Carpetbagger or Hired Gun? Should Harold Ford Jr. Run?
1968, flashback to my 8 year-old self: I wake up to the news on the radio that Bobby Kennedy has been shot. I stumble into my parents’ bedroom waking them with the announcement. My mother still groggy says, “I never liked him. He was a carpetbagger.”
More than thirty years later, the year 2000, both my parents are thrilled that Hillary will be running for a New York senate seat. I bring up the “carpetbagger” remark which my mother denies making. My father points out that Bill was “our” President and he's willing to consider the Clintons honorary New Yorkers.
January 6, 2010, The New York Times reports that former Tennessee Congressman Harold Ford Jr. may be planning a Senate run against Kirsten Gillibrand — the plucky, upstate congresswoman appointed to fill Hilary’s seat by hapless Governor Paterson, after the whole Caroline Kennedy mess.
According to The Times, “discussions between Mr. Ford and top Democratic donors reflect the dissatisfaction of some prominent party members with Ms. Gillibrand, who has yet to win over key constituencies, especially in New York City.”
Certainly there is an upstate/downstate divide. Paterson had wanted to appoint an upstater for balance, a practical measure to help him in his planned run for the office to which he was appointed as a result of the Elliot Spitzer scandal. Before her appointment, there was concern that Gillibrand was too conservative for downstate particularly on issues like gun control. Gillibrand had been known as a strong supporter of gun ownership and “hunters’ rights.” For an upstate politician, any other position would be political suicide. She’s since moderated or at least finessed her stance and has even worked with crusading anti-gun Congresswoman Carolyn McCarthy. McCarthy had previously considered running against Gillibrand over this issue.
Ford is from a conservative southern state. He is chairman of the Centrist Democratic Leadership Council and the son of a former congressman. He moved to New York in 2006 after his unsuccessful senate run in Tennessee and took a job as vice chairman of Merrill Lynch. For most New Yorker’s he’s an unknown quality, a handsome talking head/political consultant -commentator on MSNBC.
The democrats supporting him are an elite group of donors — high-powered people in the financial sector. The Times alludes to Ford’s “formidable track record as a fund raiser” and potential ability to “tap into African American voters nationwide.”
There is no mention within the article of how the two candidates, both centrists, differ on any policy issues. New York City and the downstate region are known for being more liberal than upstate. Why run someone in opposition to Gillibrand who has no substantial policy differences?
One can foresee the drama that would play out should Ford enter the race. This is one show that New York does not need. Her side: The spunky, blonde upstater standing up to the liberal elites power-brokers from the City — she tried to work with them, but they were against her from the start and brought in an out of town hired-gun to do their dirty work. His side: A young, smart African American man just like the president New Yorkers have come to embrace running against an attractive woman playing to the worst fears of the white working class.
In a sick way, the blonde gal versus the black man of course evokes Hilary vs. Obama as well as Obama vs. Palin. Ford and his backers should remember, however, that Hilary whose campaign was already losing a lot of its luster and who had alienated many of her constituents by voting for Bush’s war, still managed to eke out a victory over Obama in the New York state primary. In the general election, Obama was victorious over McCain/Palin — but this had to do with actual issues about which New Yorkers cared.
The city may not have warmed to Gillibrand yet, but she’s working on it and at least she’ll never have the “carpetbagger” label. A bunch of big name fat-cats reaching out to Ford and hoping to market his blackness seems like the worst kind of pandering. It insults voters the same way as the McCain campaign did by picking a female vice presidential candidate hoping it would bring in alienated Hilary supporters. The idea that Ford will succeed with urban voters based on his image versus his substance does no service to Ford or the people of New York.
Gillibrand has already shown herself to be an adroit politician and a tough one. There’s no way that a primary fight over personalities and not issues especially one with an upstate/downstate divide can be good for the dems especially in what will be a tough season for them all around.
As for Harold Ford Jr., my advice to him — if you’re really committed to the people of our state, wouldn’t it make sense to start working for them on a local level even in a non-elected capacity? There’ll be other opportunities to run. Let us get to know you. We love immigrants and have been known to take them into our hearts.


Salon.com
Comments
I live in the most reliable Democratic upstate district, so I have probably a unique perspective from where I am, but there are liberal upstate congresspeople like Maurice Hinchey (who's district I lived in for two years, I went to SUNY Binghamton), and Louise Slaughter.
If you know anything about voting in NY state I believe downstate and LI usually go Democratic and if you take the voting from the rest of the state it is usually Republican. I believe what Patterson was trying to do in appointing Gillenbrand is appoint someone who would win the downstate and upstate vote (and thus coast to any easy victory each time). I would learn more about upstate if I were you before writing anything more on this.
p.s. Do you understand politicians just take positions to get votes? Many of them do not believe in anything. Gillebrand was facing the reality of here district that it was more of a culturally conservative district than were the party is at in the rest of the state. Scott Murphy her successor is almost a Blue Dog, he voted against Obama's health care bill (as did progressives like Kucinich, but Murphy did it on centrist, even right-of-center grounds).
"Harold: Not Here, Not Now, Not Ever."
I don't see how Harold is going to make himself out to be like a Jerrold Nadler or something; so I doubt he'll be able to put too much of a campaign together, but he'll have deep pockets, there's nothing progressive or liberal about him.
p.s. Not that I'm a supporter of Gillibrand's at all, she hasn't done a thing as Senator that I've been aware, but I'm not sure we even know yet, whether she is a liberal (or what she is). It's safe to say she's not a Sanders or Wellstone, which is what I'd be looking for; but I'm pretty low on Schumer, she may turn out to at least be better than he is.