What the Hell Are the Broncos Doing?
I'm completely baffled by the whole drama-rama going on over in Denver right now. To recap: the Broncos decided that Jay Cutler their first round pick in 2006, a Pro Bowl QB in 2008 (throwing a gaudy 4,526 yds, 25 TD) maybe wasn't who they wanted, so they went ahead and tried to arrange a fancy three-way deal with the Bucs and Pats that would have sent Cutler packing to Tampa, in exchange for Matt Cassel. Well, that fell through, Cutler got wind of it, and he got a little upset at what he perceived was a back door attempt to get rid of him. Things have escalated from there, and the latest report is that the face-to-face with Cutler and Josh McDaniels (the new head coach) went badly, and Cutler put his house, as well as his parents' house up for sale, in anticipation of being traded.
Yeah, technically players should realize that they can be traded at any moment. However, normally there's some kind of sign the year before - a player has a lot of conflict with the head coach, doesn't put in the kind of performance expected of them, whatever. In Cutler's case, he put in a great individual season. While he did throw a lot of INTs, part of the problem was that he was often forced to put the team on his shoulders and take chances, since he had no consistent running game (8 different RBs started for the team this past season) and a terrrrible defense (giving up 52 points in the final game of the regular season, costing the Broncos a playoff spot).
Maybe McDaniels didn't want to break in a new QB when he could have possibly had Cassel, who already knew the system he wanted to run. On the other hand, it doesn't impress me that a new coach never (to my knowledge) really sat down with Cutler to talk about the direction of the offense. How can you give up on a Pro Bowl QB without talking to him and seeing how he reacts to the new system?
The truth here is, the Broncos need Cutler more than Cutler needs them. The available QB free agents are lack luster at best. The passing game was potentially in trouble anyway because of WR Brandon Marshall's recent run-in with the law that might result in a suspension. There's no real sure thing available in the draft. Basically, whether they pick up a journeyman QB or a rookie QB, the Broncos will be starting from scratch. They'd be a good 2-3 years away from being a legitimate playoff team.
Teams that Cutler might go to include Tampa Bay, Detroit and New York Jets.
Comments
Please don't flame me for saying this. Expect Cutler's career to spiral downwards.
However, just looking at the Broncos, I'm not sure that I'm feeling 100% optimistic about McDaniels's prospects there without Cutler at the helm. Like I said, this is about the worst possible way he could get off with a new team. This is assuming that reports about Cutler being a jerk are overblown (if not, perhaps the team will be happy about his departure, though I doubt this is the case).
Even in the worst case scenario, the Lions, Cutler will probably be okay. Remember, the Detroit offense wasn't THAT horrible last year. It was their defense. Assuming they make moves to fix the defense, I'm not sure Cutler would be too upset to have Calvin Johnson to throw to, with Kevin Smith handling the running game.
"He's a punk."
And the record backs it up. The Chargers tried to give the Broncos the division. Hello? They were 4-8. Dead. Finished. Three games back with four to go.
All they had to do is win one game and the division was theirs. And what did they do?
Choked and gagged. Seriously, the Broncos gagged as badly as the Yankees did when they took a 3-0 lead against the Red Sox and lost it.
Play, dont play. Have your tantrum (Jay) or parade your ego (Josh) but please DENVER grow up! Want to be a world class city (you could be you know)? Tell the world you held a World Youth Day with the last Pope, you had a G8 summit and a Democratic Convention in wartime and you did all these things pretty much free of any real issues (try that Seattle, Chicago and New York).
Then walk them over to your museums and your parks. You dont have anything to hang your head about, least of all a bunch of overpaid immature athletes and their hangers-on.
And to answer your question, MT, I have no fucking clue. I'd just like to knock three heads together -- McDaniels, Culter and owner Pat Bowlen. Fucking idiots, all three.
Mad_typist -- A couple of years ago everyone thought Cutler was the second coming of Elway...wasn't that said about Plummer too? The NE personnel staff looks at every draft prospect and knows who fits and doesn't fit in that system. McDaniels must know something about Cutler. My guess is that Cutler goes to the Jets.
Consensus around the league seems to be that Cutler is a top 10 QB, with tons of upside. Is he a future Hall of Famer? Probably not. Is he a franchise QB? You bet he is. And franchise QBs don't grow on trees.
While I was impressed with the performance of Cassel in 2008, consider a few things: 1) the Patriots offense was largely intact, save for Brady, so he still had the amazing Randy Moss and Wes Welker at his disposal, 2) the AFC East wasn't quite as strong as we first thought it might be, 3) they had several games against the sooooft AFC West.
Here's another statistical comparison.
Cassel in 2008: 3,693 yards, 21 TD, 11 INT
Derek Anderson in 2008: 3,787 yards, 29 TD, 19 INT
Don't put too much hype into a great single year performance.
Cutler has shown steady improvement over his 3 years in the league. Consider also that his numbers in 2007 were affected by the fact that his Type 1 diabetes went undiagnosed for quite some time.
Anderson is in the same general range as Cutler as far as QBs go. Then there's a dozen QBs clearly better (or more desirable) than Cutler: Eli Manning, Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Matt Ryan, Phil Rivers, Drew Brees, Donovan McNabb, Tony Romo, Big Ben, Kurt Warner, Joe Flacco, and Carson Palmer.
Looking at the rest of the QBs in the league, is Cutler really that much of an upgrade over guys like Derek Anderson, Trent Edwards, David Garrard, Jake Delhomme, Kerry Collins, Chad Pennington, Aaron Rodgers and Jason Campbell? I don't know. Cutler is clearly in the league's second tier (at best) when it comes to QBs right now. Sure, he'd be a major upgrade for Chicago, Detroit, K.C., San Fran, Oakland, Minny or Tampa--but that's about it. The biggest problem Denver would face by dumping him is finding a replacement.
The best deal for the Broncos would be to get either Quinn or Anderson in a trade from Cleveland. The best deal for Cutler would be to go to the Jets. A deal where no one wins is if Cutler goes to the Lions for the #1 draft pick (and the salary cap implications that go with that draft pick)