Tomorrow Happens

...trends slamming at us from the dark

David Brin

David Brin
Location
San Diego, California, USA
Birthday
October 06
Bio
http://www.davidbrin.com David Brin’s novels have been translated into more than twenty languages, including New York Times Best-sellers that won Hugo and Nebula awards. His 1989 ecological thriller, Earth, foreshadowed cyberwarfare, the World Wide Web, global warming and Gulf Coast flooding. A 1998 Kevin Costner film was loosely adapted from his post-apocalyptic novel, The Postman. ............................................ Brin is a noted scientist, futurist and speaker who appears frequently on television (Life After People, The Universe), discussing trends in the near and far future, on subjects such as surveillance, technology, astronomy, and SETI. His non-fiction book, The Transparent Society, deals with issues of openness and security in the wired-age. ............................................. David Brin web site: http://www.davidbrin.com http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/ Twitter: http://twitter.com/DavidBrin1 Facbook: http://www.facebook.com/pages/David-Brin/22358129265

JUNE 23, 2010 9:08PM

What General McChrystal May Have Planned All Along

Rate: 6 Flag

President Obama removed Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal as commander of American forces in Afghanistan and tapped as his replacement the architect of the 2007 surge in Iraq, Gen. David H. Petraeus. 

None of this is surprising, of course.  The President certainly got counsel from his most-trusted military advisors, Joint Chiefs Chairman Adm. Mullen  and Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, to the effect that the remarks given by McChrystal and his aides, spoken outrageously on-the-record  to ROLLING STONE Magazine, constituted gross insubordination and disrespect for the chain of command, not to mention contempt for civilian authority.

In fact, McChrystal’s statements were so grossly insulting and intentionally inciting that one cannot simply shrug and attribute them to inadvertent slip-ups, in the macho atmosphere of a war zone.

Now, lest there be any mistake over motives, let me first establish one point: no one has been more vocal, across the last dozen years, in support of the United States Officer Corps, than I have been.  At  senior levels - the generals and admirals - these men and women make up one of the best-educated clades in American life, just after university professors and medical doctors.  Their dedication, discipline and courage are well-noted, but seldom remarked-upon is another fact -- that you cannot rise to flag rank in any service without developing a meticulous eye for detail and a facility for carefully studying the traits of both superiors and those under your command.

Hence, given the advanced warning they had, and extended period over which the ROLLING STONE interviews took place, the notion that all of this was just an aberration -- a momentary lapse into snarky, immature and impulsive gossip -- simply beggars the imagination.  Indeed, to claim that any of this was inadvertent is manifestly an insult to the general, himself.

Another thing that needs to be made-plain is that McChrystal's antipathy for democrats is not universal among his peers.  Indeed, I have long made a strong case that the US Officer Corps should be considered among the top victims of the insanity known as Neoconservatism.  That movement’s relentless war against every reservoir of sagacity and expertise - its one consistent program - has extended far beyond Tea Party populism, the War on Science, and the campaign to demolish and disable the US Civil Service (with effects we now see in the Gulf of Mexico).  It also featured the most outrageous meddling by politicians in military affairs - for political reasons - that we have seen since the Vietnam War.

The harm done by the neocons to the military, and especially the US Army is well-documented; when Bill Clinton left office, every Army and Marine brigade was deemed by military auditors to be  “fully combat ready.”  After George Bush was done, the number of “war ready” brigades was precisely zero.  And though the conversion of our land forces from supremely potent battlefield dominators to bedraggled counter insurgency swat-teams went uncriticized on the right, it contributed to desperate worry among the top members of the Officer Corps.  Well, most of them.

Resentment toward the Bushites finally crescendoed, in 2006, in a fuming, sub-surface rebellion, culminating with Donald Rumsfeld’s replacement, as Defense Secretary, by Robert Gates.  When I also saw that Adm. Mike Mullen was to become JCS Chairman, I knew that the neocons’ fanatically incompetent grip on our military had finally been pried loose... but that is another matter, drifting away from the topic at-hand.

Given that I think so highly of the Officer Corps (with allowances for the inevitable excesses of their testosterone-permeated realm), shall I sympathize with General McChrystal, for being fired?  Certainly his reputation for competence in managing field operations must have made the President’s decision as difficult as it was for Harry Truman to dismiss Douglass MacArthur, after similar levels of disrespect, during the Korean War.  Let there be no mistake, Obama did not want to do this.

But no, this was not (as McChrystal claimed in his public apology) just a lapse. A case of forgivable “stupidity.”  I do not believe that a man like McChrystal does anything without serious contemplation of the pros and cons.  It took weeks and many separate decisions to bring ROLLING STONE to his inner circle. Why, then, has nobody in the mass media even considered the simplest hypothesis --

-- that McChrystal did it all on purpose?

Am I serious?  Well, I do try to see the under-contemplated possibility.  And sure, my contrary quest for the alternative hypothesis can lead me down strange paths.  Nevertheless, in this case, there is ample precedent and incentive for the man to have done all this with full fore-knowledge and intent.

Consider the Liddy-North Effect, named for convicted criminals G. Gordon Liddy and Oliver North, whose conspiratorial efforts to undermine lawful government should have ensured perpetual infamy, but who instead went straight from prison to cushy roles as ranting hatchetmen in an oligarchy-subsidized punditry. What these men proved is that, unless you are caught eviscerating small animals or children on video, there is nothing -- no misbehavior -- that will prevent a prominent and macho critic of democrats from getting a paid gig on Fox News or Venom Radio.  Indeed, the more choleric, insulting and pyrotechnically disrespectful the behavior, the more likely you will get a plum slot.

Hence, it is with no lack of grudging respect that I predict this fellow will slip comfortably into whatever retirement engagement he has lined up, and we will see his face and hear his voice for the next 20 years, reading whatever talking points are put in front of him, whining - like Ollie North - about his Martyrdom at the hands of cursed liberals.

Hey, you gotta hand it to a tactician, who -- upon approaching inevitable retirement -- maps out the perfect campaign to optimize his results, forcing the hand of his boss, creating a situation where the president has no option at all, but to fire a “fighting general” and send him on his strategically planned way.

Ah, but respect or no, I’ll be glad to see him replaced by someone more typical of the Officer Corps. By a professional.  One who is also a citizen soldier.


=== OTHER POLITICAL ITEMS ===

The 20 world leaders at an economic summit in Toronto next weekend will find themselves in a country that has avoided a banking crisis where others have floundered, and whose economy grew at a 6.1 percent annual rate in the first three months of this year. The housing market is hot and three-quarters of the 400,000 jobs lost during the recession have been recovered.  Care to learn how it happened? 

This riff about the history of the US energy crisis is both hilarious and informative and demonstrates why it is NOT silly, but indeed heartening that a majority of American young people get a large portion of their news from the Daily Show with Jon Stewart! They aren’t fools.

J.M. Bernstein of the NY Times offers the following: “ More than their political ideas, it is the anger of Tea Party members that is already reshaping our political landscape.  As Jeff Zeleny reported last Monday in The Times, the vast majority of House Democrats are now avoiding holding town-hall-style forums — just as you might sidestep an enraged, jilted lover on a subway platform — out of fear of confronting the incubus of Tea Party rage that routed last summer’s meetings.  This fear-driven avoidance is, Zeleny stated, bringing the time-honored tradition of the political meeting to the brink of extinction.”

Bernstein goes on: “My hypothesis is that what all the events precipitating the Tea Party movement share is that they demonstrated, emphatically and unconditionally, the depths of the absolute dependence of us all on government action, and in so doing they undermined the deeply held fiction of individual autonomy and self-sufficiency that are intrinsic parts of Americans’ collective self-understanding.“

Offered up from the left: “The Coffee Party Movement gives voice to Americans who want to see cooperation in government. We recognize that the federal government is not the enemy of the people, but the expression of our collective will, and that we must participate in the democratic process in order to address the challenges that we face as Americans. As voters and grassroots volunteers, we will support leaders who work toward positive solutions, and hold accountable those who obstruct them.”

(Note, I often snarl “a plague on both your houses!” toward BOTH the right and left.  Sure, one side in particular is the worst threat to liberty and enlightenment, right now.  But I remember when it was the other.  I support these “coffee” alternatives.  But always with a wary eye.

=== The Power of Denial ===

Hey, I’m a parent.  I know first hand how natural it is, when confronted with unpleasant facts, to try to deny them away simply with “No, I didn’t!”  Heck it is probably humanity’s greatest talent.  But adults, especially in our civilization, are supposed to outgrow it.

Alas, you can’t beat doubt as a corporate strategy – especially if your product is life-threatening when used as directed”. New Scientist’s latest issue focuses on the Age of Denial. In particular how corporations manufacture doubt through PR campaigns, ads, slogans, hiring scientists & phony grass roots groups….all extensively used by tobacco, coal, chemical, fossil fuel industries.

Finally, a reminder:who wants culture war?  Who promotes it, as the best way to divide and weaken America?  Seriously. When talking to your favorite “ostrich”, mention that Fox is up around 10% owned by a consortium of Saudi princes. The truth.  Ask them why that should be.  And why their paranoia only works in one direction.

“Saudi billionaire investor Prince Alwaleed bin Talal held meetings this week with  Chairman and Chief Executive Rupert Murdoch to discuss investments, including Rotana Media, according to a statement from the prince's office Saturday. The meetings, which took place in New York on Jan. 14, "touched upon future potential alliance with News Corp., the statement said about a deal that would see News Corp. buy 10% of the existing shares in the company could be completed this month.”

Actually, it goes both ways.  Rupert Murdoch is buying 10% of Prince Talal’s media group... and Talal and his peers already own upwards toward 10% of Murdoch’s News Corp, parent of Fox News.  Ah, but smoking gun or no, there’s no effort to even hide any of this, because the populist culture warrior dittoheads will think what they are told to think.  And of course, it’s the liberals who are the traitors.
 
Okay.  Reminder time.  Cyclically, regularly (and always) keep checking on the Fox News Boycott.  You have a right to make your purchasing judgments based on many criteria.  Including a list of those who advertise with Glenn Beck.

Author tags:

politics, military

Your tags:

TIP:

Enter the amount, and click "Tip" to submit!
Recipient's email address:
Personal message (optional):

Your email address:

Comments

Type your comment below:
Actually a pretty lame interpretation of the motives behind McChrystal's thumb in Obama's eye. Respected analysts like Juan Cole are beginning to snap to the fact that McChrystal did it on purpose -- usually the case when very smart people do apparently dumb things -- and to point to a real and reasonable motive. Not a book deal or whatever, but pissed off frustration with an unclear mission, a dumb deadline, and the machinations of Obama's trusted military advisors. Obviously McChrystal knew what he was doing all along. And he must have loved the irony of using RS to do it.
Interesting premise, you should have called it Life After General.
dude, I am an expert on conspiracy theories and this one is one of the stupidest, lamest Ive ever heard, that mcchrystal intentionally sabotaged his own career and *planned* to get fired. Id like someone to supply a single shred of evidence. theres not even any circumstantial evidence. you should be ashamed of yourself, mr scientist.
When my uncle died, he had worn his star for a little over a year. I'm not sure his rank when I was born, but I remember he made light-colonel when I was about ten years old. He had entered the service at eighteen and worked his way up from enlisted to officer.

I cannot imagine him, or any man or woman who has worked their way to the rank of General, to throw it away cavalierly is such a manner as you've suggested.

The Liddy-North effect, as you call it, really only works when the offender offends through what could be considered "honorable" conduct - while few agree that Liddy behaved honorably, some believe there is some question about North and his honorable intentions; there is nothing however honorable in spilling your guts to a reporter while drinking yourself into a stupor in a faux-Irish Pub. The only defense of such action is to throw honor out the window, along with the UCMJ, codes of conduct, and plain "common sense."

Maybe McChrystal really is stupid enough to do that, to throw out honor and principle, along with reason and law, in a career suicide that will result in political or entertainment capital. If so, I'm even more happy he's out.

I'm also forced at this point to wonder what officers you actually know in the cadre. While I agree that some senior officers are highly educated and erudite, this is not how I would describe the majority of the officers' corps - especially in the US Army. In fact, the officers you describe were more common in the 80s and 90s - perhaps that was the last time you encountered a serving officer of high rank? The extreme religio-politicization of the officers corps over the last decade has been a radical change: I was recently gobsmacked by the number of "born again" Christians coming out of the academy at C. Springs and the hard-right religious zealots among the high ranks of the big green. Mind you, the military has always had a bit of God-talk, but it's always been by the wayside, the "no atheists in foxholes" variety - God was given lip-service and the respect due to a retired, aging five-star: but he wasn't involved in the battle plans. I've endured shocking conversations with young academy grads who seriously ponder the strategic role of the US in the "battle of Armageddon."

I've long pondered what I perceive as a sort of "blind spot" among Americans about their military. Most civilians in this country seem to be viewing their military through a 10-20 year old lens: what they think of the military today actually resembles what it was like 10-20 years ago. In the 80s people were still viewing the military through the lens of Vietnam; Reagan cleaned those glasses for them, though he and others were sodden by the bad vision that we were deficient in our nukes. By the time Clinton took office, Americans held the belief that the military had been down-sized and was crippled - an idea which resembled the state of affairs post-Vietnam. In the first decade of the 21st century, we've been beset by the idea that the largest, best funded, most powerful military in the world (ours) is somewhat challenged by minor skirmishes in distant lands (something we handled with aplomb when our military was 20% of its current size).

I'm acutely aware of that "blind spot" in this McChrystal debacle: civilians who think the drunken insubordination of a leading officer is "no big deal," or people who think it represents some "breakdown" in civilian control. I'm glad the President saw fit to follow protocol and code by removing the General from his post. (I'm also glad he returned Gen. Petraeus to the operation - Petraeus by the way is a guy who actually fits your idealization of the officers' corps.)
I think McChrystal thought he was untouchable. He has such a big ego he believed he could say or do anything. I do not believe for one moment that Obama was in anyway intimidated by military brass. In fact, he just found out how intimidated Obama was..... NOT!!! McChrystal was simply glorying in the limelight thinking he was too cool for school by being interviewed by RS. I don't think he thought he would be dismissed by the President. I believe he did jeopardize all the men overseas, and he f*cked up big time. He should have kept his mouth shut. I also think that at some point in time he will realize it was the most embarrassing, dumb ass, career move he ever made. He is not going out in a blaze of glory, but rather he was dismissed by a man for whom he obviously has no respect. He will go down in history books as a joke. I give it 24 hours before Palin jumps on his bandwagon calling him a hero.
And the SOB lied about Pat Tillman.... no, McChrystal is no hero. He self-sabatoged the same way Tiger Woods, Michael Jackson and countless others do. He was in way over his head.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/lauren-ashburn/self-sabotage-general-mcc_b_623183.html
Godot, it appears that your recent experience is with the Air Force. That service has been thoroughly suborned by the dark side. They allow 100+ insane members of Congress to appoint to Colorado Springs the most enflamed your maniacs they can find.

Why do you think I felt such joy when an Admiral became JSC chair> That Service resisted Bushite political meddling the hardest, refusing many fanatical Annapolis appointments and maintaining readiness and professionalism throughout that hard time.

The Army is in between. Harried, worn out, tormented, desperate, they cling to each other just to get through a horrific period, feeling forgotten by the city folk back home. I sympathize. But if they are too stupid to recognize who did this to them, then I say keep the admirals in charge, till we can get out of that hell hole over there and resurrect the Army we had, before Bush hurled them into hades.
Fascinating discussion, both with the ideas tossed out but by the absolute certainty vehemently expressed by commenters who can offer only educated guesses at best. So many "experts," so little basis for their expertise.

I remember a trial lawyer explaining once that there were two logical approaches to take with a jury, depending on the strength of your case: If you had the preponderance of the evidence on your side, you presented your case to the jury with a calm and confident methodology. If, however, the evidence for your position was thin, and you client made a poor witness on the stand, you banged your fist on the lectern and shouted at the rafters.

Of those speaking here now, I admire David Brin for putting forth his thesis, knowing the yapping naysayers were waiting to weigh in with their reactive "expertise," and I respect the reasoned arguments by Cal Godot and MiddleAgedWomanBlogging. It shouldn't take history long to sort out the most informed here from the mere vain.
David, I like your hypothesis. In a few circles McChrystal's "martyrdom" and subsequent name recognition will be worth a ton of money. And as always, thanks for the many informative links.

I also support our troops; totally aside from combat readiness I am often speechless (thanks in part to Mark Benjamin's great articles for Salon) that we have so far to go in improving medical and psychological support (to pick just one, why no outcry over long-term effects of depleted uranium on our soldiers, the targets, the civilians...). A few years ago I had the chance to experience some of the work of Australia's Vietnam Veterans Counseling Service (http://www.vvaa.org.au/vvcs.htm) and learn how complicated issues are not only for returning troops but for their families as well. Our southern ally, with far fewer resources, does a much better job of supporting returning troops. It was also an Aussie vet who turned me on to David Hackworth's memoir About Face, which if you have not read I highly recommend. Hackworth was back-handedly honored in Apocalypse Now, but the best stuff in the memoir is about what you have also mentioned: the many people in the military hierarchy who are trying to carry out their jobs honestly and effectively...and what happens to some of them.
Ah, the Navy. Of course. As I was typing my comment, a voice in my head kept saying, "Maybe he's talking about USN officers." But I put that to my own prejudice to favor the Navy in all matters. The USN officer corps, particularly senior officers, does in fact resemble what you describe. Even among junior officers you will find a level of erudition that exceeds the senior officers of the Army and Air Force. There may be hope: I recently became friends with an Army officer who is remarkably well-read in history and is, I believe, a fan of your work (at least I think it was he who corrected my description of Uplift to some kids at a party).

But the Air Force - ye gods, what happened? Yes, it was a couple of AF Academy grads who recently engaged me in a discussion of air support for the battle of Armageddon (I'm a sucker for that end-of-the-world shit). One of them claimed he wrote a senior thesis regarding tactics in that battle. I couldn't believe it. I still think he was pulling my leg. But these kids had a religious fervor that frightened me, especially since it's USAF who control our entire nuclear arsenal, excepting the stuff we've got on submarines of course.

You know, if you had written all this into one novel back in 1987, they would have locked you in the looney bin, I think. It's like we're living in a novel written by the bastard child of Philip K. Dick and Robert Heinlein.
It seems amazing to me that a man like McChrystal, who had a puff piece done on him a year or so ago ( I am sorry I can not remember the show) stating how he only sleeps a few hours a night and only eats one meal a day and that he sits and 'contemplates' for 45 min a day... his behavior is no surprise to me, this was a man who was destined to break! Under high stress for as long as he has been and not eating or sleeping well--this is endemic in the military over there. Where pharmaceutical co. and doctors are handing out Ambian, anti-depressants and speed like candy to the soldiers in an attempt to find that balance between the psychosis needed to kill people in cold blood and conscience not to come back to base and do the same (CNN program). Thank you for your honest appraisal of the McChrystal situation, I am sure in the coming years we can see him on Fox news with a show about how Obama and his left wing government were out to get him... now that's a platform a general like him can get away with, it has nothing to do with his own psychosis!
Thank you for the link to Fox Boycott.
I am still engaged buy louis vuitton onlinein my "college" dream, but you can make money,Louis Vuitton Outlet "University." Why not?
THANK YOU GENERAL MCCHRYSTAL FOR ALL THE LIVES YOU SAVED. VAYA CON DIOS.
WWW.SPIRITOFAMERICAPARTYRADIOSHOW.COM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mh23lfp4ecA