Roger Fallihee

Roger Fallihee
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Seattle, Washington,
Birthday
September 29
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Writer/Producer
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Falling To Grace
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Father, husband, project manager, screenwriter, blogger, and cancer survivor. Life is good

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JULY 2, 2009 6:45PM

Is Sarah Palin The Next Franklin Roosevelt?

Rate: 29 Flag

Alaska Governor Sarah Palin is back in the news, the subject of a scathing and brutal Vanity Fair article by Todd S. Purdam.  

sarah_palin_nude_turkey 

Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, will attempt to buck history in 2012. 

Since the American public has the memory of a gnat (who lost the World Series last year?) it's unlikely that a hit piece published in 2009 will hurt her GOP presidential chances in 2012.

Mrs. Palin is faced with a much more formidable foe than a Vanity Fair reporter; United States electoral history.

FDR

 Franklin Roosevelt, 1920 VP loser.

Vanquished vice-presidential nominees simply do not have a path to the White House.  Historically, whatever goodwill that they built up with the voters quickly fades away.

Franklin Roosevelt, the failed Vice Presidential candidate in 1920, was elected President in 1932, becoming the only defeated VP candidate in modern United States history to move into 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.

A look at the last twelve losing Vice Presidential candidates (not including Mrs. Palin) reveals an accomplished group of people, all successful in life’s pursuits, yet all falling well short of the coveted Oval Office. 

In fact, since 1960 only Walter Mondale and Bob Dole received their party’s nomination for President, after losing vice-presidential campaigns. Both were soundly defeated in the general elections.

The Last Twelve VP Losers In Chronological Order

JohnEdwards(098)
News of Edwards affair ended a promising political career.
  

2004  John Edwards 

Edwards sought the Democratic nomination in 2008, finishing second to Barack Obama in the Iowa Caucus. After coming in third in New Hampshire, and in his birth state of South Carolina, he dropped out of the race, eventually endorsing Obama. He held back that endorsement until he was certain that Obama would prevail. Edwards solidified his image as a major-league loser by cheating on his cancer-ridden wife Elizabeth.

Joe-Lieberman
Blatant opportunism made Joe the least trusted member of the Senate.

 2000  Joe Lieberman

Lieberman ran in 2004, placing a distant seventh in the popular vote,  winning no primaries, and accumulating fewer votes than Al Sharpton and Dennis Kucinich.  Running as a pro Iraq War candidate in the Democratic primaries was at best a miscalculation and at worst a symptom of an over-inflated sense of importance.  Senator Lieberman, also known as a vocal dead-ringer for Alf's dad, was last seen holding his finger in the air, trying to figure out which way the wind was blowing.

Jack Kemp
Kemp won many NFL games, but the big prize eluded him.

1996  Jack Kemp

The highly regarded and genial former Congressman, Cabinet member, and NFL quarterback, attempted to run in 2000.  Unable to raise the amount of money needed to compete, he abondoned his exploratory committee and endorsed George W. Bush.  He passed away earlier this year. 

Dan-Quayle-medium-new
Quayle never had a chance but that didn't stop him from trying.

 1992  Dan Quayle

Quayle sat out the race in 1996, calculating that he would not be able to defeat Bill Clinton.  He threw his hat in the ring in 2000, finishing eighth in the Iowa Caucus. He quickly dropped out of the race and supported George W. Bush. Quayle is said to be quite pleased with his new title as the "Second Dumbest VP Candidate In History."

LOYDBENTSEN
Bentsen's Kennedy quip remains a classic debate moment.

1988  Lloyd Bentsen

Bentsen, who famously informed Dan Quayle that "he was no John Kennedy," did not run in 1992.  He served as Treasury Secretary in the Clinton administration, fifth in the line of succession to the presidency. A series of strokes prevented him from seeking the highest office in the land.

GeraldineFerraro
Mondale's 1984 Hail Mary pick.

1984  Geraldine Ferarro

Justice Department probes into her and her husband's finances derailed any thoughts of running in 1988. She ran for the United States Senate in New York, in 1992 and 1998, failing to get through the primaries.

mondale
Not so close and no cigar.

1980  Walter Mondale

Mondale lost the 1980 election as the sitting Vice President. He won the Democratic nomination in 1984, losing in a landslide to Ronald Reagan.  Mondale lost forty-nine states to Reagan, barely carrying his home state of Minnesota.  Seen as an elder statesman of the Democratic Party, Mondale served as Ambassador to Japan in the Clinton administration.

bobdole
War hero and Viagra peddler had three chances, no wins.

1976  Bob Dole

The most persistent of recent losing candidates, Dole ran in 1980, losing to Ronald Reagan.  He ran again in 1988, falling to George H.W. Bush. He won the Republican nomination in 1996, and was trounced by Bill Clinton. Dole became a pitchman for Viagra, and a frequent Meet The Press guest.

Shriver
The handsome Shriver ended up on the ticket after Eagleton crashed.

1972  Sargent Shriver

George McGovern's second choice for vice president, after post-convention revelations of Thomas Eagleton's mental health problems, Maria Shriver's father sought the Democratic nomination in 1976, finishing below “Uncommitted” in the Iowa Caucus. The driving force behind the creation of the Peace Corp, Shriver quietly returned to his lucrative private life as a litigator, philathropist, and Kennedy spouse.

Muskie
Heavily favored Muskie fell apart in New Hampshire.

1968  Edmund Muskie

In one of the classic meltdowns in campaign history, Muskie broke down and cried in front of reporters after allegations that his wife drank too much and swore in public.  Muskie tried and failed to convince the voters that they weren't tears, but melted snowflakes running down his cheeks.

1964  William Miller

Miller, a New York Congressman, Nuremberg prosecutor, and the father of liberal radio host Stephanie Miller, never again sought political office. He managed to parlay his obscurity into one of American Express's first "Do You Know Me," commercials.

1960  Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr.

Lodge, a true Republican blue-blood, won the New Hampshire primary as a write-in candidate.  The win vaulted the politically reluctant Lodge into the race, where he never won another primary.

*    *    *

The notion that Sarah Palin, less presidential than any of these losing candidates, including Dan Quayle, can somehow buck historical trends and become the next Franklin Roosevelt, is impossible to imagine.

However Mrs. Palin has made a career of exceeding expectations and she has a strong base of enthusiastic supporters. She will compete with other political lightweights like Bobby Jindal and Mike Huckabee for the affections of the right wing.  Unless something seismic happens to Mitt Romney, like it turns out that he has a South American mistress, he will be rewarded with the 2012 nod.

Sarah Palin will likely never be the President of the United States, but she has cemented her place in history alongside Estes Kefauver, John Bricker, and Frank Knox.

*    *    *

Over the same time period only Richard Nixon, Lyndon Johnson, and George H.W. Bush went from winning the vice presidency to the White House... and the Tampa Bay Rays lost the World Series last year.

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One could only hope that the RNC picks Palin in 2012. That would be entertaining.
It certainly would be, except fot the thought that she would have at least a 40% chance of winning.
I would vote for a Palin and Clinton ticket. Give women a chance. Or a Palin and Rice ticket...anything but some old as white Senator...like McCain or Dole. Thank God they are all entering ancient history as I am.
TS, did you ask your friend to remove my comment?:)
Whew, I thought Sarah was having a sex change.
I hope history repeats itself then.... well documented with great photos & facts! Good job Roger.
Palin might run in '12, but only to sell her book and perhaps some glow-in-the-dark Jesus Slays a Wolf figurines.

Anyone endorsing her is erecting a gigantic Dumbass billboard.

I remember when some panicked when she popped Mac into a slight polling lead. The first time I heard her speak off the cuff, I knew Mac was doomed. I told my friends to relax - that Sarah was a ticking time boob.

She's slipped pretty substantially in Alaska. Running for VP was a big mistake as far as her political career goes. She is, however, primed to be yet another Rwing Shrill Shill, and milk those mental goober cows for funds.
I can't wait.....yawn....for the book.........
Roger, this is awesome! I love Vanity Fair and look forward to reading the article. I just watched a great segment on MSNBC about SP...slimy politician. Sounds like there may be nothing to worry about, but just seeing her on TV is disheartening. Thanks for this!
Given these facts, I think I can sleep better tonight. Well done.
I hope history repeats itself. This time.
"Oh, jeeeesh, Roj, yoo knows, you flitter me. Dats good company you betcha."
Rated for random interesting facts which is my soft spot.
I was happy when she made her first speech, it went downhill from there very quickly.

Can't wait to read the article. Well done piece.
A most awesome compilation of comforting information.

I simply can't imagine Palin pulling off such a feat, regardless of the base she's manipulated into place. She's just such a spectacular idiot.

Can't WAIT to read that Vanity Fair article, thanks for the head's up on that too!
VERY well done, Roger. Thanks for the Tweet. NYT says she's resigning promptly.
I worked for Mondale and Bentsen. sigh

Who beat the Rays? ::cough:: Ahem.


PHILLIES!!
"Sarah Palin will likely never be the President of the United States"
Let's hope that this prophesy is indeed true althoug as ocularnervosa statee, it would be an entertaining campaign.
We can only hope that Palin would not run...that she would leave politics forever. I sure hope you're right!
My views are often proved correct in the long run, although they are not popular with the short-term conventional wisdom.
I have predicted that she will be president, and stand by that, because the current international and domestic order is dynamically unstable, and will fail, and she will arise from the ashes. But great history.Rated
Again, I do not understand the hateful rhetoric toward an upstanding conservative woman...Is it just because she is very conservative and many of you are not? I am ashamed that people in our country saw fit to harass her and her family. Women especially conservative women are still suffer very much prejudice.
Palin is the gift that keeps on giving. Seriously, every time she opens her mouth, she says something that just makes you wonder what the hell is she thinking!

People like Jon Stewart, with jokers like Boehner and Palin and Jindal and Steele in charge of the republican party, could lay off half their writers and still have plenty to work with.
I think there is way more to this than a tinkering 5 inch high heel stride to the white house. It seems that the rumors abound and one is that there federal indictments about to descend on Palin having to do with the building of her house and the Wasilla Sports Megaplex, oops, Complex.

themudflats.net has been following the Sarah and Todd show for quite some time, well before we knew her on the national stage.

And for added insurance, there is Roger's fabulous theory.

More to it. Way more.
that's quite a list (and a little comfort).
I hope history continues to repeat itself. Rated
thesagejournal, I guess I'd like to turn this question around. Why, as a conservative and a conservative woman do you want to "invest" in someone like Palin, whose lack of ethics (she has been reprimanded by the Republican controlled board in her state) and lack of a strong grasp of the issues, have made her a second-rate conservative.
ps
Palin's comment in today's statement, that people have been mocking her Down's Syndrome son was a total fantasy. Who has mocked that child?
"Women especially conservative women are still suffer very much prejudice."

They are second in line to the prejudice suffered by conservative men, who, to listen to them, are just this side of Jews in Nazi Germany.

My heart goes out to you, "sage"journal, though only for your self-delusion.
Anyone like to speculate along with me on what the REAL reasons for the resignation? (as opposed to the bullshit she's spewing?) The inappropriate use of state funds? Acceptance of "gifts" in exchange for favors? Secret fund for husband's hair gel and fuel for snowmobile? Did SHE mother Michael Jackson's children??
Sarah is a babbling mess and every time she opens her mouth she sounds less informed and just darn stupid.
Just judging by her slurred speech, and vacant eyes yesterday, I think that maybe her world is crumbling. The fantasy land where her values and strong beliefs are those of the world is becoming unteneble. She'll be divorced and doing a Hustler shoot in six months, or maybe in prison. I think Sanfords exposure as another christian fraud may have a far reaching effect on the vocal right wing christian cadre. She'll never be an FDR even if the connection is only as a failed VP that gets elected president.
Don,

I think you are right. I don't know who she will pick and I don't know if Rice will ever run for office. What I do think is that there are so many people, just look around here, who don't give her a chance and dismiss her that she may ruin lots of peoples day when she says those famous words, "I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will faithfully execute the Office of President of the United States, and will to the best of my ability, preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States."
The next Franklin Roosevelt? You mean Sarah is having an affair with her private secretary?

What an insult to mention this psychotic broad in the same sentence as President Franklin Roosevelt!
I believe that most fifth graders in this country know more about foreign affairs, domestic affairs and the functioning of the federal government than Ms. Palin. I also found it shameless, cruel and unbelievably self-serving that she used her children the way she did in attempt to garner support for her campaign. I was frightened to death that she would be vice-president of the United States.
Sarah will never be president because, besides being a certifiable narcissist, she has a woman problem. She is that idiotic hottie mean girl that disgusts more than half the women in this country. Even her crocodile tears are laced with acid. Not a team player. Real women have a serious logical and strategic grasp of the work at hand, and... they don't quit.
There's more to this than meets the eye.

Max Blumental reports on The Daily Beast that Sarah Palin may have quit her job today because she was trying to avert a major, yet-to-be-disclosed corruption scandal. The gist of the rumor is that an Alaska building company called Spenard Building Supplies (SBS) was awarded a contract by Palin to build a hockey arena in Wasilla, AK, and in return, SBS helped construct Palin’s home.

See: http://thinkprogress.org/2009/07/03/palin-hockey-arena-scandal/
Pay No Attention to the Man, uh... heh I mean... Woman behind the curtain. I was really missing George Carlin (RIP) until this week.
sarah Falin'-palin LIKE F.D.R., YOU SAY?
HAHAHAHAHAHAHA! I NEEDED A GOOD LAUGH TODAY!
TO USE A LLOYD BENTSEN PHRASE, "sarah, I Knew F.D.R.,
and Falin'-palin, YOU ARE NO F.D.R.! HAR! HAR! HAR!!!!!!"
EXCEPT IN THAT F.D.R. WAS A PHYSICAL CRIPPLE WHILE YOU, sarah, ARE A MORAL ONE, HIP-HIP-HOORAY!!!!!

HAH!!!!!


(^0^)V OPEN SEASON ON repug-govs., FOLKS!!!!!
Who is Sarah Polin?She want live always in lime light and gossip mongers American run behind her.She is very happy reading all news appearing in all media, her intention are fulfilled. She know the psyche of American masses, how to make them fool ?Iam not surprise if in next presidential election she will elect as a new president of America.
Well, I thought that John McCain had lost his mind when he foisted Ms.Palin on the american voters. I was torn between McCain and Obama until McCain produced Palin as his V.P. pick. Then I knew that he just wouldn't make it. There was no way that I was going to take a chance that JM would die in office and leave us with SP as our V.P.!
I wish that she would just educate herself about history,foreign affairs and current affairs in the U.S. and THEN maybe in several years she would be qualified to run for some office, although never would I vote for her as Pres. or as anyone's V.P. next in line as POTUS.
My crystal ball is telling me there is to much hate going on in this place. It is also telling me that when she wins in 2012 that people here will be lining up to jump out of Kerry's window in NYC the day after the election.
catnlion, you might be right. Just because Palin is unprepared to be President doesn't mean that she won't win.
A wonderful summing up which I found extremely informative!
I think your point is well-taken Roger. Running for VP and losing is pretty much a guaranteed way to get a one-way ticket on the obscurity express.

I don't know if Romney is a shoo-in for 2012, though. I think it's much easier at this point to say that certain folks have no chance than to say that someone is a "favorite." This far out, the landscape has a way of changing. Romney is definitely on the short list of contenders for now, though. The fact that he holds no elected office right now is a problem for him, however.
I remembered who lost the World Series last year...because I'm a Phillies fan and we WON the WOrld Series last year!
Liz, I agree on Romney, that it is very early. The 2012 nominee could come from left field. I'm pretty certain that it won't be Palin, Gingrich, or Huckabee.
Dark horse could be Ambassador/Governor Huntsman, who could have a highly visible split with Obama, and present himself as a "uniter not a divider"