The View from Abroad

Hard hitting commentary from an American living overseas

Kenn Jacobine

Kenn Jacobine
Bio
Kenn Jacobine is an international educator currently teaching History for the American School of Doha, Qatar. He has also taught at international schools in Ecuador, Mali, and Zambia. His political transformation took place over the course of many years. Starting out naively as a big state liberal, he became a Reagan Republican in 1982. Disillusionment set in with the realization that small government rhetoric rarely translated into limited government actions. On Christmas day 1992, he became a libertarian. In 1994, Kenn ran for the State Senate in Pennsylvania on the Libertarian Party ticket garnering 5 percent of the vote. He has been active in freedom causes ever since.

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Salon.com
JANUARY 14, 2012 3:52AM

Ron Paul is Nibbling at Romney’s Heels

Rate: 4 Flag

To listen to Republican Presidential candidate Ron Paul’s speech after placing a strong second in the New Hampshire Primary you would have thought that he had just won the contest.  Filled with his usual attacks on the Federal Reserve, Military/Industrial Complex, the bloated federal government, and an ever expanding police state, Dr. Paul’s speech was also an inspiring rallying cry for his ever growing base of fervent supporters.  In many ways he did win the New Hampshire Primary.  He tripled his vote total from four years ago.  He finished a strong, undisputed second behind a candidate with home field advantage and tons of Wall Street cash.  He also proved the naysayers wrong who have been preaching for months that he is unelectable.  Most importantly, the New Hampshire Primary results have made the race for the GOP nomination for president a two man contest between Mitt Romney and Ron Paul.

Look at the facts so far in this race.  Ron Paul is the only other candidate besides Mitt Romney to do well with two totally different bodies of voters.  In Iowa, both men garnered support from evangelical and socially conservative voters while in New Hampshire more socially moderate and fiscally conservative voters.  For his part, Paul got the most support of disaffected Democrats and Independents of any of the other Republicans running.  This trend bodes well for him since as many as 13 states hold open primaries and caucuses where his support outside of his own party will be a distinct advantage for him in those states.  Overall, in the first two contests in Iowa and New Hampshire Dr. Paul has collected 25,000 more votes than his nearest competitor Rick Santorum.

Besides broad support, financial backing also differentiates candidates from one another.  The Paul Campaign reported that it raised $13 million in the fourth quarter of 2011.  The only other Republican candidate to raise more was Mitt Romney.  The sum Paul has collected in donations has allowed him to not only purchase air time in South Carolina, but to jump ahead and spend money on direct mail in Louisiana, Nevada, Maine, Colorado, Washington, and North Dakota.  Additionally, a pro-Paul Super PAC
Revolution PAC plans to spend millions more on the congressman’s quest for the presidency.  And recently the Santa Rita Super PAC which was just created on January 4 bought over $300,000 worth of ad time in South Carolina promoting Paul’s candidacy.

Then there are the recent poll results.  A CBS News poll released a day before the New Hampshire Primary found Romney and Paul to be the strongest Republican contenders against President Obama.  Romney leads the President 47 to 45 percent while Paul trails Obama by 45 to 46 percent.  But even more important to the moment, an
American Research Group poll conducted over the last two days indicates that Congressman Paul is getting a massive bump from his strong showing in New Hampshire.  The good folks of the Palmetto State are now paying attention to the race because their turn to vote is coming up quickly.  In less than one week Paul’s support in SC has risen from 9 to 20 percent placing him third in that race.

To be sure, the campaign for the presidency is a long drawn out affair.  Staying power is essential.  After South Carolina, lower tier Republican candidates will begin to drop out or become irrelevant.  Two things will happen.  Their supporters’ votes and money will need a new candidate and all media attention will focus on Romney and Paul.  Given Paul’s appeal to a broad base of voters and conservatives’ mistrust of Mitt Romney, I like the Texas Congressman’s chances.  In fact, it is highly probable that he will deliver             

many more inspiring, rallying cries for his ever growing base of fervent supporters.

Article first published as Ron Paul is Nibbling at Romney’s Heels on Blogcritics.

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Kenn, you wrote about Ron Paul's speech:



Here is a response I made to a similar (but much broader comment) made by LibbyLiberalNYC,



Libby…a question, which I ask in order to better understand your reasoning…and not to break chops. (At very least, it will give your thread a bounce on the cover page.)

Despite post after post from you in which you essentially lament that real freedom in America is dead ( After 220 years of the bill of rights, it got finished off substantially without much of a citizenry whimper less than two weeks ago.)…

…you still feel safe to post these powerful statements of disrespect for the leaders of our country and what you suppose to be their machinations.

Could you image anyone in 1990’s Iraq writing something similar about Saddam Hussein and his ruling cadre…or in the 1970’s in Uganda writing something similar about Idi Amin…or in the 1950’s s in the Soviet Union writing something similar about Joseph Stalin?

THE QUESTION: Why do you feel safe doing it? And if your thesis is correct, why are you still being allowed to do so with such vehemence?


So I ask you essentially the same question. Why do think Ron Paul feels safe saying the things he says considering how he feels about the supposed erosion of our basic rights? And why do you feel safe doing so if you agree with him?
Courage and the belief that right will overcome injustice.
Well, allow me to congratulate you on being "courageous" enough to actually speak your mind in America.
Frank, what experience(s) have you ever had to suggest that it takes "courage" to speak your mind in America? I have never known any American in that position.

Interesting post. Rated.
Gordon, you wrote:

Frank, what experience(s) have you ever had to suggest that it takes "courage" to speak your mind in America? I have never known any American in that position.



Absoluely none whatsoever. I speak out regularly with no fear at all.

Which was the reason for my comment. I was being facetious about Kenn’s response to my earlier question…that the reason he and Ron Paul feels okay with speaking out is, in part, because of “courage.”
Got it, Frank. Sorry for my insensitivity to your facetiousness.