A Life Without Armor

Gwool

Gwool
Birthday
February 25
Bio
This serves as a recreational hobby about all sorts of stuff. For my real job I own a boutique Market Intelligence firm working with high technology companies on go-to-market strategies, due diligence, organizational analysis and various benchmarking studies. Enjoy distribtuion channel analysis immensely. Former political operative. Advance man for then candidate HW Bush. Congressional field operative and fund raiser. 17 years of small town municipal experience. A rare elected Republican town official in the People's Republic of Massachusetts. Four kids 21, 19, and 17 year old boys and an 11 year old girl. Topics will be all over the map. Kids, humor, rants, politics, economics, you name it. The liberal arts degree makes me a jack of all trades, master of none. Or just really full of myself. Take your pick. You like it, feel free to receive Tweets from http://twitter.com/gwoollacott.

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Salon.com
Editor’s Pick
DECEMBER 19, 2008 7:47AM

Price It Appropriately

Rate: 7 Flag

Price is the market clearing mechanism.  So it has always been; so it shall always be.

We do not pay the true cost of petroleum product consumption in this country.  We do not pay enough to support the infrastructure needed to consume it, or to abate the pollution associated thereto.  Likewise, we do not factor in the national defense costs associated with protecting the supply lines.

Given that subsidy, we do not provide alternative sources a level playing field, thereby worsening market entry barriers.  VC remain gun shy to alternative fuel investing, as they have seen multiple cycles in the past several decades that have washed out other efforts.  Per Barrel oil prices sky rocket.  Alternative energy players build business cases assuming the higher energy cost.  Energy prices drop; they go out of business.  They leave lead users and early adopters high and dry when they go out of business, to boot.

That hammers the capital markets and the demand side of the equation.  VC won't invest, and users become more reluctant to convert over based on the knowledge of past users caught holding the bag.  Who wants a $35,000 wind turbine in their back yard for which they cannot get parts?

So government needs to intervene in the market to simply assign the non-pecuniary costs of consuming petroleum products back to the transaction point.  With that accomplished, we will have a level playing field, and a higher per gallon price against which to benchmark alternatives.

 And who says it necessarily has to be alternatives?  Price will alter consumption patterns.  We'll drive smaller cars.  We'll double up on errands, to travel less.  We'll turn down thermostats.

But government does not seek to work that way.  Government seeks to legislate outcome by looking forward rather than simply correct market distortions by doing some backward analysis to calibrate the problem and then assigning a tax to solve it.

That is not good enough.  Politicians want to dictate the outcome.  "Use Ethanol" Congress wheezed.  And so we consume 110 units of energy to create 100 units of Ethanol.  We further constrain supply lines by washing out smaller distributors who do not want to invest to be able to store ethanol.  We drive up the price of gas based on these new storage requirements and based on the tighter supply lines.  We drive up the price of food based on resource shifting to corn to get in on the government mandated spike in demand.

 Congress needs to stop trying to legislate outcomes.  Price the product correctly and the market will do the rest.  Intellectual pedants likely seek to reject the answer based on its simplicity, but some of the best solutions happen to be the ones that can be summarized on the back of a cocktail napkin, as they are the easiest to remember and to execute.

Price it correctly, and let the market do the rest.

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shelloil, open call

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Comments

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Lovely. I want that. I like how you point out the true cost of ethanol. You should expand on that for everyone to see.
Thanks for your lucid argument. Are you going to be posting that over at the Shell blog?
I thought I did set it up to go over to the shell blog. Can anyone tell me how I do that?

And Suzy? As far as expansion on the ethanol issue, that seems pretty common knowledge, I thought. It was a sop to Iowa. You know Iowa? First in the nation caucus state?

We can always go all partisan on this one and lay the blame on a Republican President. IKE knew what it was like to try to run logistic supply lines in command of the WWII European Theatre. He pushed like hell for the interstate highway system, thereby quickening the pace of our urban sprawl.

The automobile, of course, was the lynchpin strategy behind this rather than rail and other commuter modes of operation.

We've subsidized consumption ever since. We need to get off this shit BEFORE the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China) develop in such a way as to generate demand increases equal to US consumption today. You really think Russia or China is going to play nice when scarcity hits? We need to be off this stuff BEFORE that.

At the risk of sounding like Chicken Little, I think this happens to be the biggest threat to our way of life that exists today. I mean, fuck, Jack Kennedy called for putting a man on the moon in ten years, and when it comes to energy, we can't get a damn wind farm in Ted Kennedy's back yard.
You certainly said it well. Exactly what I was thinking when that question popped up. Just let the stupid prices do what they need to do instead of artificially propping everything up. Until then, no one is motivated enough to make changes.

The difference in the number of people riding the light rail or Cal Train went way up. And now, way down.

When will we learn?
The argument AGAINST raising price is that it will unfairly hurt lower income individuals given basic energy needs are the same whether one makes minimum wage or a million bucks.

But there's ways around that. Again, it needs basic simplicity. We can calculate reasonable energy usage and the increased cost associated thereto and simply uplift the dependent exemption. NOT A CREDIT in excess of one's tax liability, but a dependent exemption.

Price is the market clearing mechanism. As libertarian a republican as I am, government has valid roles, and one of those valid roles is to assign the non-pecuniary costs of market transactions back to said market transactions.

Increase the taxes on petroleum consumption and let the free market sort out how we satisfy our energy needs.
Sounds good in Dream Land, which reminds me, Should we tax the grass you'll smoke? That would offset some of the true cost and help the poor.
Forget "The Poor" That is a choice in life made by bad decisions and stupidity. Let the market rule!
I do not like Big Oil either, "but" I enjoy driving my car. Find me a source of power that is similiar to fuel and I will use it tooo!!!!!
Mel, we will delay the time it takes to find you that alternative fuel for your car the longer we subsidize and cost of using gas to drive that car.

Therein lies the entire point of the submission.