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old new lefty

old new lefty
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virgin novelist, middle school teacher for the morally handicapped, government bureaucrat, most famous unknown photographer in LA, PhD dropout, coat hanger sorter, presidential campaign worker, sewer worker, and retired guy -- but not in that order.

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SEPTEMBER 20, 2011 2:58AM

Playing poker with Herbert Hoover, maybe

Rate: 12 Flag

Barack Obama is maddening.  He does a good job of pissing off the left and the right royally, and his time in office represents an extremely mixed record. On health care you have to give Obama credit.  He went further in bringing comprehensive health care to every citizen in this country better than any president. By itself, this would take him far in placing him as a better than average president in American history.  And yet...

The last year or so of the Obama administration has been little short of a disaster.  Economists generally agree that the last thing that should be done to stimulate the economy is to cut spending and balance the budget during a recession, and yet Obama has  drunk the Kool Aid, focusing on deficit reduction far longer and harder than was healthy either for himself or the country.  And even the most passionate Obama supporter has to agree that the man's negotiation strategies recently have been abyssmal.  I said that if I was a criminal, and was expecting a 5 t0 10 year sentence and Obama was my lawyer, he'd probably make a deal with the DA to give me life in prison with no chance of parole.

Mr. Obama can be accused of shifting gears too slowly.  After all, his hands off strategy with Congress worked admirably with the health care bill, and he simply followed this approach too long in his wrangles with Congress over the budget and the deficit.    What Obama did and what Obama proposed may have made some sense in the 1960s or the 1980s. But of course, the culprits are the GOP and their Tea Party faction.

My take on the Tea Party is that their demographics have always been here in America, from the Know Nothing Party that elected Millard Fillmore, up to the Barry Goldwater, George Wallace, and Ronald Reagan supporters.  Many of these  people live on the politics of resentment, and they've been assisted since the time of Ronald Reagan by the incremental policies of neoconservativism.  Frankly in my opinion, the right wing ideology has come pretty close to its most extreme moment.  And I believe that its long term future is unsustainable.  The problem is this unsustainable ideology is also deeply tied to an unsustainable economy.

Over the decades, taxes on the wealthy have been reduced. Tax breaks for corporations have increased while the social net has been cut. American jobs have been outsourced for the mantra of global trade.  In the process, a death star economy (as in Star Wars) has been created, where global integration funnels more and more money to the upper classes, who become stronger and stronger at the expense of everyone else.  But the downside of this is that the world economy has become more and more fragile, and more and more prone to disastrous mood swings.

We are in that state now. The world appears to be on the brink of a Great Depression II in the near future.  I've outlined some of the basics of the Chinese housing and financial bubble elsewhere, and the situation in Europe seems to me to just about be unsolvable.  It all feels like being on a runaway train with a broken bridge looming off in the distance.

 Our Tea Party brethren aren't making things any rosier, as their number one goal, according to Mitch McConnell, is that Obama should fail.  This is their obstensible drive for cutting government spending without raising any taxes. And so with the prospect of political stagnation in Washington, DC, it looks like the USA is doing its part to help make a triple economic disaster.

All of this should be obvious.  But I think that a more basic, fundamental mechanism is at work here, at least for America. And here, we have to get personal, both with Mr. Obama and his opponents.  Cornel West, the Harvard professor whom Obama had a beer with after his run-in with the Cambridge, MA police, has recently said that Obama is "the black mascot of Wall Street."  I think that too many people  miss this aspect of Obama's personality.

Disregarding the hype around his biography, the most formative influence in young Obama's life was his grandmother, who happened to be the most influential female banker in Hawaii. Because of his upper class background, Obama found it easy to go to only the best schools.  And in the world of Harvard and the University of Chicago, he hobnobbed with the ruling classes of finance, academia, and business. In this rarified social strata, personal character is based on achievement.  There is the feeling that the world is indeed, a color blind meritocracy.

Contrast this with the roots of the Tea Party. Find a person who is a white, older, small businessman who's had some financial reversals, and who's been a Republican for the last thirty years, and you'll find the Tea Party. They and the people they influence think that Ivy League intellectuals somehow feel that they're superior to the average car or tire dealer.  Their ire is fanned by the plutocrats who play them like finger puppets. To some extent, these people do have legitimate grievances. But beyond that, there is racism.

The fat, old jokesters at the country club and the Glenn Beck lovers are racist -- pure and simple. They may have found that their racism is less socially acceptable than it has been in the past, and so they make every effort to disguise it.  Code words have been substituted.  Causes like welfare "reform," anti-Muslim hysteria,  and Right to Life are substitutes for hatred of the Other. And when a black man actually became  president, the hatred of the Other had a new and juicy target after eight years of spinning wheel of hatred elsewhere.

When Obama pursued the spirit of bipartisanship far too long, perhaps he assumed that anyone who had achieved a certain level of power or influence in Washington, DC was a member of the upper class, playing by upper class rules.  He didn't take into account that people like Mitch McConnell or Eric Cantor represent Dixieland and its constituents with fond memories of the Confederacy.

To be sure, Obama is a consumate politician.  You don't get to be POTUS  without a huge amount of political skill (and with some luck). And one rises to the Oval Office in America by ultimately playing to the center.  His stirring 2004 Democratic Convention speech was really a call towards playing in the center.  Liberals fooled themselves completely into thinking otherwise.  And Obama played the "to the center" handbook right up until the deficit ceiling negotiations.

Here he had the rudest of awakenings, and it was rumored that he was deeply depressed afterwards.  Certainly, he wasn't expecting the almost universal condemnation from left, right, and center.  Surely he was stung by catcalls at his negotiating skills and other taunts. And so in his speech to the joint session of Congress, he came out swinging.

Interestingly enough, the current rounds of Obama's proposals still play to the center.  Obama has emphasized the fact that much of his proposals have been put forward by Republicans in the past.  And a closer examination of his proposals reveal that Obama has set a series of painful traps for his GOP opponents.  In exchange for taxing a $1,000,000 a year income earner only $39,000 a year more in taxes, Obama has included tax cuts for all workers and small business owners.  And all corporations will be able to write off 100% of all capital expenditures for 2012 if the Obama proposals are passed.

Will these proposals have a chance in Congress?  No.  But Obama now has some bully talking points to go to the voters next year. But other, bigger questions remain.  Will Obama stay angry?  I think the anwer is yes, as I'm begining to think he knows that part of his opposition is based on the fact that they don't like the color of his skin. Will this anger finally make him look more presidential than he's appeared in the past?  Yes.

And the biggest question of all is, will the voters stick with a national leader who channels legitimate anger at his opponents, people who are more than willing to watch the country go down in flames than to see a black man spend another four years in the White House?  Mind you, this would mean sticking with a president saddled with the most horrible world economics of anyone since Herbert Hoover.  Or will they insist on putting some pinhead from Texas into the vice presidency, if not the Oval Office?

Time will tell.

 

 

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Strong medicine, this.
Time will tell. Hard calls here but you put things in good perspective. Thanks.
Let us hope the Prez has brown a pair.

R
I'm with ya, ONL. A Hoover in every pot! bukbukbukbuk
Lefty, here is where our difference in perspective really shows. As you know, as does anyone from reading my posts, I am a racialist/white nationalist. A racialist differs froma racist in that all racists think they are superior to another race merely because they belong to a certain race. The 70 IQ West Virginia chicken-screwing redneck confidently feels he is better than any black or Asian just because he is caucasian.

Racialists understand that there are differences in race that go beyond skin color, but feel the issue of superiority is an individual one and that racial differences are generalities.

Having stated the above, there ARE those who dislike Obama because he is non-white. There are others, however, who dislike Obama because he is an idiot. He was groomed for high political office, but his job performance has been bad because he lacks fundamental understanding of certain key issues. His narcissistic personality does not help him either.

If he ie reelected his performance will not improve. Obama has the additional problem of not knowing how to pick good staff. Reagan and both Bushes picked some sharp folks for their cabinets. Obama picked people who looked good on paper (in his opinion) but who do not know what they are doing. Pushing a political agenda is fine, but one must do so in an environment of a strong economy. Fix the big problems first and worry about the minutia later.
This is a really good post. I wasn't aware of the grandmother banker; that explains a lot.

Regarding the 2004 speech: What fooled me was that I thought he was advocating that we stop demonizing the Right, not that we shift Right. I thought we'd finally found a decent salesman. We hadn't. He also really misread the current crop of Republicans. We aren't exactly dealing with Bob Dole's generation here - these guys aren't dealers, they're crusaders, and Obama's the Infidel In Chief.

Obama has other problems. One is he has a nasty history of ignoring the base. He should have traveled to Wisconsin in the middle of that union-busting episode, an episode whose sole point was to get money away from a group that typically supports Democratic candidates. Now labor is in trouble, has less money, and is less inclined to support Obama to the hilt in the next election because they don't see him as enough of an ally even if they had the money. The recent election in New York for Wiener's seat illustrated another problem: polling indicates the seat went to the guy who first put Rush Limbaugh on the air because Jews in those districts were pissed at how Obama treats Israel. Personally, I support most of the policy stands Obama has taken in that regard, but I gather he's been gearing his rhetoric toward Arab sensibilities - what I've read about (but not verified) is stuff like listing nations who were victimized by terrorism and listing nations who helped with the earthquake in Haiti and leaving Israel off of both lists, which in both cases is Way over the top, as Israel belongs close to the top of both lists. (Israel's medical aid to Haiti was both faster and more comprehensive than that of the United States.)

No one is passionately centrist. That's one reason that what it takes to win a primary and what it takes to win an election are so different. Obama took the base for granted, and getting elected as a Democrat to national office without serious union and Jewish support is extremely difficult - and, in this case, completely unnecessary. He may get both, but not necessarily to the extent he needs.

I recently had an e-mail conversation with my father about Obama. He had this to say:

"I always said that Kennedy had great ideas but he never could have accomplished what Johnson did. Our president doesn't have a clue how to use the power of the presidency."

Dad's no fool.
Very insightful. I've said it before -- Obama may have a slightly darker skin tone, but he is far less "black" than I am. I've lived in the projects, I've been fed by the govt dole, and yes, I am resentful of the oppressive class structure in "classless" America, the structure that grants Bush the Lesser admission to Yale and Harvard and John McCain admission to Annapolis, and thus insures their place in our "classless" society, a place wholly unwarranted based on their performance.

This is, of course, the mythology that sustains our flawed system -- that anyone can become rich and successful through hard work and wit, and that anyone can grow up to be President. No, they can't, and the path to success has been made much more difficult for ordinary people thanks to undeserving slobs like W.

And now comes Obama to extoll the "virtues" of men like Jamie Dimon and Lloyd Blankfein, men who have made themselves obscenely rich by shitting on the dreams of millions of other Americans. He'll get my vote only because I won't have any other real choice other than a racist religious nutjob or a vacillating, little rich-boy born on third-base who thinks he hit a triple.
Here's what I don't get.

The so called money classes were appalled by the debt ceiling debate.

The so called money classes aren't opposed to Obama.

So exactly how are these Tea party morons anything but ignorant economic Luddites?

And as far as the reality of the debates on spending cuts -- NO ONE was proposing anything but the most trivial, symbolic spending cuts or tax increases before 2013.

This is a no brainer -- Short term -- Stimulus. Intermediate term ( 2013-2023) align public expenditures with revenues. Long term? Grow or die.

It sees to me that we have a political system that is divided by largely symbolic, rhetorical differences.

And as far as social class, what can be said about the Housewives of New Jersey? They don't seem to trailer trash living large. That's the point, I know. But this notion that we have any sort of coherent alignment between political parties, social class (or status), income levels, wealth, and economics is fantasy.

Just saying.
As good an analysis as I've ever seen. Most times I have no clue!
If he reads the papers, he will stay angry. This is the best press he's had in awhile, and it's all because he went after Boehner and the conservatives, even if he didn't go as far as many would have wanted. This Buffet Bill just might give him some traction, we can only hope!
You always cover a lot of ground ONL. First, I’m really not sure that racism is a primary factor in the recent excesses of the right. Look at how they worked like hell to undermine Clinton’s presidency. Hillary referred to the vast right wing conspiracy back in the 90s and while it’s gotten worse in today’s Fox/Tea Party incarnation, it was always headed in this direction. Or do you think that Hillary would have gotten an easier ride?

As for it being unsustainable, well, the only way I see it receding is another eight years of a right wing republican (redundancy?) presidency. Eight more years of Bush/Reagan policies should be enough to convince all but the 20% or so most hardened TPers that low taxes for the rich, big military budgets and shit sandwiched for everyone else is a lousy way to run a country. But that approach puts me in mind of the I Claudius quote when hatching his too clever plan to let Nero be his successor: “Let all the poisons that lurk in the mud hatch out.” That didn’t work out so well.

As for his approach to now, I think he saw the excessive partisanship as inimical to the reasonable and responsible exercise of governing. So he tried accommodation and gentle persuasion. That hasn’t worked but I don’t greatly fault him for trying. But it’s high time the gloves came off. You’re probably right that the debt ceiling fiasco shook him up. I still think that as the day approaches, the prospects of a President Perry will scare some of his disenchanted ex-backers into his corner.
The people who originally supported Obama took a break after he was elected. The left the field of play and figured that Obama would run ball down the field and score touchdown after touchdown, single handed. Well, guess what? The Tea Party kept playing and in the election of 2010, a clear message was sent to the president: the right is moving the ball and your supporters have walked off the field.

And now I read comment after comment blaming Obama for not being more to the left.

Ladies and gentlemen, had we done our job and elected Democrats in 2010, we'd have the president we wanted. I live in Massachusetts and I watched as a complacent Democrat Party handed the election to Scott Brown.

It's time to get off the bench and get back in the game. Volunteer to support your Democrat candidates. Attend meetings, donate cash. The alternative is to let the Tea Party roll down the field.
nice analysis dude. KS writes "No one is passionately centrist."
this is starting to bother me, its a thought thats been forming in my head amidst all the endless blathering .... someone needs to point out, and develop the thesis--- the "swing voters" are probably sometimes *impressed* by passion, dedication, spine. in uneventful times, you want a centrist, moderate president, but in the middle of a crisis, you need someone authoritative and forceful, instead of someone trying to be moderate & build consensus all the time and the center is gonna respond to that. sometimes ya gotta crack some eggs to make an omelette & if you cant stand the heat get out of the kitchen.
"a man who doesnt stand for something will fall for anything" --MLK
Here's a little analogy I've made in the past. When FDR became President, organized labor and the left had become so powerful that there was a legitimate possibility that the U.S. might go Socialist. Yet, because of the structure of the Government (e.g., committee seniority system, any Senator can block legislation etc.) disproportionate Southern power, and racist implementation and administration of Government programs, despite the many progressive FDR initiatives and legislation, Blacks were largely exempted from benefiting while White workers became the middle class.

When JFK was President, unionized labor was 36% of the labor force and they were strongly behind him as was the organized Civil Rights movement. Yet, despite the fact that he was a War Hero, he was unable to fire two of his military Joint Chiefs of Staff because of the power base they had in the Senate and with right-wing political forces in the country. So he supported having the movie, "Seven Days In May" made to help put a spotlight on them (some were even talking of a coup - and this was after he had stared down the Soviets during Cuban missle crisis). This was also only 3 years after Eisenhower gave his "Beware the Military Industrial Complex" speech.

After Kennedy, Johnson still had the 36% unionized labor and Civil Rights movement, and the urban riots etc. all helped put pressure on the administration to force some additional progressive policies etc.

Fast forward 50 years. The right-wing corporate militrary industrial complex is far more powerful than it was then. There is now Fox News and all its people, Limbaugh who himself reaches over 20 million a day, over 1500 rightwing radio stations, all of the bogus corporate funded internet blogs and Koch brother backed Tea Party, a far more organized and politically active "religious network" of thousands of churches, etc. PLUS, before he left office, Bush and Rove gave civil service protection to all of their true believer extremist types in ALL levels of Government so that they couldn't be fired when Obama came into office. That includes the Justice Department and many other places that have oversight responsibilities and from elections to Wall St. AND Repubs have filibustered everything except what they want, including Federal Judges and U.S. Attorneys (who direct the FBI to pursue investigations in their regions) and the Department directors, assistants etc. So the people Bush/Rove put in place are there preventing investigations of what had been done by them and their cronies...

BUT unlike Kennedy and Johnson, unions only make up 6% of labor now, there is NO Civil Rights movement, the President "bully pulpit" is far less influential (e.g. he now only reach 10% population in a national televised broadcast compared to 50% and up in the past when there only 3 networks and no choice). Plus, the right-wing always organizes to SUPPORT their President and politicians from the bottom up including at Town Halls while themselves running for School Board positions at local level and organizing at the State level financed with tons of money, taking over 7 of them and passing legislation making it more difficult to vote for those most likely to vote for Dems,...while the Left focuses only on "issues" (dozens of them) and whether or not the Democrats take the most liberal position possible on them and if not, then they are attacked for not having "backbone." The Left does not organize around electoral politics and power but "issues" and expects elected officials to just "do their job" as if that's how America has ever worked. It's NEVER worked that way. That's why there was a Civil Rights movement, labor movement, etc.

The Left has blinded itself to just how good Obama is and rather than back him they've thrown stones...he's up against forces that are FAR MORE powerful than they were in the past, far more funded, with far more powerful technology and media to penetrate the national consciousness with their constant lies and attacks...yet Obama has NO countervailing force backing him up. Rather just snipe at him.

So he's forced to do what Ali did against Foreman - play "rope-a-dope" and do so in a country where the President is voted in NOT by the popular vote, but by State by State electoral votes...and his speeches only reach a small segment of the population...EVERYTHING is filtered through the media. There is NO direct transmission from Obama's mouth to the public's ears. So unfortunately, the so called "independents" in key States DO hold us all by the throats and they are constantly being barraged by right-wing media messages or what just filters through the "mainstream" media which itself has moved more to the right because of the successful "perception management" techniques deployed by the right-wing at all levels - Check out Robert Parry on this.

Anyway, that's more than enough for now, except for this final quip I leave for all those who doubt, are mad at, have deserted, etc. our President:
"BE GRATEFUL, NOT HATEFUL"

Cheers,
Ron
rated!
Nice outrage; Horrible, and very stupid, post.

Your info is WRONG, how sad you'd believe such nonsense.

The lovely and sweet Mrs. Dunham was certainly entirely un-influential here in Honolulu. She worked hard, for sure, and after starting as a teller eventually became a branch manager for the Bank of Hawaii, a place my kala ($) will never sit. (all people please join credit unions- NOW!) As anyone with even a yawning interest in banking knows, vice-president most often just means branch manager and most banks, try Wells out, have thousands of so-called VPs. This in no way denigrates her trail blazing as a female, however, ask a branch manager about their pay ... perhaps a quarter to a fifth of of what a VP of say, any tech company, makes.

BAD INFO BRO!!!

Destroys all your hard work with what we are now calling lo-info TeaBagging type of so-called info gathering. F- is your grade.

Now, I grew up a mile from the prez, was not friends with him (he's much younger and I stupidly thought he was overated as a baller, not a bad surfer though, in small South Shore waves), however, my old school is right next to his and I know PLENTY of people who know him well, and have met his lovely, charming and do-gooding sister more than once, a great person as the whole family seems to be. So, when I tell you that you've blown it completely and look like a fool to everyone in the Islands, well, pay attention.

THE FACTS: Obama remembers what it is like to live off food stamps, as do I, and we both worked hard to be sure our kids would never have to suffer the shame that million more in this great USA have this year. He went to Punahou ON A SCHOLARSHIP. This school, by far the best high school in the world if you rank successful elite as the measure, as I constantly point out here to you and others with COTTON IN YOUR EARS and BLINDERS ON YOUR EYES, costs more than most colleges, but, one can easily say its worth it as it has produced more US Senators (multiple states) more US Congressmen, more US Admirals, more US Generals, countless Hawaii Politicians and Governors, tons of folks with great success in sports and entertainment (can you say Kingston Trio or 49ers Super Bowl Rings?) and more self-made Billionaires (admittedly most started with wealth) including the guy who pretty much single-handedly gave us online worlds, the guys who gave us the technology that runs the current web, and so on.

Now, if Obama wanted to be just like them, he easily could have. Punahou is a pass to success here in the Islands, and, in fact, its graduates have the type of influence you FALSELY ascribe to the late and missed Mrs. Dunham ... However, your assumptions are totally false, as stated here multiple times to make the point, and what ALL OF YOU WILL SOON SEE is that, far from abandoning his roots and what it is like to be a poor Popolo, unlike traitorous Toms such as Clarence Thomas and the incredibly disgusting Herman "The Munster" Cain, race traitors both, he will instead straighten all this out in 2013, just like HCR in 09.

You are entitled to your opinions on America, most are spot-on ... don't ruin your own work with ROT.

Auwe (Alas)
oahu knows more than I do about Obama's grandmother. My bad. But I still think this psychoanalysis has something going for it.
The key to understanding the Tea Baggers, IMHO, is that they represent and promote a mythical 19th century America. An America with a whole continent of resources to exploit, with just some Indians to kill off to get the land and the resources.

What scares the shit out of them is the reality: their Corporate enablers have destroyed the productive sectors of the economy, leaving only money shifters and paper pushers. In order to get the Stuff that drives trade in the real economy (which stuff is almost wholly imported), the fascists (look it up under Mussolini) seek to control the money supply. It's necessary to keep a lid on the exchange rates, in order to get the Stuff.

Further, there's the Fat Man in Famine vector. For those with cash caches, deflation is a very good thing. Deflation turns their cache into more cash, all with no risk; they don't even need to move the money out of the bank (or mattress). Make no mistake, what happened during Hoover is easily possible. Dumb rednecks (I know, redundant) only need to feel superior to someone (black folks serve the purpose) in order to ignore their self-inflicted poverty.