Through a glass darkly...

Closely following the signs of the times

DJohn

DJohn
Location
Virginia, United States
Birthday
December 30
Bio
Marine, Christian, Libertarian and forty-something, suburban dad trying to make sense of the world around him.

MY RECENT POSTS

DJohn's Links

Salon.com
JANUARY 28, 2011 10:51AM

The Dominoes Are Falling (Updated)

Rate: 5 Flag

I predicted this would happen not long ago. (See blog post-The Coming Youth Revolt-August 2010)I said among other factors, the long-term unemployment and rising prices would cause a global revolution of the youth who see a very bleak future for themselves.

We are now seeing this play out on the world scene and in all places...the Middle East. Just like the uprising that deposed the leader of Tunisia recently the situation in Egypt is getting more serious by the day.

Organized via Facebook, the organizers and activists are fueling the uprising and things are reaching a critical phase. Let's not forget that Egypt has been a staunch ally of the United States for a very long time and one of the main reasons that Israel, another staunch ally, lives in relative peace.

I have to think that Israel is getting a bit nervous as it sees the neighborhood crumble while the protesters shout "Allahu Akbar" at the top of their lungs. This is a very dangerous situation. If there is any good news in all of this it would be the fact that Egypt does NOT have nuclear weapons...that we know of.

My concern is what will happen if indeed Egypt's government falls. There will be an increadible vaccum that someone will move into. Egypt has mass resources that could allow for a pro-Islamic regime to fund massive attacks against Israel and could even become the epicenter for a renewed worldwide jihad.

I'm quite sure that al Queda is watching intently to see where this all ends up. They may even be taking this opportunity to infuse thier own people into the mix to ensure the outcome. 

The most concerning aspect of this whole movement or revolution is that it has the potential to ripple across the entire Middle East and right into Europe as well. In the news today: 

Spain announced Friday its jobless rate surged to a 13-year record above 20 percent at the end of 2010, the highest level in the industrialized world, as the economy struggled for air.

When you take into account the number of Islamic youth that are now living in Europe due to lax immigation policies and couple that with staggering unemployment you have the makings of a powder keg that is looking for a spark. This could be that spark.

Think about what would happen if this touched off a massive uprising of millions of Muslims all across the Middle East and Europe and  the governments in place now, which we do business with, all fell. Then think about all of those newly created Islamic regimes deciding to come together into one centralized union of Islamic states. You then have the nightmare scenario.

Overnight this newly created entity would wield immense power over the rest of the world. The natural resources available to them alone would make them increadibly powerful. Think of 3/4 of all the world's oil under the control of one entity. Think of the coalition that would be put together if all of the armaments and military resources were combined into one singlular force.

Are we on the brink of another worldwide war? Would the United States, Russsia and China go to war to see this tide of revolution stopped or will they sit idly by and do nothing? We are quickly approaching a point of no return. Once this monster is set into motion it will quickly become a juggernaut.

One thing is for sure. We are watching history being made daily. The question is what kind of history will it be? Where will it all end?

Stay tuned...

UPDATES:

CBS news is reporting that the Egyptian government put a nighttime military curfew in place but there are now reports of shots being fired and explosions being heard in the distance as well as eye witness reports of tanks rolling into the area. They have also reported that the building that houses the HQ for the ruling party has been set ablaze.

 Unrest stirs in Jordan...

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2011/01/2011128125157509196.html

 

 

Your tags:

TIP:

Enter the amount, and click "Tip" to submit!
Recipient's email address:
Personal message (optional):

Your email address:

Comments

Type your comment below:
Wow What a scenario! I can see it all unfolding rapidly as this information age is speeding everything up. Great post.
Exciting and scary. Great writing here! The build up, the drama, it's perfect. Well done!
The conflicts of the future will most likely be over resources, rather than ideology (although ideology will surely play a part). I must admit that I haven't really been paying attention to what has been going on in Tunisia and Egypt. But between you, Stellaa, and Cartouche, I consider myself awakened.
Some good points here DJohn but I would question your assertion that it is a Facebook revolution. It's grass roots word of mouth happening and that's still more powerful and effective. My point is essentially in agreement that it is huge in nature.
What the heck are are "mass resources"? Egypt has no resources, especially oil. Where the heck are you going with this screed?
BadScot-Think about natural resources and military assets. They have a large military and they also have access to the Suez Canal which is a main shipping port for th oil exports. If they close the Suez then the ships transporting that oil will need to go around the Cape of Good Hope...6000 miles away. This will add to the expenses of the shipping companies and yesterday many of those shipping companies saw a spike in their stock prices. This will also cause oil to go higher which will drive up the price of gasoline.

The biggest concern though is that one of our main allies in that part of the world may come under the control of an anti-American Islamic regime. A recent poll found that 67% of the citizens of Egypt would embrace an Islamic regime and Sharia Law. THAT is not good.

Besides, this is just the beginning. I would not be surprised to see something start in Saudi Arabia soon.
I think your visions of a new Caliphate are extremely improbable. Culturally, there's as much difference between Middle Eastern countries as there is in all of Latin America. Cuba does not have a lot in common with Brazil, for example. And Iran does not have a lot in common with Dubai, or Egypt for that matter. Al Queda at this point is just about invisible, perhaps being lucky to infuse one or two people into Egypt at best. Remember, Egypt played a critical role in its intelligence gathering in the wake of 9/11.

And the situation in Europe is entirely different for Muslims there.
Israel is the one to watch. We are seeing chess moves being deployed to surround Israel and the Islamic states have made their hate for Israel very well known.

If Israel is attacked, it will be game over for the Middle East and maybe the world.