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David Brin

David Brin
Location
San Diego, California, USA
Birthday
October 06
Bio
http://www.davidbrin.com David Brin’s novels have been translated into more than twenty languages, including New York Times Best-sellers that won Hugo and Nebula awards. His 1989 ecological thriller, Earth, foreshadowed cyberwarfare, the World Wide Web, global warming and Gulf Coast flooding. A 1998 Kevin Costner film was loosely adapted from his post-apocalyptic novel, The Postman. ............................................ Brin is a noted scientist, futurist and speaker who appears frequently on television (Life After People, The Universe), discussing trends in the near and far future, on subjects such as surveillance, technology, astronomy, and SETI. His non-fiction book, The Transparent Society, deals with issues of openness and security in the wired-age. ............................................. David Brin web site: http://www.davidbrin.com http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/ Twitter: http://twitter.com/DavidBrin1 Facbook: http://www.facebook.com/pages/David-Brin/22358129265

Editor’s Pick
SEPTEMBER 23, 2011 6:39PM

"Class War" and the Lessons of History

Rate: 21 Flag

One aspect of our re-ignited American Civil War is getting a lot of air-play. It is so-called “class war.”

That's the tag-line ordered up by Roger Ailes. The notion: that any talk of returning to 1990s tax rates - way back when the U.S. was healthy. wealthy, vibrantly entrepreneurial and world-competitive, generating millionaires at the fastest pace in human history - is somehow akin to Robespierre chopping heads in the French Revolution's reign of terror.

That parallel is actually rather thought-provoking! Indeed, can you hang with me for a few minutes? After setting the stage with some American history, I want to get back to the way things got out of hand during that earlier 1793 class war in France.  There are some really interesting aspects I'll bet you never knew.

But in fact, "class war" has always been with us. If you ever actually sit down to read what people wrote in times past - for example Adam Smith in Wealth of Nations, or even the Bible - then you know struggle and resentment between social castes was the normal state of human affairs for 6000 years, or much longer.  Seriously, randomly choose (or "roll-up") a decade and locale from across the last few millenia! Tell me who oppressed freedom and competitive markets in that time and place. I'll wait.

In fact, today's American perspective that there is no-such-thing as class - so blithely exploited by Fox - seems rather quirky and charmingly innocent.  Baby Boomers, especially, were raised under  unusual circumstances -- perhaps the only stretch of time in which a great nation experienced a (fairly) flat social order.

Now this calls for simplifying - so let's set aside the battles over racial and sexual equality, etc. - but squint with me here, for a minute.  It's fairly obvious that the period following the Second World War was (for white U.S. males) the least class-ridden of all time.  Disparities of wealth were at an all-time low and the middle class, flush with WWII savings, good wages and GI Bill-fostered competitiveness, experienced a generation of utter dominance over the American experience. A confident dominance that got woven into popular culture through TV and all other media.

= Pyramids and diamonds =

Instead of the classic human social pattern -- pyramid-shaped with a tiny, fierce nobility lording it over peasant multitudes -- ours was diamond-shaped with a well-off middle that actually outnumbered the poor! A miracle nobody in all the past ever foresaw. Except perhaps Smith. Certainly not Karl Marx! In fact, nothing so undermined the honey-seductive mantras of Marxism so much as the living example of the U.S. middle class. Which the whole world wanted to join.

And now the penultimate point (before getting back to 1793 France). Our post-WWII flattened-diamond pattern did not quash or undermine competitive capitalism!  Not at all. In fact, never before or since has there been such fecund, vigorous entrepreneurialism as during the flattest and most "level" social order the world ever saw.

Those who proclaim these two things - social flatness and vigorous market competitiveness - to be inherent opposites, in perpetual conflict, are simply fools or historical ignoramuses -- or outright liars. They are pushing the sick illogic of the zero sum game.  Indeed, Adam Smith himself contended, in both Wealth of Nations and The Theory of Moral Sentiments, that a relatively flat social order -- combined with lots of opportunities for the poor to get education, so the total number of competitors is maximized -- can vastly increase the total number of people who get rich in the best way, by delivering innovative goods and services.

(Smith held less truck with inherited wealth or dividend-clipping "rents" - the kind of income with the very lowest tax rates, nowadays. In fact, Smith strongly implies that some kind of upper limit to the meaning of "rich" might be called for. But more on that another time.)

= A burden of proof on FDR-bashers =

The final pre-point I want to make here - before tooling off to France in 1789 - is more in the form of a question.  How did we get into a situation where Franklin Delano Roosevelt is portrayed as Satan incarnate?

Yes, yes.  I spend a lot of time around libertarians and I know that their current version is all about hating government.  No other agenda or priority.  See my earlier challenge (two postings back) daring libertarians and decent conservatives to consider taking on a positive goal instead of a purely negative one - fostering competitive enterprise and not just reflexively hating all civil servants, under all circumstances, all the time, while ignoring every other threat to freedom. That may by Ayn Rand, but it sure ain't Adam Smith.

If government is always and automatically evil, then yes, Franklin Roosevelt was the antichrist, because he sure expanded its reach.  If, on the other hand, you judge by outcomes... defeating Hitler, ending the Great Depression, starting the process of racial justice and - above all - engendering a society that both fostered vast amounts of competitive enterprise and kept the social order flat, then maybe we should consider cutting the man some slack.  (Wasn't he admired by the "greatest generation"?)  I'd like to see you -- or any ruler/leader across all of human time -- do better.

Sure, some of FDR's bureaucracy got cloying. Or else it got "captured" and stifled competition.  Democrats themselves axed many New Deal and Progressive agencies - the Interstate Commerce Commission, the Civil Aeronautics Board, for example, had to go!  Others needed trimming and so did the pre-1960 tax rates that JFK slashed.  Indeed, about half of the Reagan-era government prunings seem pretty much called for... a process culminating in the Clinton-Gingrich Welfare Reform, another time that the moderate-right had a strong point. And was listened-to.

But outcomes comparison is not kind to those who gutted Glass-Steagel and other bank regulations, opening the door to abuses that helped bring our Second Depression.  And since every single prediction ever made by Supply Side Economics proved wrong, well, we can understand why science and outcomes comparison are the Big Enemy, attacked by Fox 24 hours a day.  If facts are inconvenient, well, damn those who live and work with facts.

= Okay, back to France =

All the shouts about "class war" bring to mind images of rabid Jacobin mobs in 1793 hauling brave nobles and gentlemen to the guillotine. But if Rupert & co. really want us pondering that image, we owe it to ourselves to leaf back just a few pages to 1789, when the revolution began as a much more moderate thing, inspired by events across the ocean, in America.

France was broke.  Louis XVI and his ministers were incompetents who deliberately squelched commerce with internal tariffs and policies that crushed innovation. The church owned much of the productive land, tax-free. So did the feudal aristocracy. Top merchants and corporations managed to wrangle exemptions too. After years of quagmire wars, poor tax revenue, bank collapses and mismanagement, Louis needed more money to stave off bankruptcy and save the country. So he summoned the Estates General.

That was the rough French equivalent of the British Parliament, but with much less authority.  In fact, it had last met in 1614. But Louis was desperate. What he needed was for the first and second "estates" -- the clergy and  nobles -- to vote themselves a temporary levy and join the third estate (the people) in paying their fair share.

That's how it all started.  The country's leader asking oligarchs and aristocrats to pay the same rates as common folk, for a while, especially since they already owned damn near everything.  The answer given by the dukes and bishops and marquiseseses?  Heck no! We're the ones keeping it all together. The managers and investors and owners and job-makers. The government can damn well keep its mitts out of our pockets. It's our money, not the state's.

Now you can see where I'm going with this. So I won't spell out what happened next. (Though a little reading might be in order?  After the last assignment, to learn what the founder of modern market-capitalism, Adam Smith actually said. I promise surprises!)

And no, I am not predicting tumbrels rolling through American streets, with billionaires holding their chins high as rabid mobs taunt them on their way to chopping blocks!

What I am telling you is that "class war" has a whole lot more to it than they are telling you with their blithe, two-word nostrums, over at Fox.  As Warren Buffett said: "my side - the rich - have been winning class war for some time, and it won't end well."

= The American Difference =

Across the sea, in America, a different experiment was being tried. The aristocracy over here -- like Washington and Jefferson -- certainly enjoyed being rich, and wanted opportunities to stay that way! But they also knew the frontier virtue satiability -- the notion that getting rich is great! Economic success can both entice and propel innovation, hard work, enterprise, competitive creativity and philanthropy. But that (as Adam Smith proclaimed in the miracle year 1776) there comes a point where enough is enough... and sometimes even too much.

Hold onto your seat, because I'm about to tell you something about Washington and the others that you never knew... that they were "levellers."

The founders started by banning primogeniture, so no family fortune could sit and accumulate, undivided, as a lordly demesne at the pyramid's peak. Instead, they would get divided among the large numbers of children that folks had then -- an intentional act of "social engineering" and outright "levelling" and don't you for a moment think otherwise!  They also seized the assets of the Tory lords and even neutral absentees and distributed them to the masses. And they made homesteading easy, with laws that favored Yeoman citizens. (All right, some of the lands they seized belonged to native American tribes - I never called these guys perfect, just smart, with a goal of not repeating the historical mistakes they loathed. Sure, they proceeded to make others.)

Never heard of these "levelling" acts by the founders? Heck, even liberals have forgotten them. Or they've become used to simply ceding Washington and Adam Smith to the blustering right, without even putting up a fight.  Stupid-lame liberals.

The point is that we never had the kind of violent class war that erupted in France, because our elites were smart enough to avoid it! After the primogeniture and distribution and land grant tricks started to fade along with the frontier, we entered a dangerous Gilded Age when the pyramid shape began re-emerging and Marx rubbed his hands over the growing urban proletariat....

...but even among the titans of the 1890s, there were men who could see. "I would rather leave my son a curse than the almighty dollar," quoth Andrew Carnegie, who was the Warren Buffett of his day.  And our agile nation came up with moderate, progressivist solutions like anti-trust laws, that staunched class war without ruining capitalist enterprise.  That kept the goose alive, to keep laying golden eggs.

I've already discussed FDR. But now you can see the context of it all!  It is the context of the positive sum game. (Look it up!) The notion that we can get all the benefits of an enterprise-market system -- using the allure of wealth to reward innovators and vigorous competition -- while somehow preventing the toxic side effect of wealth... the poison called oligarchy.  The same poison that ruined markets and freedom in every culture other than ours, in every other era than ours.

= A wake-up call =

So what now? Well, for one thing, it's time to rouse yourself from propaganda hypnosis.  History repeats itself. And the last thing that the New Oligarchs want you to do is study history.

After a full generation of innocence, since the Second World War, in which we took for granted some highly unusual circumstances, we seem now to be plunging back toward the norm for human societies. And you - yes, you - need to start asking questions:

-- like what degree of wealth disparity would you find discomforting?  Today, unlike 1945 or 1980 or 1999, the top 400 U.S. families own more than the the bottom 50% of Americans. Please, please, please pause a minute and picture that in your mind.  If you can somehow manage to shrug that off, is there some level of disparity that would worry you?

When it's 75%? Or when it's 90%? Admit that there is some level that would make even you call yourself the victim of class war. One that's gone on (with a slight break) for 6000 years.

-- or ask what it means when Fox says the top families do pay a lot of money in taxes, despite paying at very low rates.  Can you do the simple algebra in your head, divide and put in an equal sign and draw the obvious conclusion?  If they pay vast amounts, even at tiny rates... doesn't that mean they are getting most of the money in the first place?  And that's supposedly a reason for you to... shrug?

-- or ask who is financing the propaganda that you watch? When simplistic tag lines are ordered up at Fox News by Rupert Murdoch, Roger Ailes and Prince Waleed, and they are parroted within hours by every politician and talking head on the right, is it time to ask "is this the "conservatism of Barry Goldwater and William F. Buckley, any longer?" What do these New Lords get out of teaching you to hate every American elite of science, intellect or skill... while demanding that you ignore the one elite that threatens everything we love?  Theirs?

-- for the first time in American history, we went to war and the rich refused to help pay for it. Isn't patriotism an issue all the time, and not just when you (or Glenn Beck) pick or choose?

More important: doesn't this start sounding a whole lot like what the nobles did on the east side of the Atlantic in 1789... and not at all like the smarter elites did in the west?

-- is history really so boring to you that you find it completely irrelevant? So much so that you'll ignore the patterns of 6,000 years?  If so, wow, FDR sure did make a different world that Baby Boomers ignorantly take for granted.

But the Gen-Xers and Gen-Y and Millennials won't.  As I foresaw in EARTH, they are waking up. So don't fret, Boomers. Your children will rescue America.  Not with violent class war... what are we, French? But with the kind of tweaking we saw from Washington and Lincoln and Carnegie and Teddy Roosevelt and FDR.  The kind that restores that flattened diamond... while continuing the miracle of competitive markets and freedom.

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nice essay & I cant really find anything to disagree with.
the fox news thing is a new phenomenon. relatively speaking. its very high tech polished propaganda. it works for an increasingly large part of the public that literally, cannot actually *think*. Im serious. in a significant way, that segment cannot reason, cannot think, cannot respond to logical arguments. its also called the "low information voter" but its just a polite euphemism for "increasingly stupid". this increasingly large segment is also what is known as "functionally illiterate".... so talking about history with them is like speaking of fairy tales. and they will believe whatever fairy tales they are told on television.
hopeful and I agree....this world has lived through the most brutal of times....
And where are these elusive tweekers we so desperately need? Or are we living through the lost tweekend?
Great points, too preachy in tone though.

Many truths here, but, for a supposed revelatory text 3 obvious mark misses:

1. "some of the lands they seized" Some?

2. You leave out a very, very, very important FACT about The New Deal, did I say very yet?- FDR enacted it because HE FEARED RIOTS IN THE STREETS AND REVOLUTION, just like your en francais example, n'est ce pas?

3. We did revolt in the 60s, it's happening again right now on Wall St. in an occupied park the so-called LIBERAL MEDIA refuses to cover (started in a park in Berkeley, last time around, a park square in Chicago previous to that, Robespierre-ites) and the "New Right", Gingrich's Kochs and Welches et al, do remember that the reason was the draft, which is why these wars haven't had the same result socially in the US. Ah, my low number scared the crap out of me, ping pong balls! How soon even those who say they are remembering forget.

Nonetheless, rated, important work here.

Imua (Onward)
You certainly proved the adage that "for those who do not read it, history will always repeat itself."
Good points, especially about liberals letting the conservatives and, even more absurdly, libertarians claim as their own creation what is in fact a Liberal Constitution.

Besides abolishing primogeniture in Va., Jefferson also worried about how long it would take corporations to seize too much control. In a blatant rejection of libertarianism (though it didn't exist at the time), one of my favorite Jefferson letters is to Madison in 1785, where Jeff says :
"Whenever there is in any country, uncultivated lands and unemployed poor, it is clear that the laws of property have been so far extended as to violate natural right."

Another layer to the Progressive era is the cooperation of industrialists in accepting regulation over trust-busting.
And, the post New Deal economy was also the result of an even better deal between government, labor and industrialists, which birthed your diamond.

Movement Conservatism set about to make sure that never happened again, and has done a damn good job of it. It's the most successful failure in US history.
If you go back to Livy, you'll find his description of the two warring classes--patrician and plebian--agreeing to move from combat to argumentation reveals that the Republican Party, designed after the Roman republic, takes class war as part of its reason for existing. They shouldn't be condemning it; they should applaud and promote it.
I appreciate the historical context. I just started Gustave Le Bon's Psychology of Revolution so this was, personally, pretty topical for me.

I agree that there will be an awakening, and am hopeful it will come sooner rather than later. However I'm pretty sure things will have to get worse before they get better. I fear were too far down the road to oligarchy, and the Murdoch propaganda machine too influential for any meaningful change to be reached without more dramatic means than tweaking. However your better historical perspective is reason for hope. Well done. Rated.
David, this is something that you've been focused on for a while. It certainly is nice to know someone a few years older than I can carry this argument so well. The parallels are astonishing and what's even more astonishing to me is that there are shouts and whispers of this going on for the last few decades and it seems the larger audience considers these cautionary voices to be from the "lunatic fringe." Alarmists, anarchists, libertarians and conspiracy nuts.

As to the younger generations waking up. My personal experience meeting a large number of mid 20s to early 40's adults (the two generations following mine [generation and a half if you consider I'm 50]) is that what they have to say about government, the environment, pollution, disenfranchisement and human rights, as well as a host of other issues, you could travel back to 1968 and talk to any crowd at a college campus and the same issues would be on the mouths of the young, educated and aware generation.

My younger friends echo the voice of the Protest Sixties almost to a tee. They are smarter, better educated, looking to make a profit off making things and doing things more efficiently and as naturally as possible. I can't believe how much they sound like that. In a good way.

I think the Arab Spring is founded in this very same level of literacy, awareness and desire for liberties and freedoms that started as a codified manifesto of limited government with the Decalaration of Inpendance and the Constitution following that.

Transparency, as you describe it in "The Transparent Society," is a big step towards flattening out the power curve or pyramid as regards information and how it is obtained, protected, provided and made publicly available -- even the government would have a public feed and thus no back room deals, no secret conversations, no deals that serve only the politicians or corporate top dogs, because they, too, must come out into the light of public scrutiny.

Of course, there are other issues at the base and you nail them all, really. I think people, especially younger people, are waking up and getting a sense of deciding this can't continue in this manner. I think, considering the issues and the concerns of theirs that mirror the ones I was raised into as a child of the Sixties, my mission -- as I feel it should be --to speak with these younger rebels, provide them insight and perspective from different times, different places and even history, as well as the perspective of someone who's lived to see the dream start, falter, nearly die and then start to grow again.

They deserve some support from us older rebels who still haven't let the dream die that the people can change things for the better, because we, in the end run, are what this country is all about.

Sorry, soft spot for me.
It seems , at least in U.S. history and especially in the last century, that Americans used to have the grace and good taste NOT to profiteer or stand for it in times of crisis. Those WERE the good, old days; now the rich expect to have to pay for nothing and call anyone who questions that a socialist.
Sometimes walking in the financial district of San Francisco, watching the old and destitute trying to sell the Street Sheet, a nonprofit paper created by the homeless for the homeless to sell for a buck, I think that level where we realize that an injury to one is an injury to all has already gotten here. The deep ugliness has been in our faces, and we have grown to tolerate seeing things that once would have made us cry. Oh, then we pass ritualized ordinances to make it a crime to sit on the sidewalk, since out of site out of mind is what we really want. People as waste products to send away... Rush Limbaugh used to call poor people human garbage as I recall.
Rated, and sending other people here to read it.
An excellent essay! I wonder how the village idiots who hijacked the Republican Party would respond to it--if they can in fact understand it :) I also wonder how Howard Zinn ("People's History of the United States") would view your interpretation of American history, but in its focus on powering innovation and wealth creation (for white men, anyway) he'd probably agree.
the civilized nations, chiefly northern europe, have provided a better life for most of their people than america, without 'unshackling capitalism, indeed, some are quite socialist.

cuba competes with the usa in public health, and in some areas, wins. did you know that? no telling what they might achieve if america were not trying to strangle the nation, as well as kill fidel.

but the mess america has become is typical of america's political history. concentrated political power creates concentrated wealth just as surely as electricity and magnetism are mutually bound together. you can't fix it by exhortation, you have to change the rules. let's start with "by the people," instead of by the politicians.
Thank you. I love this article. Love it! Revisionist have been trying to burying the FDR legacy for decades to the point of replacing the Roosevelt dime with Reagan, an emetic if I ever saw one. I hope your faith in the Gen X and Gen Y finds a future. At this time most Libertarians I discuss things with can't get past the bumper sticker rhetoric of "Freedumb" and "Liber-tea" to look beneath the disasters of deregulation, small government and the Bush Tax Cuts. You would think that the Enron debacle would have punctured their rosy shaded bubble...but alas...not yet.

Thanks again for fine piece of writing and the lucid diagram of the pyramid and the diamond.
Thank you, the effort is appreciated. At the risk of being overly simplistic (is that possible in the land of soundbites?) I'll refer to a quote, for which I cannot find attribution, supposedly inspired by the American Revolution (my paraphrase):

"From Tyranny arises Rebellion which inspires Patriotism. Patriotism inspires Optimism which inspires Prosperity. Prosperity inspires Greed, which is fueled by Complacency and that allows Tyranny to arise once more."

It seemed to me many years ago, while I and my co-workers would complain about our high tax rate (45% on income of 120k in CA in the '90's for a single person who rented) that in our business, most of our income came from government contracts. Frequently we knew that the money was being foolishly spent (as in major replacement of systems that could have easily lasted on military bases that were scheduled to close in two years) but of course, that didn't prevent us from bidding on and taking it.

My anecdotal experiences with the corruption of government (and it's compliance with the corruption of business) aren't insignificant and are reasonably representative. The question becomes, when so many people, some whom understand what's happening, many who don't, become part of that greed and corruption, how do you deconstruct it without major trauma to people's lives?

Whether the temptations of greed are the largess distributed by the government, irrespective of any valid need or reasonable stewardship, or the eager embrace of the irrational promotions of the banking and real estate industries, promising riches for no work, the human failings which would allow them are obviously in need of vigilant oversight.

Those who would assume the libertarian (or faux conservative) stance that self regulation and the beneficent nature of those whom by their (in many cases) pathological ability to accrue riches will result in anything other than the incredible concentration of wealth we now have continuing or either deluded or disingenuous (and that's being very kind to them).

The facts are the effect of the causes and are indisputable. Very few are very much better off and very many, are very screwed.

Rated and will distribute.
As one who helped organize those old demonstrations, I have to comment that the younger generations that are now beginning to re-discover political activism are missing the point. The protest movement of the 60s was aimed at a single point of focus - ending the war in Vietnam. Everything else was a side bar to that main event.

Protest movements must focus on that single point of congruence where everyone finds agreement. Protest movements unify but dividing the body politic into two groups: those who agree and those who disagree about that one issue.

Take on too many issues - and more than one is one too many - breaks down the cohesive fabric of the movement.

We saw this in the sixties as different cohort groups began insisting upon the inclusion of their agendas in to the objectives of the movement....and the moment we added the element of economic justice to the primary goal of ending the war, we lost the momentum we needed to become a real revolutionary movement precisely because the economic issues are highly divisive while the solitary goal of the anti-war effort was a unifying factor that cut across all economic and social groups.

We are now engaged in overt and covert military operations all over the world....but that's no longer the focus of the new demonstrators, who are focused on divisive economic issues rather than a unifying philosophical agenda of ending our aggressive wars.

War in defense of the nation is no vice. War to promote economic objectives is no virtue. If there was no oil in Iraq and no gas in Afghanistan we wouldn't be there. We would never have gone.

Your essay is a wonderful example of historical context. I knew all the points, but I really enjoyed seeing a major author recite them all in order.
Your discussion of primogeniture was superior to the 2 hour lecture on the same subject I received in my law school "property law" class.

r
thanks. Think different!