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OEsheepdog

OEsheepdog
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Director of Change
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Change is good...that's what I keep telling my colleagues. It's difficult and hard. It's challenging and rewarding. It's fraught with peril. It needs to be done...yesterday!

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Salon.com
Editor’s Pick
DECEMBER 14, 2011 11:46AM

Bold Predictions for 2012

Rate: 19 Flag

The pundits will be out soon with their predictions for the new year. This is the third time I am making predictions. I did so in 2009 and 2010.

Here are my picks for the new year. Some may be right and some will be wrong. Your comments and your predictions are welcome.

Open Salon will establish a pay wall.

The GOP Presidential nominee will be Newt Gingrich. 

Ron Paul will run again as a third party candidate and will get less than 5% of the popular vote.

The winner of the 2012 Presidential Election will be Barack Obama. The electoral college split will almost send the election to the House of Representatives. 

The Democrats will retake the House and the Senate will be split 50-50.

The Federal Election Commission will sanction Herman Cain for using campaign funds for other purposes. He will get slap on the wrist.

Michael Bloomberg will announce to run for a fourth term as Mayor of New York City. 

Scott Brown will be elected to a full term as Senator from Massachusetts.

Republicans will continue to fight for tax relief for the super wealthy.

The defense cuts will begin and Bush tax rates will end at midnight January 1, 2013. The country will not collapse as a result.

Green Bay 18-0 represents the NFC in the Super Bowl. Their perfect record is spoiled when Tom Brady throws Chad Ochocinco a 95 yard touchdown pass with no time left to make the score 49-48. Kevin Faulk takes a direct snap and runs in the two point conversion as New England wins 50-49.

Unemployment will hover around 8 percent throughout the year. No one in Congress will do anything to assist those who are unemployed.

Hillary Clinton will resign as Secretary of State and will become the head of the World Bank.

The Supreme Court will uphold the Affordable Health Care Act and the lower court decision overturning Prop 8 in California.

Republican will push for a pre-emptive attack in Iran. 

Israel will have to form a new government after corruption charges are made against high ranking Likud officials.

The Euro will fall below the dollar.

Any questions? Any answers?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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brady to ochostinko? superbowl? too much helium intake, ja?
Dr. Ziggy -- One can dream. Ocho is the Pats stealth weapon.
But will Bloomberg win another term (or is that scheduled for next year's predictions)?

Obama beats Gingrich by 5%.

Aren't we already (unofficially) at war with Iran? Iranian nuclear scientists have an uncommonly high mortality rate.

This isn't 2007. The Pats don't have enough offense to keep up with the Pack or enough defense to slow Rodgers & Co. The Packers sweep to 19-0 and are proclaimed the greatest team ever. Even though they quite possible aren't the greatest Packers team ever (see 1962 version, despite its one loss).
I think you're 1/2 right! But which half? R for Obama!
Interesting predictions, but are you saying our own Tink won't get elected President. Damn! And I just quit my day job to become Secretary of Defense. R
Oh my!

So all those doom-n-gloom predictions are right then?

Figures........

.
I don't see New England's defense keeping the Packers under 75. Otherwise, I love your list.
One salient point I heard someone make contradicting "Ron Paul will run again as a third party candidate and will get less than 5% of the popular vote" was not to sully the family name for junior. These are nothing if not bold predictions and I look forward to the new year with them in mind.
You forgot, "The GOP will throw up red herrings like immigration, abortion and OWS 'rebels' to deflect attention away from their efforts to uphold the status quo for the wealthy and well connected. Their 99-percent drones who still vote against their economic interests will continue to demonize and dehumanize 'liberals, illegals (or anyone who they think looks like one), and the intellectual elite who read the New York Times.'"

Divide and conquer.
Stim, I believe the Mayoral elections are in 2013. Bloomberg wants to be Mayor for life. Perhaps he can overthrow the municipal government with his "army."

Marilyn -- Which half is correct. I am really scared.

Trudge -- Tink is running for President. I may have to make revisions.

Sky -- who knows?

Duane -- Pats are ranked 14th in Points Allowed. I did take the high road and not predict "Rex Ryan predicts Super Bowl victory for Jets and fails to deliver....yet again." Merry Christmas.

Stacey -- Is Rand really Paul's son? Show me the birth certificate.
Elizabeth Warren will be elected to the senate.
AIM -- I wouldn't mind being wrong on that prediction. But I will believe it when I see it. I thought Martha Coakley was going to win.
Yo, Dog. Here are my takes on some of your predictions:

The GOP Presidential nominee will be Newt Gingrich.
Yup.

Ron Paul will run again as a third party candidate and will get less than 5% of the popular vote.

Ron Paul will not run as a third party candidate.


The winner of the 2012 Presidential Election will be Barack Obama. The electoral college split will almost send the election to the House of Representatives.


The winner of the 2012 Presidential Election will be Newt Gingrich…and it will not be particularly close.

The Democrats will retake the House and the Senate will be split 50-50.

The Republicans will increase their majority in the House…the Senate probably will remain with a Democrat majority, but without a filibuster proof majority will essentially be run by the Republicans.


Republicans will continue to fight for tax relief for the super wealthy.

Absolutely! And they will continue to be supported by common folk too entrenched in their anti-liberal, anti-Democrat stance to oppose them.


The defense cuts will begin and Bush tax rates will end at midnight January 1, 2013. The country will not collapse as a result.

Very, very likely.


Green Bay 18-0 represents the NFC in the Super Bowl. Their perfect record is spoiled when Tom Brady throws Chad Ochocinco a 95 yard touchdown pass with no time left to make the score 49-48. Kevin Faulk takes a direct snap and runs in the two point conversion as New England wins 50-49.

I say the Pack will not make it to the Super Bowl—the Giants will knock them off in a playoff game. I think the Giants will represent the NFC…and win the Lombardy Trophy.


Unemployment will hover around 8 percent throughout the year. No one in Congress will do anything to assist those who are unemployed.

I expect unemployment to be higher than 8%--perhaps considerably higher toward the end of the next four years. I think the Republicans will effectively control congress and will do as little as possible to assist those who are unemployed.


Hillary Clinton will resign as Secretary of State and will become the head of the World Bank.

Hillary will resign…and I am not sure what job she will take. Whatever it is, I expect she will give it her all. I expect she will be operating in an “I will run again in 2016” mode from this point on.


The Supreme Court will uphold the Affordable Health Care Act and the lower court decision overturning Prop 8 in California.

Surprising myself—I also expect the Supreme Court will uphold the Affordable Health Care Act. I expect the Supreme Court (and the federal judiciary) to tilt much further to the right as a result of the appointments Newt makes.

Republican will push for a pre-emptive attack in Iran.

Israel will beat them to it…and Newt will not oppose the decision.
Michelle Bachmann will announce that her husband has left her for a man, and that she is confident he will return after "curing" himself in Gay Rehab.
Newt will win the Whitehouse and Tink will run to Canada!!! ~nodding~

~wanders off into the thorn bushes~
If Tink defects to Canada, he has friends here. I hope he won't only because I don't like the reason that would make him take such a drastic action. No rosebushes to run off to in winter. :o(

R♥
Well OE, you have to expect the comments will focus on points of disagreement.

Os and a pay wall? Seems a bit drastic.

Ron Paul has been pretty adamant, I thought, about not being a third party candidate.

But Tebow putting up 48 or 50 points against the Packers? 4th quarters aren't nearly long enough. That's seven possessions. But I suspect that this was the shoo-fly pie of your predictions.
Dems won't take the house back. I'll put a whopping $10 on that.

Will Obama win? He has the incumbent advantage but it will be close. A lot may depend on who the GOP is. Also the Health Care derision will play a major role. If overturned I think Obama is done.

If it is upheld, then the gov. will dictate that you buy anything it wants you to just because you exist.
I agree with most of them, but once I got to one of them I forgot all of the others. Brady? ptui!
When it comes yo death...it has no price tag.
I heard Iran is infiltrating into Iraq big time now. Maybe we will reopen that darn war. I hope not. Great List!!!
Hello OEsheepdog,
These are nice predictions. If you want to record it on a dedicated website and take credit fo you success, you can do so on beansight.com
Take care !
The Kardashians Take Washington?
If Gingrich is the nominee, I think Ron Paul will get more than 5%.
Commissioner David Stern will rescind a L.A. Lakers trade for Dwight Howard. Stern will not allow the Orlando Magic to accept Andrew Bynum, Pau Gasol and Jeanie Buss. Lakers fans again will remain furious with Commissioner Stern until the next century.
I think you got something there, is your crystal ball for rent???
Hilarious. In your dreams.
Disagreements:
Romney will be the GOP nominee, but will have to pick a hard-core conservative as his running mate. This will doom him in the general election unless there is a serious third-party candidate. And there will be, though it won't be Ron Paul. Obama will be re-elected by the skin of his teeth, and it will be a day or two before the election result is clear.

Elizabeth Warren will defeat Scott Brown in the Senate race. Bloomberg will not run for a 4th term.

Much as I hate the Patriots, I'd pay to see your vision of the Super Bowl.
Predicting election results 10 months from now is like predicting events in the third millennia. Nevertheless, right now I'd predict that the Democrats will do quite well. Despite the projections of the conservative right that they are going to take over, I don't think they appreciate how many of their 2010 voters are horrified by what they are trying to do. I think that Obama will win, the Democrats will pick up control of the House and hold it by about what they had before the 2010 election. In the Senate, the Democrats will pick up about three seats. However, since they don't have a super-majority of 60, the Republicans will block about everything even a resolution declaring the sky to be a wonderful color of blue for the day.

In 2014, the Democrats will get back to 60 and it will be a solid 60 without a Democrat or two who flakes off to the Republicans. The Democrats are able to pass their program. However, since a two-thirds vote is necessary to amend the Senate Rules, they still aren't able to permanently get rid of the rule allowing the filibuster.

I think that the Democrats will do well because:

(1) the Republicans don't know that they have overplayed their hand and that a lot of people dislike what they have been trying to do and what they say that they want to do.

(2) The presidential election will have a relatively low turnout. A lot of liberals won't vote for Obama. However, with Romney as their candidate, even more conservative Republicans will sit out the presidential election because they hate Romney.

(3) The commentaries after the election will be, "Where did the Tea Party go?" However, they won't show up in 2014 or 2016 either. It will become evident that the tea partiers are gone for good.