In their testimony today before the House Committee on Financial Services, both Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner made the same point: If the government had had the power in September to do more, it could have saved us all the AIG mess of the past few months. Bernanke (emphasis mine):
The decision by the Federal Reserve on September 16, 2008, with the full support of the Treasury, to lend up to $85 billion to AIG should be viewed with this background in mind. At that time, no federal entity could provide capital to stabilize AIG and no federal or state entity outside of a bankruptcy court could wind down AIG. Unfortunately, federal bankruptcy laws do not sufficiently protect the public’s strong interest in ensuring the orderly resolution of nondepository financial institutions when a failure would pose substantial systemic risks, which is why I have called on the Congress to develop new emergency resolution procedures.
Now we come to a big-picture American Democracy question: Do extraordinary times call for extraordinary measures? And if so, how do you go back to regular measures during regular times?
I am in favor of them having this power at this moment. In fact, I would've been in favor of someone having this power when AIG went down, during that "extraordinary time." I feel less confident, though, thinking of this power being available to any Treasury at any time. I'm also bothered by the idea that it might be necessary in the future, that the possibility of being artfully wound down by the Treasury will prove itself to be such a kind, clean option that the number of companies who are too big to fail will increase in the next few years instead of declining.
By this, I mean that the possibility exists that the government is creating an insurance policy for badly behaving financial institutions -- well, not for the institutions themselves, because I assume a Treasury take-down would be painful, and would at the least involve installation of new management and new priorities and, most likely, since it was a huge focus on the Hill today, strict compensation limits. No, it seems like this could encourage investment in risky firms by institutionalizing the current bailout scheme. What I mean is this: if company AIH made a whole bunch of bad deals, and you, as head of J.Q. Morgan, knew it, you'd be less likely to make any deals with them -- unless you knew that the Treasury would never let that company go bankrupt. It might take it apart, sure, but you'd be protected under that extraordinary scenario. So why not gamble?
Essentially, I see this authority as setting up an FDIC-like guarantee for non-depository (or what I like to think of as "UnBank Banks") organizations. And if that's the way it's going to be, there must be rules.
The FDIC has the authority right now to shut down depository institutions. This is granted through an exchange: banks pay for that protection, through premiums/fees, and also through increased transparency and regulation. Those three things would be a fantastic overhaul for the financial system, if the Treasury would demand them from the institutions.
I'm in favor of this package of regulations, as I've said before. But we should have learned by now that expanding powers should also require expanded monitoring and responsibility. I hope this is what we'll see in the finished plan, when it gets to Congress, or what we'll see in the continuing testimony on Thursday.
Programming note: I'm traveling this week, so there will be a delay in my response -- in fact I'm able to read comments as they come in, but can't log in to reply on the go (no java capability, I guess?). So bear with me; I'm here, I'm reading, I'll get back to anyone who comments (and catch up on the last two) as soon as I can.

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i'm still trying to absorb it all and make sense of the various opinions i'm seeing here. not sure if i'm in favor or not at this point but leaning toward in favor.
In the end, the decisions on the way they want to re-arrange the deck chairs on the U.S. Titanic are meaningless (they seem meaningful standing on the deck, they lose meaning when you pull back to look at the ship). This much I can tell you: were anyone to make any sort of true reform, he'd be roasted alive (I know you probably disagree with that). Everything else is just a shell game for pundits and public consumption.
Once you give the government extraordinary powers, the government will be loathe to give those powers up. I have little confidence that Congress will put any concrete status quo ante measures of that sort into the final bill.
There is so much depth to this mess and so many layers I just don't think people get it. So many questions about AIG when the real questions that Big Boy Ben needs to answer is where did all of the first trillion dollar bail out go? Where is the outrage in total? AIG is one corporation. As President Obama said last night (and I only half agree but for consumer lending purposes he needed to say it) we can't feel like every financial organization is like AIG. Consumer confidence and locked down credit markets are our two biggest culprits right now. I love Chuck Todd and feel he is one of the best correspondents out there, but I felt his question about what can average Americans be asked to sacrifice right now was a bit insane. What MORE can we sacrifice? How many members of OS have lost their jobs? Taken pay cuts? Paid out the rectum for Health Care benefits that are sub-par? Chuck should have put the caveat of what more can wealthy, upper crust Americans and bandit like House Flippers sacrifice for this country?
second, your point about moral hazard is well taken. we got into this mess doing things like this; that does not seem to be the way to get out,beyond a very time limited and credible guarantee that there is no more heads i win tails you lose gambling with public money.
third, i especially think procopius makes a point that concentration is the issue that is not being addressed. there are plenty of people who are smart enough to do this stuff; as it is, we keep putting more and more power in the hands of a smaller number of people. bad idea. good job as usual.
I am fairly concerned that the meme on the right at the moment is that "Obama is dangerous." This was the same type of thinking that inspired Prescott Bush to try to lead a coup (yes, it wasn't Rev. Wright but Bush's own grandfather who was the real insurgent).
After all, Roubini was one of the few to forsee these events-- and say so publicly.
Here's a link...
I do disagree, Harry, but perhaps not as strenuously as you'd think. There's certainly increasing danger in being a real reformer these days.
Procopius, you've summarized my fear -- the giving back is always the hard part. I agree with you and Don, that concentrating more power isn't a good long-term solution in terms of civil rights -- but right now it could be a necessary move to protect more people from massive economic trouble.
Blue, you're certainly right that there are more questions than answers right now -- more questions than are being asked. And Chuck Todd... I give up on Chuck Todd.
Silkstone, I like the sunset idea, or would even like a triggering mechanism -- like, the power doesn't exist unless X, Y, and Z metrics have been passed by the non-bank.
Skewz, I'm on board with the FDIC type approach, or the market-with-clearinghouse type approach that Geithner's also been talking about, for the reasons you state. More regulation and clarity would be particularly helpful with this complex, risky deals.
Great point, Juliet -- that argument about regulation reducing competition is only valid when banks are solvent, so... doesn't seem relevant now.
I admit, ktm, I cheered to hear Roubini supporting the plan (though his argument seems to be that it's a positive step on the path to nationalization -- which I'm not yet sure is the goal, though it seems plausible). Thanks for the link!