to overcome if they get the money, but odds are there would be people who tried in good faith and failed and ended up paying dearly for the privilege.

This basically continues to put the risk on the people who fail and to pay for only the one person that succeeds. This is the way a lot of big business operates these days, letting small companies invest and fail if they produce nothing, then grabbing the one company that succeeds and rewarding it, taking none of the losses of the failures. Similarly, large companies also lay people off when they don't the skills they want, rather than retrain them, figuring they can retrain themselves on their own dime without help from the company, and they'd rather hire someone who has already absorbed the cost of training. You present it as if it would be low cost, but really you just mean the cost of failure is absorbed by heroes who try and fail and are never acknowledged. (In fact, acknowledging them may be dangerous to them.) So this kind of thing is quite an ethically double-edged sword and while I guess it's a reasonable option to offer, I think it's not the only option I'd like to see.

I'd rather (or perhaps also) want to see a non-profit foundation created to do just this and have the people do it have a budget, though I understand there are problems having it out in the open. Still, as hard as organizational secrecy is, it's harder for private citizens.

Of course, some news organizations try to do this kind of thing. But when they are forced increasingly to be profit centers, that's hard. And when each of us wants all our news for free, rather than paying for subscriptions, that's even harder...
A reply to Robin Hanson's comment. (Robin is a prestigious economist at George Mason Univerity and a very bright guy.)

Robin, of all the cliches in modern political life, the one you raised -- that both sides are equally corrupt -- is simply and powerfully refuted by our experience of the last twelve or so years.

More than a billion dollars, including truly vast "whistleblower rewards" offered by Rupert Murdoch and others, were spent seeking "smoking guns" having to do with the Democrats and the Clintons. A billion dollars or so -- plus diversion of countless FBI agents, Justice department investigators and Congressional staff -- seeking what simply did not turn up. Ever.

At what point does absence of positive evidence serve to conclude an unprovable negative? The Clinton Administrations turned out to be the ONLY U.S. administration, in our entire history, to have not a single major official convicted, or even indicted, for malfeasance in the actual performance of their duties of office.

Again, while one cannot prove a blanket negative assertion by pointing to the lack of positive counter-facts, one can -- after such a lengthy and thorough "probing" -- conclude that there was no consistent, pervasive or persistent pattern or conspiracy to commit widespread malfeasance. Something that Republican supporters cannot even remotely assert. Hence, a steep burden of proof falls upon you, for simply shrugging and saying "both sides are the same.

It is a cynical truism. But not a truth, by any means.

Thrive on
David
Good idea, David. Keep it clean, above board, and non-partisan. And make sure perps GO TO JAIL and stay there for as long as convicted drug lords, at least.
Since Soros' name has been bandied about here in both the original excellent post by David and in the comments section, it's worth noting that Soros continues to do good things.

For starters, a news agency he funds continues to provide the absolute best English language coverage of the crisis in Georgia. The Soros funded www.eurasianet.org is the essential source for news coming out of Central Asia and the Caucuses.
DavID! My two-cents-devalued-to-one about why NOTHING CHANGES:

" "THEM" = The "Exploiters," the Ruling Class, a.k.a. people who are SMARTER THAN WE ARE because, brothas and sistas, their 'Paradigm' don't have a dent. A few nicks, maybe. We have plunged past 'Passive' to 'Docile.' Next stop, what - 'Sexually Aroused?' Ugh! Cowards! Cravens! Poltroons! All of us! Or way too many."

Read: I HATE THE LEFT! at

www.xanaduxero.blogspot.com
Another difference between fabulously wealthy champions on the right and left is that the right has funneled their money into think tank, media ownership (though acknowledged with the Murdoch example) whereas the left has foolishly attempted to perform that function themselves instead of equipping more able speakers and writers…
How about setting up an 'election accountability whistleblower' fund using small donors instead of asking one large donor to come forward?
Instead of asking one savior to come riding up on a white charger, why not ask many folks to pony up $5 to help?
You know, use that intertubes-thingie?
Mr Brin, good to see you here! I say that as a fan, and also as the humble translator of Startide Rising and The Uplift War to Hebrew (I also translated and loved the Hacker Tory short for an anthology).

On that note, fan that I am, I gotta tell you - that's no way to end the greatest modern space opera. Lucky seven to tie the knots, please?

On topic: Great idea. Sorta like one of my pet "if I win the lottery" fantasies - start a dirty cop and judge-busting outfit... :-)

I guess one of the arguments against it is, such an operation would be prone to misdirection and white noise counter measures and end up just being a huge headache with costs and damage to negate any good. If I was worth 9 figures, I'd do it in a heartbeat, but trying to think why no one came up with it yet.
On your website you write: "History suggests that such societies can foster the rise of vigorous homegrown activism, especially as a spreading middle class gains education, confidence, satiation and compassion. I was excited during the Clinton Adm. because this seemed to be the goal for the middle class, and it was being actualized. I am not surprised what you say about the attack on that administration here in comments.

You have given definition to what I have observed and pondered on a daily basis since then, but leave me with MANY new questions:

1) Why is the right working so hard to return us to a pyramidal society? Or, in your view, is this what they are attempting to do? When the wealthy already have more than they could ever spend in a lifetime, what is their societal goal ?

2) Although your "quick fix" would be great, the right will be working overtime as well to swift boat the left. It could end up a zero sum game. Does it really matter who is President if we can hold onto being a diamond shape and put the philanthropic philosophy to work via grassroots efforts?

3) Are your thoughts well-known among philanthropists? If so, is it true that Warren Buffett and Bill Gates approached the current administration with a plan to pay more taxes? Are they participating?

There are a lot of people here in the Open Salon community that would jump on board philanthropic efforts. Maybe I am the only one here that didn't know about your philosophy, but I am very excited by it. I plan to spend the weekend reading what I can find online. Thank you so much for coming to write at Open Salon. Do you have time to post more of your ideas here?

If so, I will ask my OS friends to participate in the discussion if you do. Your concepts need to become more mainstream. I believe that is the ONLY way to fight another four years of the right's work against the masses. Even if Obama wins, he will have a lot to manage and reconstruct before turning the tide on the trends of the past eight years. Thanks you, again, for your time.
Thanks all --
In fact, I believe the crucial issue in this campaign is one never mentioned... the release of the United States Civil Service from its present, desperate condition, quashed and distracted and repressed by about 5,000 Republican political appointees whose top assignment is to prevent their agencies from functioning or performing their duties, under the law.

That is no exaggeration. And there is no reasona at all to believe that John McCain would not appoint mostly the same crowd of know-nothing shills to bully the hundreds of thousands of skilled men and women - including FBI & CIA agents, scientists, inspectors etc - and preventing them from doing their jobs.

If Obama did nothing else, accomplished not a single piece of legislation and simply sat on his hands, but allowed those men and women to get back to work, then the nation could get back to business, the public portion of our affairs would get back in order, criminals would be caught and 60% of the repairs would get done.

As for philanthropy, well, my big paper on the topic (cited in the essay above) got some attention from philanthropy theorists. But alas, though it would take just $1 million to start the experiment, no donors have shown up. Ah well.

Thanks all and stay lively,
david brin
I salute your desire to clean up politics. However, I wonder if your suggestion is a little like asking the fox to guard the hen house. I would suggest that Americans must first understand that our narcissistic society is fixated on capitalism which has permitted, even fostered a hegemonical-like culture. God is not going to save us from ourselves; government is incapable of protecting us; and, you can be sure that the wealthy elite have no incentive to rescue us. When future generations look back, they will see how a great superpower succumbed to the elixir of greatness.
As a former federal employee (25 years in D.C.; mostly as an internal auditor), I agree, wholeheartedly, with the author of this posting when he made this follow-up comment:

"In fact, I believe the crucial issue in this campaign is one never mentioned... the release of the United States Civil Service from its present, desperate condition, quashed and distracted and repressed by about 5,000 Republican political appointees whose top assignment is to prevent their agencies from functioning or performing their duties, under the law."

Those of you with government experience know that the average government bureaucrat is very much like the average private-sector office-worker. (We read the comic-strip "Dilbert" and, just like you, see *our* office management being ridiculed.)

To get more people to "blow the whistle" on misconduct (or simple waste) in any organization, then the answer (as Kerry Lauerman commented) is not to offer them a gamble high-stakes($$), high-risk (lost career) with a low chance of paying off.

I believe, based on my personal experience in "whistleblowing", that the answer for "unleashing" the career bureaucrats is to provide absolute and total protection from retaliation (e.g., demotion, dismissal, etc.).

Unfortunately, the traditional way of doing that, i.e., whistleblower "protection" laws, has failed miserably. The main reason being, lacking a written threat of retaliation, that the courts always defer to management "discretion".

So, the only *real* way to prevent retaliation is to prevent management from knowing who to punish for blowing the whistle. And that requires a reporting system that provides a level of confidentiality is backed up by 100% "bet your life" integrity.

I know that federal employees do NOT have that level of confidence in the existing system (and for good reason) of agencies' Inspectors-General (IGs).

As an alternative to the internal IGs, I believe that the federal government should meet the same (or better) standards for a confidential whistleblower system that it now requires of major private-sector companies under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (passed after the WorldCom and Enron scandals).

Rather than setting up such systems internally, many of those private-sector companies are hiring outside "risk-management" companies to receive and process reports from internal whistleblowers, through the use of hotlines and secure websites that provide complete anonymity.

And, because the reputation of these "risk-management" companies totally depends on their promise to provide complete and permanent anonymity, they will not provide their service without their built-in "firewall" that prevents their client from discovering a whistleblower's identity.

One prominent company, for example, in this area can be found at http://www.ethicspoint.com

So, if I had a million dollars to create "a new standard in transparency and accountability" in Washington (as McCain said in his acceptance), then I would pay one of these "risk-management" companies to set up an independent whistleblower system so that we could "unleash" federal employees to tell the truth about waste, fraud and abuse in their own agencies.

If it's good enough for the private-sector, then why not our "open" democratic government?

And with the voting public's strong desire for "change" and "shake-up" in Washington, why not throw this proposal out to the McCain and Obama? We all see them now trying to out-do each other for the mantle of "reformer/change-agent", so here's the perfect chance (i.e., litmus test) for them to show where they stand, besides the rhetoric, about "transparency and accountability".

[Gee, remember all those years ago, when we were going to use the Internet to increase government transparency? Maybe the political planets (and the technology) are finally aligning.]

vr,
Stephen Buckley

------------------------
"The problem is not what we don't know.
It's what we do know that just ain't so." -- Mark Twain
Excellent comments from Mr. Buckley.

Of course, note that my main aim was a Henchman's prize, more than a mere whistleblower prize. The best evidence, after all, is provided by co-conspirators, and it should be possible to lure rats off a sinking ship.

But of course, truly patriotic and decent whistle blowers need prizes and protection, too. Great ideas.

For my biggest list of reform ideas, go to:
http://www.davidbrin.com/suggestions.html

There you'll see what ought to be a no-brainer, quick fix. Establish the post of Inspector General of the United States (IGUS) and give her all the other IGs to supervise in a uniformed professional service that no longer answers to the very officers the IGs are supposed to "inspect!"

Folks! Go see:
http://daggatt.blogspot.com/
"Friendly Billionaire", isn't that an oxymoron like "Business Ethics", "Military Intelligence" or "Jumbo Shrimp"?