Orbital Matters

Saturn Smith

Saturn Smith

Saturn Smith
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Ms.
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The Solar System
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Real name: Jenn Kepka. Still orbiting from far away.

Editor’s Pick
SEPTEMBER 15, 2009 6:56PM

Biden's Near Miss In Iraq Raises Questions

Rate: 12 Flag
Vice President Biden returned to Iraq to visit some friends today, and as a "welcome back" present, the Green Zone where he's staying was hit with four mortars. The Green Zone -- officially, the International Zone -- is the heavily fortified zone where coalition (read: U.S. and British) troops and other officials are stationed. It includes the U.S. embassy, where, at the time of the attack, Biden was headed to bed. 

Was the Vice President in danger? Sure -- I'd hazard a guess that there's no safe place in Iraq for an American Vice President to travel. Was he a target?  That seems a little less likely, but it's not implausible. The New York Times says that "word of his arrival... had been widely broadcast by international and Iraqi news media." So maybe someone decided this was an opportune moment to launch a long-held attack. Should we be concerned? My answer is yes.

I like Joe Biden, and I'm glad he escaped unscathed. Beyond the personal concern, though, this near-miss raises two important questions. First, is it worth the risk to send our vice president to Iraq? Second, will we ever be able to send an American leader to Iraq without significant security risks?

The second question may be impossible to answer, particularly since I can't really tell you if we even consider that a goal anymore.

The first question is complex, as well, and deserves an attempt at answering. Biden's said he went to Iraq to help smooth things out between warring political factions. He's been in close contact with their leaders and apparently he -- or someone in the administration -- feels that a round of face-to-face meetings between top Iraqi leaders and the administration's point man on All Things Iraq is the best way to arrange a political cease fire. Since the January elections are the newest benchmark for progress in Iraq, the Obama administration (and the U.S. in general) has a lot at stake in seeing peaceable politics prosper.

But at what cost? What if those mortars had hit the U.S. embassy, and Joe Biden (god forbid) had been killed in his sleep? Just play that out for a second. Then ask yourself, would America -- could America -- quit a war after the enemy had killed our vice president?

There's a lot to be said for the boost in morale that can accompany the "fearless" visit to the front of a superior official. Presidents past (and candidates, too) have trekked to Iraq for just this reason -- to see but also to be seen among the men and women on the ground. By "being seen," I'm not even talking about the kind of photo-op crap that politicians always engage in; I mean that for soldiers slogging through the heat and the suck of Iraq, for low-level diplomats, probably even for some Iraqi police officers and leaders, the presence of a major American leader in country offers a sense of hope, maybe a flicker of the feeling that Washington isn't so far away. That's priceless, and it probably is worth some increase in risk.

But I hope these trips are being weighed carefully against the heavy burden that a loss coud bring. I don't know what the precise math is, but I do wonder if perhaps the scale isn't tipping further toward risk than reward right now.

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Excellent, thoughtful post, as always, Saturn. Rated.
This post raises unspeakable questions.....
At least Biden didn't have to sneak in and out like his predecessor. And why can't the US even build a friggin fort anymore?

R
ah yes, the pottery barn wars. they don't make em like them used to.

I think there is more inherent danger here with the administration bending backward to show people that civil liberties are alive and well - the gun carrying protesters not being sent to the "zone" as the Bush administration did for people just having unpopular signs or tee shirts. I worry that someone is going to get hurt in one of those crowds sometime soon.

I would like the Obama admin to start being a little more thoughtful about safety for everyone, but I don't know how they would do it without suspending business.

And gotta agree with John. Can we not even build a fort anymore?
Good post. I'll have to ponder the implications for a while.
It comes with the job, dear. The commander in chief is the commander in chief of the Armed Forces, not us civilians. The Vice is just doing his job, since the President is busy.

He has a son there, so he knows about sacrifice.
France under occupation wasn't always the safest place for an imperialist to be, either.

In other words, the more things change, the more they remain the same.
You raise a good point---one that I haven't heard on the media. It would be terrible to have a leader killed in a foreign country.
Saturn,

if it is not 'safe enough' for the VP to be in the 'green zone' or worth the risk to his person to send him there, then how is it worth the risk to our young soldiers to be there?

Biden has already raised his children to adulthood or near adulthood as far as I know. Do you realize that many service members in Iraq have very young children? As between them and an elderly VP, who is more worthy of protection?

As far as dumb-fuck Americans drawing the exact opposite lesson from the VP's hypothetical murder, I agree this is possible. Of course the correct lesson would be 'let's get the fuck out; it is hopeless' but Americans are more likely to want to continue to project power in a hostile nation on the other side of the earth in the event of such assasination.

The whole situation and the way we discuss it is pitiful.
Joe Biden was President Obama's biggest mistake when he was making appointments. The man can't keep his mouth shut and does not think before he speaks. A total embarrassment to the current administration--and often a dangerous one.
I would think that the safety of the VP (whoever he may be) would be of paramount importance and should not have ever been leaked to the press, because you know that they will not honor his security. Yet 2 soldiers died last week in protecting a NYT reporter.
Gee, if Joe isn't safe in the Zona Verde (aka our modern Crusader fort), maybe he isn't safe anywhere. Why are we still in Iraq? The oil? Or at the behest of Israel? I know that Joe is a big, big Zionist supporter. He was there to help reconcile warring factions in Iraq? What? How does THAT make any sense?!
It would be a terrible thing to have the vice president killed by mortar fire. It would also be a terrible thing to have a US soldier killed, or some other US official, or a civilian contractor. It would even be a terrible thing to have a non-US citizen killed by mortar fire. Putting yourself at risk is part of the job of being vice president, whether it is in the Green Zone from mortars or at a healthcare town hall from a gun toting looney quoting Jefferson. I do not think our elected officials should take foolish risks, but I believe it is essential for them to take some risks. Sometimes you cannot send someone else, you have to go yourself.
Good post, Sat.

I'm not sure how I feel about it though. Considering we've had so many many milktoast vice presidents, who were very ineffectual, it's nice to see one who genuinely does something.
Moral boosting should be left to the USO (or Colbert).
Forgive me in advance for going tangential on you Saturn, but you pose a question I'd like to rephrase:
"will we ever be able to send an American leader to [Tampa Bay, Charleston, Atlanta, Baton Rouge] without significant security risks?"
Given the increasing bitterness I am seeing today in America, something Ive not felt since being near the Newark riots in the mid 60's, we have to ask what the risks are to a black American leader even in his own country? If we think killing an American VP in a war zone would tear a gaping hole in this country, how much more would the murder of the President do right now?
Tim, that's definitely the extended question I wonder about. Presidential security has been a problem for almost the whole of the Republic, but it certainly does seem to have escalated faster than technology would suggest it should.

Everyone else, thanks for the comments. I don't mean to minimize in any way the death of a soldier who risks his or her life daily by suggesting that the vice president faces enormous risks when traveling to Iraq. It is, still, a quandary to me.
I like Joe Biden and don't want anything to happen to him. If it did then isn't the next in line Pelosi? It just makes me all warm inside realize how that would really really upset some people.
If (I swear I almost typed 'Dubya') Obama and Biden both stole away home to Jesus and Nancy "Not On The Table" Pelosi was handed the reins, the country would continue along on its GOP-centric course. DINOs, Democrats In Name Only.

What has Obama done that Bush43 would not have done in a third term? Sitting in this muddy water, washing out these dirty clothes.