The pundits will be out soon with their predictions for the new year. This is the third time I am making predictions. I did so in 2009 and 2010.
Here are my picks for the new year. Some may be right and some will be wrong. Your comments and your predictions are welcome.
Open Salon will establish a pay wall.
The GOP Presidential nominee will be Newt Gingrich.
Ron Paul will run again as a third party candidate and will get less than 5% of the popular vote.
The winner of the 2012 Presidential Election will be Barack Obama. The electoral college split will almost send the election to the House of Representatives.
The Democrats will retake the House and the Senate will be split 50-50.
The Federal Election Commission will sanction Herman Cain for using campaign funds for other purposes. He will get slap on the wrist.
Michael Bloomberg will announce to run for a fourth term as Mayor of New York City.
Scott Brown will be elected to a full term as Senator from Massachusetts.
Republicans will continue to fight for tax relief for the super wealthy.
The defense cuts will begin and Bush tax rates will end at midnight January 1, 2013. The country will not collapse as a result.
Green Bay 18-0 represents the NFC in the Super Bowl. Their perfect record is spoiled when Tom Brady throws Chad Ochocinco a 95 yard touchdown pass with no time left to make the score 49-48. Kevin Faulk takes a direct snap and runs in the two point conversion as New England wins 50-49.
Unemployment will hover around 8 percent throughout the year. No one in Congress will do anything to assist those who are unemployed.
Hillary Clinton will resign as Secretary of State and will become the head of the World Bank.
The Supreme Court will uphold the Affordable Health Care Act and the lower court decision overturning Prop 8 in California.
Republican will push for a pre-emptive attack in Iran.
Israel will have to form a new government after corruption charges are made against high ranking Likud officials.
The Euro will fall below the dollar.
Any questions? Any answers?
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Comments
Obama beats Gingrich by 5%.
Aren't we already (unofficially) at war with Iran? Iranian nuclear scientists have an uncommonly high mortality rate.
This isn't 2007. The Pats don't have enough offense to keep up with the Pack or enough defense to slow Rodgers & Co. The Packers sweep to 19-0 and are proclaimed the greatest team ever. Even though they quite possible aren't the greatest Packers team ever (see 1962 version, despite its one loss).
So all those doom-n-gloom predictions are right then?
Figures........
.
Divide and conquer.
Marilyn -- Which half is correct. I am really scared.
Trudge -- Tink is running for President. I may have to make revisions.
Sky -- who knows?
Duane -- Pats are ranked 14th in Points Allowed. I did take the high road and not predict "Rex Ryan predicts Super Bowl victory for Jets and fails to deliver....yet again." Merry Christmas.
Stacey -- Is Rand really Paul's son? Show me the birth certificate.
The GOP Presidential nominee will be Newt Gingrich.
Yup.
Ron Paul will run again as a third party candidate and will get less than 5% of the popular vote.
Ron Paul will not run as a third party candidate.
The winner of the 2012 Presidential Election will be Barack Obama. The electoral college split will almost send the election to the House of Representatives.
The winner of the 2012 Presidential Election will be Newt Gingrich…and it will not be particularly close.
The Democrats will retake the House and the Senate will be split 50-50.
The Republicans will increase their majority in the House…the Senate probably will remain with a Democrat majority, but without a filibuster proof majority will essentially be run by the Republicans.
Republicans will continue to fight for tax relief for the super wealthy.
Absolutely! And they will continue to be supported by common folk too entrenched in their anti-liberal, anti-Democrat stance to oppose them.
The defense cuts will begin and Bush tax rates will end at midnight January 1, 2013. The country will not collapse as a result.
Very, very likely.
Green Bay 18-0 represents the NFC in the Super Bowl. Their perfect record is spoiled when Tom Brady throws Chad Ochocinco a 95 yard touchdown pass with no time left to make the score 49-48. Kevin Faulk takes a direct snap and runs in the two point conversion as New England wins 50-49.
I say the Pack will not make it to the Super Bowl—the Giants will knock them off in a playoff game. I think the Giants will represent the NFC…and win the Lombardy Trophy.
Unemployment will hover around 8 percent throughout the year. No one in Congress will do anything to assist those who are unemployed.
I expect unemployment to be higher than 8%--perhaps considerably higher toward the end of the next four years. I think the Republicans will effectively control congress and will do as little as possible to assist those who are unemployed.
Hillary Clinton will resign as Secretary of State and will become the head of the World Bank.
Hillary will resign…and I am not sure what job she will take. Whatever it is, I expect she will give it her all. I expect she will be operating in an “I will run again in 2016” mode from this point on.
The Supreme Court will uphold the Affordable Health Care Act and the lower court decision overturning Prop 8 in California.
Surprising myself—I also expect the Supreme Court will uphold the Affordable Health Care Act. I expect the Supreme Court (and the federal judiciary) to tilt much further to the right as a result of the appointments Newt makes.
Republican will push for a pre-emptive attack in Iran.
Israel will beat them to it…and Newt will not oppose the decision.
~wanders off into the thorn bushes~
R♥
Os and a pay wall? Seems a bit drastic.
Ron Paul has been pretty adamant, I thought, about not being a third party candidate.
But Tebow putting up 48 or 50 points against the Packers? 4th quarters aren't nearly long enough. That's seven possessions. But I suspect that this was the shoo-fly pie of your predictions.
Will Obama win? He has the incumbent advantage but it will be close. A lot may depend on who the GOP is. Also the Health Care derision will play a major role. If overturned I think Obama is done.
If it is upheld, then the gov. will dictate that you buy anything it wants you to just because you exist.
These are nice predictions. If you want to record it on a dedicated website and take credit fo you success, you can do so on beansight.com
Take care !
10 - the GOP nominee will be Romney
9 - he will win
8 - Ron Paul will not run as a 3rd party candidate. Neither will Donald Trump.
7 - 50% probabilty that Hillary will be the VP candidate on Obama's ticket. If she is, he wins.
6 - assad will be gone in months, if not weeks
5 - if the euro zone dissolves, it will NOT plunge the entire world into an economic depression, as alarmist european politicians eager to save their own skin have shrilly asserted
4 - israel will bomb the iranian nuke assembly line
3 - chevy will suspend production of the volt, due to low sales, high prices, and building safety concerns
2 - the supreme court will rule narrowly on the healthcare mandate, that government cannot require citizens to purchase goods and services in the private market simply as a consequence of being citizens. it will additionally advise that congress could have (and still can) tax citizens for government mandated health insurance, if it wants (and if congress can muster the votes in congress)
1 - republicans take both the house and senate, but not by large margins. many of the republicans are social liberals (rinos) who eschew picking fights over irrelevant issues like gay marriage, abortion, creationism in schools, etc and promise to concentrate on rebulding the economy with actual private sector jobs, rather than more government programs which just worsen the federal deficit.
Romney will be the GOP nominee, but will have to pick a hard-core conservative as his running mate. This will doom him in the general election unless there is a serious third-party candidate. And there will be, though it won't be Ron Paul. Obama will be re-elected by the skin of his teeth, and it will be a day or two before the election result is clear.
Elizabeth Warren will defeat Scott Brown in the Senate race. Bloomberg will not run for a 4th term.
Much as I hate the Patriots, I'd pay to see your vision of the Super Bowl.
In 2014, the Democrats will get back to 60 and it will be a solid 60 without a Democrat or two who flakes off to the Republicans. The Democrats are able to pass their program. However, since a two-thirds vote is necessary to amend the Senate Rules, they still aren't able to permanently get rid of the rule allowing the filibuster.
I think that the Democrats will do well because:
(1) the Republicans don't know that they have overplayed their hand and that a lot of people dislike what they have been trying to do and what they say that they want to do.
(2) The presidential election will have a relatively low turnout. A lot of liberals won't vote for Obama. However, with Romney as their candidate, even more conservative Republicans will sit out the presidential election because they hate Romney.
(3) The commentaries after the election will be, "Where did the Tea Party go?" However, they won't show up in 2014 or 2016 either. It will become evident that the tea partiers are gone for good.