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Dr. Vanessa Neumann

Dr. Vanessa Neumann
Location
New York, New York, United States
Birthday
February 18
Title
Senior Fellow, for Latin America and terrorism
Company
Foreign Policy Research Institute
Bio
I am a Senior Fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, specializing in Latin America and terrorism. I am also an Associate of the University Seminar on Latin America at Columbia University, Editor-at-Large of Diplomat magazine, and write on Latin America for The Weekly Standard. I have a Ph.D. in political philosophy from Columbia University, been interviewed in The New York Times and on the BBC, Al Jazeera, Caracol radio and written for all the major broadsheets in the UK.

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Editor’s Pick
SEPTEMBER 27, 2010 7:48PM

Red Dawn No More: true democracy dawns in Venezuela

Rate: 4 Flag

“It’s a new dawn,

It’s a new day,

It’s a new life 

For me,

And I’m feeling good.”

Maria Corina Machado on the campaign trail 

So good, in fact, I couldn’t stop crying. 

Tears of joy streamed down my cheeks as I looked out from our terrace over Caracas, a city nestled in a valley that is bordered at one end by the Ávila mountains, where the Andes trail off to an earthbound death that protects this city from the searing heat of the coast. This morning, my beloved homeland, the city from which I felt cruelly torn as a child, rested peacefully in its cradle of tropical green. More peace than any of us had dared hope. And yet there it was: hope -- incarnate, beautiful, calm.

Renowned for its violence and a murder rate allegedly four times that of Baghdad, Caracas and the rest of Venezuela seem to have finally grown up and accepted mature democracy against nearly insurmountable odds. 

Yesterday’s elections were for the entire 165 representatives in the National Assembly (like a Congress or Parliament) as well as 12 representatives to the Latino Parliament (think European Parliament) that is based in Panamá.

Prior to the elections, there was outrage that the game was rigged. Redistricting by the Chávez-controlled National Electoral Council (CNE) gave disproportionate representation to rural, sparsely-populated chavista areas, so that even a popular majority would not translate to a majority of representation in the National Assembly.

And that’s exactly what happened. 

The Table of Democratic Unity (MUD), so named because the candidates were chosen by consensus at a roundtable (think Knights of the Roundtable minus the swords), got 52% of the popular vote and only slightly over a third of the seats in the National Assembly.

Outrageous, unfair and intolerable? Yes. But very far from defeat. 

As per the latest estimates, of the 165 seats, Chávez’s allies won 95 seats, the MUD opposition got 61, the PPT (Homeland for All, which used to side with Chávez but now opposes him) got 2 seats, there is 1 independent indigenous representative (i.e., unaffiliated with any party) and 6 seats remaining to to be decided. 

Considering the National Assembly was single-handedly dominated by Chávez as a result of opposition abstention from a 2005 election they considered rigged, this is a huge blow to Chávez. 

Without his avidly sought-after goal of 110 representatives, Chávez’s allies can no longer single-handedly appoint Supreme Court judges, the Attorney General, the Public Defender, the Comptroller General, the members of the National Electoral Commission (CNE, who run the elections and count the votes) or indeed approve any laws without reaching a consensus with the members of the other parties.

Hey, now the parties have to work together just like in a real democracy. 

Never one to accept defeat gracefully, however, Chávez said in an uncharacteristically quiet manner: “We have obtained a solid victory, enough to continue deepening Bolivarian socialism and democracy.” 

True. 

He can pretty much ram through anything he wants in the next three months until the new National Assembly takes its place, but short of dissolving the National Assembly, which would cause an outright violent revolution, he’s gotta lump whatever the new one hands him -- and all indications are that they’re not gonna play ball with him (to use a favorite Chávez allegory).

But beyond all the electoral practicalities and political implications is the incredible psychic and spiritual impact on a people so long torn by hatred and distrust in a near civil war atmosphere fomented by President Chávez himself, who daily went on national television urging his followers to throw Molotov cocktails and “demolish the opposition” (this last nugget he said only this week). Indeed, in the 11 years under Chávez Venezuelans have died at a rate tantamount to a civil war: nearly 140,000 shot, a tripling of murders and an octupling of kidnappings.

But this morning, all of that evaporated. 

Yes, there were 900 claims of intimidation by government officials at polling stations and many tales of malfunctioning voting machines, but all in all, the sun rose on a new country. One that has attained greater equality in representation without violence, without riots, without coups. Despite violence, repression and electoral manipulation, Venezuelans pulled together and formed a new country that increasingly speaks for all of them. 

My people have tasted hope, victory and unity, and they won’t easily forget it. 

God bless Venezuela. 

Come on 2012!

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dr V ... congrats to all peace-loving, democratic people with your election results ... was just following it on tv news ... lew
Indeed, God Bless the people of Venezuela. Perhaps, just perhaps, this is a harbinger of better things to come....
party rule isn't democracy, but it may at least reduce the violence. always good news when governments change hands through voting, although this result is not quite that.

i take it the right has never shot its way to power in venezuela? no rigged elections?
First of all, Al, I cannot personally vouch as to whether "the right" as you over-simplisitically put it (though AD and COPEI would hardly lump themselves together and MAS -- avowed Communists -- were always the third party in power throughout Venezuela's history) every rigged elections. But even if they had, two wrongs never make a right. What I can vouch for is that Chávez has added a full 6 million people to the electoral roster who do not exist: either were never born or died over a hundred years ago. At previous elections, armed motorcycle thugs armed my Chávez known as the Bolivarian Circles operated as a militia brandishing guns at voting sites telling the voters that if they didn't vote for Chávez, they would be shot. Chávez himself bragged about these militias on national television, telling how he gave them their Kalashnikovs. If you Google hard enough you'll find it. I personally know government employees who were forced to turn in their ballots at work (patently illegal and unconstitutional) and were fired when they voted against Chávez. There are many other of his own laws he has broken: 1) personally campaigned for local candidates (not allowed in Venezuela, though it is in the US), 2) taken half the money from any donation to any other party as a "tax" to give to his party, 3) had closed or malfunctioning machines in areas that are opposed to him, and 4) this year's trick: gerrymandering by size of territory, not population, so that a majority of people account for merely a third of representatives. If you think all these tactics are acceptable, then start lobbying your local congressman and try to get them instituted in the US and see how long you like living there.
"If you think all these tactics are acceptable, then start lobbying your local congressman and try to get them instituted in the US and see how long you like living there."

Dr. Neumann, meet Dick Armey, Karl Rove, and Roger Ailes. If you'd observed the behavior of these political operative, you'd think that unholy troika would be lauding Chavez and studying his technique. In fact, they probably are. Different country, similar strategy, same desired result: fixed elections.
That could be one outcome, which would be a good one.
That could be one outcome, which would be a good one.
That could be one outcome, which would be a good one.
And yet the apologists of the American left still idealize him. "Yes, he's a monster, but he's our monster." They did the same with Stalin. Hypocrits.

Congratulations to you and the people of Venezuela.

I've long admired Daniel Ortega and the Sandinista's of Nicaragua because the actually allowed themselves to be voted out of office. And eventually were voted back in.
Saludos Vanessa: De verdad una victoria para la "Democrasí sí sí". Which is always more representative, and effective, when it stands on two legs, the 'right' and the 'left'. Felicitaciones a todos los Venezolanos por esta verdadera demostración de democracia y el poder del voto.
I thought Chavez was a dictator? What is he doing allowing the opposition to win? Is it possible that the American mainstream media has lied to me about Chavez? Didn't the US support the coup that tried to oust Chavez, but he was able to regain power due to the uprising of popular support and then allowed those responsible for the coup to remain free? Would that have happened in the US? Doesn't the wealthy opposition run most of the media in Venezuela?

Poor Dr Neumann, Chavez took control away from the wealthy minority in the country and actually tried to give back to the people and has made strides in reducing poverty and increasing services to the poor. Poverty in Venezuela stood at 28% in 2008 down from 55.44 in 1998 before Chavez took office according to the Center for Economic Policy Research. But please Dr Neumann please continue to spin your web of lies upon the American people. The economy grew on average 11.85% between 2004-2007. It would be nice if GW Bush could say that about America during the same period.

He does need to do more to reduce crime. Perhaps if he had American support instead of constantly being demonized we could be a part of the solution.
Congratulations, I'm so happy for you and Venezuela. You are on the right path: may Chavez fade into obscurity where he belongs.
Noticing you write for the weekly standard, it's clear your advocacy is for a kindler gentler Venezuela that will lead the Latin American left back into the kind stewardship of the Monroe Doctrine. It's obvious your "people who have tasted hope" are part of the elite in Venezuela who have had to suffer the humiliation of a government that wasn't directly at the service of your class and US interests for the last twelve years. Boo friggin hoo. Yes we know crime is bad, he's socializing things, inflation is high, he says sometimes wacky things OMG! But poverty is down, people have schools and doctors who never had those things before, and your country has greater control of it's own resources which any logical person would probably conclude are pretty good things too. Your country might pull itself together the way Brazil has twenty years down the road because of what he's doing now. Pretty smooth to blame him for all 140,000 people who've been shot and kidnapped. When does he find time to run the country when he's so busy committing all of that crime? Maybe all of those criminals need to find jobs working 16 hours a day in a sweatshop at slave wages like any other Latin American "democracy". Apparently that's the great solution implied by your take on all of this.
I wouldn't break open the champagne. Megalomaniacs like that always seem to find a way legal or otherwise to get what they want. The FPD. Fascistic personality disorder. Not only obsessed with the need to lead, but convinced it is what best and worth getting and keeping at all costs.