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Kirsten Edmondson Branch

Kirsten Edmondson Branch
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Bay Area, California,
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Kirsten Edmondson Branch is a freelance writer, blogger (http://www.relevantmom.blogspot.com) and mom who writes about news, current affairs and politics that affects families.

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DECEMBER 6, 2008 3:34AM

Our "Moon Shot" is Far From a Clear Shot

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President-elect Obama is moving swiftly to name his team, and the order of his nominations and appointments could be seen as an agenda priority list. First, the economy, then national security, and next up is energy and environment, with several prominent names from science and politics in the mix. Just as with the other issues pressing on the soon to be installed new President, the challenges are huge, complicated, and have far reaching implications for immediate conditions and future aspirations. And although he indicates that he wants the White House to "go green," the scope of the issue will require a comprehensive, forward reaching, energy policy as yet unattained in previous administrations.

Although the price of gasoline has plummeted in recent months, Americans are still smarting from energy prices that tipped many households into financial ruin, so timing and urgency are of the essence. Of all the soundbites coming out of the presidential conventions, it was the assertion at the Republican National Convention that energy independence must be this generation's "moonshot," which might well be something that everyone in the spheres of politics, business and society can easily agree on.

Make no mistake about it, this rare agreement stems from chilling evidence that we are perilously close to the conditions that existed during "the great dying," otherwise known as the end-Permian extinction, which occurred 251 million years ago. It was "the worst of earth’s five mass extinctions. Ninety percent of all marine life and 70 percent of terrestrial life disappeared. It took five million years, perhaps more, for the biosphere to recover." Conditions, an environmental "horsemen of the apocalypse" scenario, are accumulating at an alarming rate, and fears of an unknown tipping point make the necessity of bold action clear.

However, agreement on strategies to both avert a calamitous environmental event, as well as achieve the mission critical mandate of energy independence, are far from consensus. Ethanol based biofuels, once the environmental darling, are quickly losing their appeal as countries around the world flirted closer to food shortages of catastrophic proportions, although the large money interests behind them keep them far from the periphery of potential solutions.

European nations, notably Sweden, continue to work out the challenges of biogas, in which sewage is captured and transformed into fuel, but convenience complaints and a setback when Volvo (division of Ford) ceased production of a biogas vehicle have hampered progress. Several nations are also actively pursuing ways to safely and effectively capture methane gas hydrates, which are "flammable ice crystals packed with hydrocarbons." The sheer amount of this lesser known resource, and significant advances on ways to bring it to market are making it something akin to a goldrush, perilous and potentially packed with profit. But there are significant concerns about the risks, such as the effect of the release of the trapped solar heat from millions of years ago contained in these packed parcels that could very well exacerbate, and perhaps accelerate our environmental problems.

And then there are the reliable stand-bys that we have been willing to get off the ground for decades, such as solar. Affordability has been a key detractor, but recent advances, combined with increased compatible governmental policies and subsidies are making this option more and more feasible, and some say that “In five to seven years, the idea of building a home without solar energy on it will be as silly as building without plumbing.”

Although early deployment results have been mixed at best, hopes for the electric vehicle are resurgent, especially with the battery advances that prototypes such as the Chevy Volt offer, if they can avoid insolvency to be able to bring it to market, as well as a innovations and business models from a host of other non-traditional start-up entrants into the fray. Hawaii is boldly plugging into the electric model, and an entrepreneur, backed by convincing endorsements, who stands poised to build a comprehensive electric network to support the technology. Aided by an equally as bold and ambitious venture to harness ocean wave power, activity in this sector of energy provides some interesting alternatives to fossil fuel based energy options.

Already the specter of innovation to generate new "clean tech" jobs and break the geo-political strangle hold of oil is invigorating to a global economy watching the collapse of old business models and the growing and potentially destructive leverage of oil rich regions of the world. But as in all the pressing policy agenda items before our nation, execution is key, and it remains to be seen if the new administration can find the right balance of present dividends and future sustainability necessary to seize upon yet another historic component of this moment in time. You know, no pressure.

Photo courtesy of CA department of fish and game

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This is just a side issue, but important.

" otherwise known as the end-Permian extinction, which occurred 251 million years ago. It was "the worst of earth’s five mass extinctions. Ninety percent of all marine life and 70 percent of terrestrial life disappeared. It took five million years, perhaps more, for the biosphere to recover."

There is a huge understatement incorporated here. This statement is in error. It was not 90% of life, it was 90% of SPECIES and 70% of Species

To achieve so dramatic a change, the die off likely involved the loss of 99% or more of all life. And do not mistake the figure 99% or more. There is even greater implications of 99.2% vs. 99.7%

And it took place immediately. The fossil record has a clean demarcation of pre and post.

Actually the most recent (69 million years) of the major events cited has some better similarities to your statements of what we are doing to ourselves. There was a strong decline before the event.

I have often wondered, " Did one of the dinosaurs achieve civilization?" Hahahahaha Dinosaur, what we will become if we are not a bit more careful.

My house is solar assisted. All should be. The inertia is daunting, the ignorance far reaching. Lots of education and discussion to raise that level. And it is beginning to happen.

Dean
As it turned out…the extinction of the dinosaurs resulted in a better shot for mammals to develop. In other words, from the point of view of humans…the extinction of the dinosaurs was a good things for humans…and since we so love ourselves, a good thing for the planet.

Maybe we humans will go the way of the dinosaurs.

Maybe our “going the way of the dinosaurs” will be a “good thing” for another species…and a good thing for our planet.

Old Mother Earth doesn’t seem to be getting the best of attention from homo sapiens.

Fact is, in the grand scheme of things…considering the brutal nature of evolution on this planet…and further considering the nature of homo sapiens as its ultimate progeny, perhaps the best thing for the rest of the universe is that all living things on this planet be extinguished before we gain the technology to export our barbarity beyond the confines of our solar system.

Kinda make you wonder what the theists among us ought properly to be praying for.
Kirsten, agree and commend you for this. We shall soon see what emphasis will be placed on solar, etc. So far it sounds as if part of the new job stimulation program will be making schools green.
Kirsten, agree and commend you for this. We shall soon see what emphasis will be placed on solar, etc. So far it sounds as if part of the new job stimulation program will be making schools green.
Thanks for your comment Dean. I was quoting a source (linked there), but I could have more clearly attributed it, so thanks for the call out. As to its accuracy, I should have done some more fact checking to validate it, so point taken. Thanks.

I think what is thrilling and highly worrisome is that fact that we are indeed at a point where we could move the ball forward, but so much depends on a recognition and ability to harness the public's energy to actually do it. I fear that plummeting gas may take the pressure off, as Thomas Friedman often asserts. Don't always agree with him, but on this point I think he understands the psychology of the consumer.

Thanks again for your feedback and comments.
Frank, thanks for commenting. While I don't necessarily agree with your viewpoint, I appreciate your contributing to the discussion.
Lea, thanks! You've posted some wonderful stuff lately by the way (just a bit snowed with work lately, happily I might add to follow as closely as I would like here on OS).

I think that the small incremental stuff has just not gotten as far as we need. I think that Obama's team needs to market it as a Mission (with a capital M), like our race to the moon, to be able to move Americans off our inertia, or we shall sink back into complacency. The trick, like he did in the election, is to reach those that don't necessarily tune into the discussion. The passionate converted are too easy to marginalize as the fringe element...he needs to make this a line item concern on JoePublic's agenda. Tricky though, and he's mighty busy.
A comment to Frank Apisa,

Frank,

"…and further considering the nature of homo sapiens as its ultimate progeny, "

We may already be NOT or planet's poster child. Fire ants live and thrive in 'Super Colonies',,,, many any colonies linked by underground 'highways' and 'runners'.

And when a tiny microphone was inserted, yep, they're talking.

If not in direct competition yet, maybe just standing in the darkened wings of the stage, but they will survive many things that we cannot.

Already on this planet, in pounds and kilograms, there are an equal weight of ants or termites, to people .

'Food' for thought.

With a smile,

Dean
I have to say I think of a locust swarm when I think of the human swarm we are now having. Locusts build up, multiply rapidly, eat everything and die out.
Please take the term "ultimate progeny" to be one of convenience. I honestly think a visitor from another world would consider us the dominant species...and perhaps the ultimate progeny. But I also can easily imagine us making way for very advanced decendants...things that are as different from us as we from Australopithecines.


Said another way: Probably the evolution is not complete...and yes, there are a lot of other things sharing the planet with us.
One thing you left out, which will inevitably be included, is nuclear power. I'm on the fence about it, but many people aren't. Its a proven technology, and when the process for building and maintaining plants is streamlined, it can be safe and effective. Thats how France does it.

Whether you like it or not, there's probably going to be more nuclear energy in our future.
I agree, when PE Obama becomes the new president, he should immediately make it the duty of every American to start "greening" their homes, offices, schools, hospitals and so forth. I believe the American public has the ability to make changes big and small, and I believe that we are more than ready to do so. Look at how quickly the demand for foreign oil dropped when the cost of gas soared.

I also agree with Frank that this planet would be way better off without any of us.

Dean, I think the idea of ants "replacing" us is cool. Ants are cool. Very scary, but very cool.
Considering the possibility of ants replacing us makes me think of Orson Scott Card's "Ender Game" and the Buggers.

Rated. Well written piece.