Robert's Virtual Soapbox

(or, The Sanctimonious Professional Leftist's Blog)
JANUARY 19, 2012 12:01PM

Another one bites the dust

Rate: 4 Flag

Republican Presidential candidate and Texas Governor Rick Perry sits down for lunch at The Drive-In Restaurant in Florence, South Carolina

Reuters photo

Texas Gov. Rick Perry, shown in South Carolina earlier this week, is to drop out of the presidential race today. Perry couldn’t catch fire even in the backasswards, white supremacist state of South Carolina, polling dead last.

When I saw yesterday that Texas Gov. Rick Perry was polling at only 6 percent in South Carolina, putting him at fifth and last place, I wondered why in the hell he was remaining in the race. He came in at fifth place in Iowa and sixth place in New Hampshire, and if he couldn’t do well in fellow secessionist red state South Carolina, it definitely would be all over for him.

Maybe — just maybe — Perry figured that he’d rather his paltry support in South Carolina go to the top not-Mitt-Romney candidate when South Carolinans vote on Saturday, and that’s why he reportedly is dropping out of the race today. South Carolina, after all, very most likely is the last chance to deny Romney his crown. (Or maybe it wasn’t a bit of actual selflessness at all; maybe Perry just didn’t want another humiliating loss…)

Only about a third of South Carolinans want Mitt Romney to be the Repugnican Tea Party presidential candidate, but with Perry’s departure, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul remain in the race to split the anyone-but-Romney vote three ways.

I have to wonder if the far right is going to make Ron Paul its Ralph Nader of sorts, blaming Paul’s candidacy for splitting the vote and enabling Romney to win the party’s nomination.

Anyway, I believe that it primarily was a combination of two things that sank Rick Perry’s candidacy: the fact that the last governor from Texas who became president now is He Whose Name Shall Not Be Mentioned even within his own party, and the fact that Perry’s debate performances were disastrous. Overcoming the inevitable comparison to He Whose Name Shall Not Be Mentioned would have been a tall order for Perry, but Perry’s utterly unpresidential presence doomed him.

Let’s just hope that Perry remains politically dead outside of his own backasswards state of Texas.

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Good riddance to bad trash. There's one less vicious clown in the race, and now they're saying Rick "The Gays Are Gonna Gitcha" Santorum actually won in Iowa. Romney's still the likely eventual nominee, but suddenly it doesn't look as inevitable it did a few days ago.
I don't know. It seems to me that it's possible at this point for Romney to lose the No. 1 spot in South Carolina on Saturday (although if he does, I don't think that it will be by much). If the wingnuts now rally behind Gingrich, it seems to me, Gingrich might pull it off for No. 1. We'll see...
I'll go a step further -- let's hope Perry's humiliating himself and his state on the national stage does him in in Texas, too. On the other hand, Rick may have fled the scene to improve his chances at getting the VP nod -- but throwing his pathetic support to Newt would seem to have squelched any chance of that.

The likeliest Repugnant ticket will be Mitt P and Santorum VP, and if that isn't enough to get to scare the bejesus out of liberals and progressives -- and anyone else with half a brain -- and get them to vote for Obama, I don't know what will.

There is one small ray of hope, for Obama -- and the rest of us thinking people. Newt may be so pissed at Mitt that he runs as a third-party candidate and divides the Repugnant vote. After all, he's got nothin' to lose; he's done in the Repugnant Party in any case, and meantime, he can keep sucking in millions from Christian Conservative millionaires disenchanted with Mittmormon.
Update: According to a piece on Yahoo! News this afternoon, Romney is nosediving in South Carolina, while Gingrich is surging there.

The news item is here:

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/signal/romney-nosediving-south-carolina-gingrich-surges-205809297.html

So it appears as though it will be Romney or Gingrich who wins South Carolina. The question appears to be whether or not the anyone-but-Romneyites can consolidate enough support (in Gingrich) between now and Saturday. They have precious little time.

Thing is, of the remaining four Repugnican Tea Party presidential contenders, Romney has always done better in matchups against Barack Obama than has any of his opponents. (Source: http://pollingreport.com/wh12gen.htm )
Tom: I have no idea how much Perry's shitty performance on the national stage has hurt or will hurt him in his home state.

Repugnican Tea Party Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer did horribly in her first gubernatorial debate -- she blanked out on live TV for several awkward seconds -- and after that disastrous debate she decided not to participate in any more debates. Yet she went on to win the election in November 2010 nonetheless, because the people of Arizona are fucktards.

I don't see that Texans are any different. In fact, they're worse, from what I can tell from here in California.

My guess is that the 2012 Repugnican Tea Party veep candidate will not be someone who has run for the presidential nomination -- my guess is that it will be someone like U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida. They'll want someone who isn't a middle-aged or old white guy in the No. 2 spot on the ticket, I'm thinking. (Rubio, for instance, would be a nod to the Latino vote and to the more youthful vote.)

I'd be surprised if Gingrich were to try to run as an independent/third-party candidate. I wouldn't be shocked if Ron Paul did so, though... Of the 2012 Repugnican Tea Party presidential contenders, Paul has always been the biggest outsider. We'll see...
I think Perry's comment describing Social Security as a ponzi scheme sunk his boat long before South Carolina hit his radar screen. The elderly do vote.
Will it be Mitt MeGreedy as the final distasteful candidate?? Or Newt?? Either one are equally distasteful. Yet I do think Rubio will be the VP pick. He has tons of big money backers and will surely pull in the up and comers of the Latino votes.
I agree that Rubio is on the short list for VP, along with Nikki Haley and Santorum. Since Newt has little if any chance at that spot, and since he's burned his bridges (long ago) with the GOP ruling class, I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him run third-party. Hell, for him it's just another money-making scam. Ron Paul definitely will not run as a third because he doesn't want to sully the chances of Prince Rand winning the GOP nomination in 2016.
I think that any third-party/independent 2012 presidential bid -- with the possible exception of Americans Elect -- is unlikely. However, should Ron Paul run as an independent or on a third-party ticket (if there still is time for him to do so), I wouldn't be shocked. I doubt that he's that worried about his son's political future.

I have no idea what Newt would or wouldn't do, but it seems to me that he won't be able to overcome Openmarriagegate. Unless Newt wins South Carolina on Saturday, I think he's probably toast.

With rapidly changing U.S. demographics, I think that it would be a mistake for the Repugnican Tea Party to have two white guys on the 2012 ticket. The 2010 Census put whites at 72 percent of the American population, so no more than about 36 percent of Americans are white males.

The Repugs tried a woman at the No. 2 spot last time around, so I kind of doubt that they'll try that again this time. So yeah, Marco Rubio is looking like a strong veep candidate to me...