Ted Frier

Ted Frier
Location
Boston,
Birthday
April 02
Title
Speechwriter
Bio
Ted Frier is an author and former political reporter turned speechwriter who at one time served as communications director for the Massachusetts Republican Party, helping Bill Weld become the first Bay State Republican in a generation to be elected Governor. He was Chief Speechwriter for Republican Governor Paul Cellucci and Lt. Governor Jane Swift. Ted is also the author of the hardly-read 1992 history "Time for a Change: The Return of the Republican Party in Massachusetts." So, why the current hostility to the Republican Party and what passes for conservatism today? The Republican Party was once a national governing party that looked out for the interests of the nation as a whole. Now it is the wholly-owned subsidiary of self interest. Conservatism once sought national unity to promote social peace and harmony. Now conservatism has devolved into a right wing mutation that uses divide and conquer tactics to promote the solidarity of certain social sub-groups united against the larger society while preserving the privileges of a few.

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SEPTEMBER 2, 2012 10:47AM

Deficits don't matter to America's Oligarchy

Rate: 9 Flag

Labor may indeed deserve much the higher consideration, as we are reminded by that first Republican president, Abraham Lincoln, who said labor is superior to capital since capital is but the fruit of labor and could never have existed had labor not existed first. But on this Labor Day I would still like to talk about capitalism, and in particular the deficits, debts and borrowing that go with it.

The inconsistencies in the Republican Party's position on federal budget deficits are too gross for these contradictions to be completely explained away as rank hypocrisy or political opportunism.

Eight years of reckless fiscal profligacy were not enough to provoke the GOP's anti-government Tea Party factions to take to the streets in protest.

Nor have hysterical warnings of imminent national insolvency been enough to inspire the celebrated "deficit hawk" Paul Ryan to produce a federal budget plan that does anything more than increase the national deficit, and by $2.5 trillion. Neither does Ryan envision producing balanced budgets until well into the 2030s, as he finally admitted to Fox News host Brit Hume after relentless grilling.

Equally unsatisfactory is the suggestion that Republicans are not really concerned with deficits at all, but instead use fear-mongering over the nation's debts to cut spending as a prelude to further tax cuts for the rich. Naked self-interest is a terrible thing, to be sure, but still does not suffice as an explanation for the GOP's deficit-fever.

In short, hypocrisy, cynical opportunism and crass self-interest all fall short as reasons for the Republican Party's lack of credibility as "fiscal conservatives" on debts and deficits. All fail to account for the symbiotic relationship between government and high finance or how closely the rentier classes' profits are linked to its ability to exploit government's powers and resources for its own selfish purposes.

What we know from the radical changes that have taken place in the US economy over the last 30 years - as Wall Street and finance have replaced manufacturing as our most important industry, making up 25% of the economy and earning more than 40% of all corporate profits -- is that the so-called private "free market" has become an extension of government itself since the manufacture of the signature product of this new economy - debt - is impossible without the laws that define it.

Nor, it turns out, is it really possible to operate in an economy so heavily reliant on exotic financial derivatives and other complex forms of debt without controlling the government itself, and with it government's ability to control the timing of the expansion and contraction of credit so as to make and protect the profits of vested interests and insiders.

This may be why Michael Lind, Policy Director of the Economic Growth Program at the New America Foundation, recently said that Republicans are not really a "pro-business" party at all but rather a "pro-investor" one instead. And since today's richest Americans hold so much of their wealth in financial assets that are not adjusted for inflation, Lind says "the creditor elite in every modern country wants central banks to stamp out all forms of inflation (other than asset inflation) no matter the consequences to economic growth or employment."

If Republicans really believed federal deficits were mortal threats to the economy they would try to do more to prevent them, which they don't.

Instead, the wildcat "boom/bust" cycles of yesteryear, in which everyone seemed to suffer, have been replaced by a new business cycle in which a plutocratic elite with its hand securely on the levers of power is able to manipulate government policy in its favor - loosening the controls on money to fuel its high-stakes speculations then slamming on the brakes to impose economy-suffocating austerity that preserves its ill-gotten paper gains against the erosion of inflation - no matter the price that must be paid by the poor in terms of critical programs eliminated or shrunken life's prospects.

And how much better for Republicans if those Boom years of what economic historian Kevin Phillips calls "go-go capitalism" coincide with Republican administrations while the Busts that must be cleaned up once the bubbles burst are left for Democratic ones.

One reason it's short-sighted to think there's a separate and distinct "free market" that produces wealth and profits apart from that market's entangling alliance with government, is that throughout history one of the most reliable generators of private fortunes has been a function that practically defines the modern state - war.

As historian Gordon Wood writes in his new book about the origins of the United States, we are just beginning to understand how the Revolutionary War, like all other wars, "radically transformed America's society and economy."

The needs of the army for everything from blankets to wagons, meat to rum, created a host of new manufacturing and entrepreneurial interests "and made market farmers out of husbandmen" who had scarcely ever traded with others before, writes Wood.

To pay for the needs of the army, Revolutionary governments issued between $400 to $450 million dollars in paper money, which was a huge amount for a barter economy accustomed to paying for medical care with chickens, as one unfortunate Republican candidate recently reminded us.

Indeed, said Wood, "no event in the 18th century accelerated the capitalistic development of America more than did the Revolutionary War."

Economic troubles began not with the onset of war, said Wood, but with its termination -- and with it government's wartime purchases as well.

"Too many people had too many heightened expectations and were into the market and the consumption of luxuries too deeply to make any easy adjustments to peace," Wood writes.

The collapse of internal markets that resulted from the drying up of paper money "meant diminished incomes, overextended businesses, swollen inventories of imported manufacturers of debt-laden farmers and traders," Woods said. "The responses of people hurt by these developments were very comprehensive. They simply wanted to continue what they had done during the war"

It was not enough, as Wood quotes one defender of paper money saying, to have an industrious people or a fertile territory. "Money was essential too."

Under Alexander Hamilton, the new federal government's decision to repay Revolutionary War debts at par, instead of pennies on the dollar as many war widows and veterans thought they'd be getting for their unpaid certificates, produced not only a speculative mania but perhaps also one of the nation's first financial scandals as insiders exploited their access to government to swindle the deserving poor out of what was rightfully theirs.

Kevin Phillips documents a similar effect during the Civil War. The Union defeat at Bull Run completed the Hamiltonian transformation of the US economy as prospects of a long war convinced the Lincoln government to create a wartime income tax, to borrow in excess of $2.5 billion and to shift the basis of the Union's currency from gold to paper "greenbacks" in order to produce what Phillips called a "tidal wave" of government investment in northern manufacturing.

"Once the short term dislocations at the beginning of the war were past, businessmen could see the gravy train coming down the track," said Phillips.

Indeed, says Phillips, financier William Dodge wrote to a friend at around the same time 50,000 lay dead or dying in the wheat fields and peach orchards around a small Pennsylvania town called Gettysburg: "Things here at the North are in a great state of prosperity. You have no idea of it. The large amount of money expended by the government has given activity to everything.  The railroads and manufacturers of all kids -- except cotton -- were never doing so well."

William Dodge would no doubt have laughed out loud at Mitt Romney's assertion that America's businesses built their companies and their fortunes entirely by themselves, without the slightest assistance from the government and so without the accompanying obligation to pay anything back.

But in addition to creating private wealth for the fortunate few, the massive Civil War-era industrial investments also produced a near doubling of the commodity price index which provoked an equally abrupt shift to austerity as Congress in 1869 passed the Public Credit Act, making all government obligations redeemable in gold.

America's historical curiosity has largely bypassed the heated conflicts over currency that once produced a Greenback Party, or peculiar controversies like "bimetallism" or such memorable political rhetoric as that voiced by William Jennings Bryan at the 1896 Democratic convention, when he defied advocates of the gold standard by thundering: "You shall not press down upon the brow of labor this crown of thorns. You shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold."

Just try rousing a Tea Party (or Occupy Wall Street) rally today with shouts of "Free Silver!"

Nevertheless, Reconstruction-era farmers howled at the sudden shift to "hard money" that creditors and Eastern bankers demanded to secure their fortunes but which meant the value of farmer's debts would soar while the price for farm products would fall, and by 25% below even 1860 levels. At the same time, as Phillips points out, speculators who bought bonds with greenbacks worth forty cents on the dollar (in gold) made a killing once the government changed the rules of the game in mid-stream.

The size and speed of the government's investment in the Civil War economy was "mind-boggling," says Phillips, and enabled the United States to achieve the same level of industrial development in four decades that it had taken Great Britain nearly a century to complete.

This same "boom and bust" phenomenon can be seen after each of America's successive wars as well, says Phillips, as the tidal wave of investment creates fortunes for a few while distributing the burdens of the receding tides of inflation to the rest.

Frequently, these war-generated inflationary periods are followed by disinflationary ones where the abundant liquidity thus created makes speculation rampant. This is what distinguished the Gilded Age after the Civil War, the Roaring 20s after World War I and the speculative booms of the 1980s and 90s following the War in Vietnam where many Americans were left out but "heyday psychologies" dominated until the bubble broke.

Those given to conspiracy theories may wonder if these "fortunes of war" are the real reason Paul Ryan and Mitt Romney have left the defense department untouched while decimating other discretionary programs at a time when the US spends more on war-making than all other nations combined. As the late Chalmers Johnson once observed: "When war becomes this profitable, we're going to see more of it."

Just as a lucky few are able to benefit from the government's investments in war-making, so too economic elites are able to cash in by taking over another critical function of the state - control of the money supply.

Low taxes and weak regulations over the structure of credit allow a well-connected plutocracy to expand credit and the money supply virtually without limit during those short periods when they can make their speculative fortunes - and then hit the brakes on government spending (as Republicans are doing now) to smother any signs of inflation that might rob them of their gains.  

Leave aside the all too plausible conspiracy theory that right wing Republicans deliberately manufacture budget crises in order to facilitate the dismantling of the federal government. More than mendacity or hypocrisy is at work regarding those Republican "deficit hawks" who prey aloft during Democratic administrations but retract their talons during Republican ones when conservatives behave as though (in Dick Cheney's infamous words) "deficits don't matter."

Looked at this way, we can see why debts and deficits are immaterial to Republicans in and of themselves since deficits are really just one facet of a new finance-centric business cycle where periods of debt-soaked speculation are paired with those of inflation-suppressing austerity, whose duration and timing America's oligarchs need possession of the government to control for themselves.

As we saw during the recent Republican National Convention, false dichotomies are an integral part of conservative ideology and storytelling. As Republicans promote their economic program they are also inventing a false division in which the virtuous free market ethic embraced by small business "entrepreneurs" competes with crippling dependency on "Big Government" and the corruptions of that mutant form of the free market known as "crony capitalism" where government clients feed like parasites at the public trough.

But if history is any guide, it will never be possible to make a clean break between "good" capitalism and "bad" capitalism by relying on the celebrated self-policing powers of the free market alone - not if it's a free market, it must be emphasized, whose driving force is that amoral and even corrupting incentive called "the profit motive."

Only an egalitarian civic ethic that makes the real needs of real human beings its ultimate priority - and is as sensitive to abuses from private corporations as from government authorities - will find the wisdom to fashion public power in such a way that it protects and preserves the freedoms we all revere without exciting the capacity to oppress.

"A pure market economy is an ideological fantasy," says Washington Post business writer Steven Pearlstein. "Even the freest markets operate in a framework of laws, infrastructure, institutions and informal norms of behavior in which government is heavily implicated. Our challenge is in getting that framework right."

Of course, says Pearlstein, that has not stopped conservatives like Allan Meltzer of Carnegie Mellon University from equating government with the straw men of socialism and communism -- "as if anyone in America is seriously proposing them these days."

Like lots of conservatives who seem intent on converting capitalism from an economic system into a moral and philosophical one (perhaps to disguise its empirical flaws), Meltzer must be spending too much time rereading Kant and John Locke if he seriously believes "capitalism's secret is how well it disperses political and economic power," writes Pearlstein.

To entertain such a view, says Pearlstein, one must be oblivious to the role of money in American politics as well as the "harsh realities" of global competition. A view of of capitalism as virtuous may come easily to someone working on a campus endowed by the Carnegies and the Mellons, says Pearlstein, but it is precisely capitalism's tendency to concentrate wealth and power rather than disperse it that "animates our disillusionment" with the misnamed "free" market.

To create a distinction, for ideological reasons, and as Republicans have done, between a private market system allegedly rooted in freedom, and a government-centric one coterminous with tyranny, is to deliberately misunderstand the nature of power and the vulnerability we all face from exploitation at the hands of those who exercise power, whatever its source.

And this is especially true regarding those whose wealth and position allow them to wield public power for private gain, as they do in that form of government known as "Oligarchy."      

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When it comes to deficit reduction and controlling government spending, Republicans are as terrible as Democrats, which is why we are headed for Greece no matter who is in power.

The fiscal cliff we are facing will never be solved by a Romney or Obama. The federal government has about $211 trillion in unfunded liabilities -- an absolute insane number that will never, ever be possible to pay -- yet older generations will never, ever allow any cuts in entitlements.

You make a good point about the incestuous relationship between government, war, and the military industrial complex.

We spend on "defense" something like the combined total of what the next ten highest nations spend on defense. This too is insane and unsustainable. Yet mention cutting "defense" spending and see the uproar by Democratic and Republican members in Congress about the loss of military contracting jobs in their districts.

Again, it's hard to see how we don't end in a Greece-style fiscal crises. It's not a matter of "if," but "when."
This is why I say, and continue to say, their "position" is not based on politics or the interests of the nation, but on cultural developments that are not likely to change anytime soon.

The saving grace is realizing this is a historical movement like that seen throughout history in "advanced" nations. There will always be this sort of division in the populace--always the call of the approaching apocalypse.

What I do not agree with is running away from it, which is also the common response of those who know better. Democracy must be fought for, generation after generation. If the electorate does not agree to vote for the candidates who most serve their bests interests, for one reason of another, there can be no progress.

Who wears the hat of the reactionary vs. the progressive will change, but the psychology that produces it is always present no matter how unconscious to a broad swath of the electorate.

Without a historical perspective, or one that entails some knowledge of the world around us, the only recourse is to the front pages, the demagogues and the ruling class. The right wins most of the time by default. (or force.)

Note: Nobody, not in the entire discussion I've seen, has mentioned that Eastwood won his fame and wealth portraying working class heroes. Yet he has thrown them out with the bathwater. That's a hard ass.

Have you been watching Network on HBO? It's a bingo that took an independant network. We aren't alone.
Ben,

Great point about Eastwood. I hadn't thought of that. I wonder how many feel betrayed? Democracy fought for generation after generation. That is not an empty cliche any longer. Yes, I love Newsroom. Similar to West Wing but takes it up a notch. West Wing was fictional. Newsroom is willing to name names. I think that unsubtle, two-by-four over the head approach just shows how perilous Sorkin thinks the times we live in have become and how many people, as you've said in the past, are sleep-walking through history.
I think Larry misses the point. The debt can never be repaid because doing so under the existing financial and distributive templates is impossible. Because the debt can be used as an excuse to exercise power, I doubt the oligarchs want it paid off. It's their pathway to privatizing public "common good" assets.

They can maintain the fraud by throwing a few coins at the ideological "think" tanks, and those people whose ideas are frozen in time with the ideas of the long dead. They'll continue to frame a completely skewed economic system in terms of the old one. Don't tax the wealthy, they need that money to invest and create jobs! Haven't you read (insert dead economist here)?
The preferred ideology of the oligarchs is Larry's Right-Libertarianism, as that is nothing but an excuse for wealth-rule. And they call it "liberty." They even want to tell ya it's the idea America was founded upon. Anyway, so much for that destructive BS...

What we have is a country that's been stripped of wealth, and a blob of numeric computer notations that we erroneously call "capital." This blob of wealth is far beyond what can become productive investment and way out of context within what most would consider a functional economy and a free people. This capital-without-context is simply "power," but only if we continue to be convinced the old models still apply. We must necessarily negate that power if we want to maintain liberty, but how that's done is something a very knowledgeable and pro-people economist needs to devise. Wage and price inflation would help, but, as Ted points out and some of us have known for awhile, the Fed is invested in maintaining grossly inflated assets at par. That's what Quantitative Easing does.

Hang the libertarians along with the oligarchs, reduce paper wealth until it aligns with the true value of assets and stays within the bounds of only productive investment and reasonable savings. It's that, or surrender freedom along with public assets to the privatizing pirates.
an engaging description of the ineffectuality of elective oligarchy.

american politicians are spending other people's money, and the bills will be paid so far in the future that they can be ignored. at the same time, getting elected depends in part in bribing special interests from the general treasure. little wonder that management of the nation does not rise above the economy of a bandit gang.
Very sound distinction between favoring the investor class rather than the businesses themselves Ted. As for the deficits, the Republicans have been continuing with the Reagan supply-side strategy, the one articulated by David Stockman in the famous Atlantic article. They knew that the tax cuts wouldn’t pay for themselves and the real motive was to produce prodigious deficits which they could then use to savage social programs. Nothing has changed since then.

While under any scenario the budget won’t be balanced for many years, a serious approach would be to sharply raise taxes on the highest income earners, rebalance taxes by cutting corporate taxes and implementing a consumption tax (with credits for the poorest) that should include a carbon tax. Spending cuts should focus on the military so that instead of the US spending as much as the next 20 biggest spenders, it could be reduced to the next top 10 or so.
Right PJO: the Bankster oligarchs are calling for the criminalization of fractional reserve banking and for the abolition of the Fed, the FDIC, the FHA, and the SEC; the pharmaceutical oligarchs are calling for the abolition of the FDA and Medicare; and many other business oligarchs are calling for the abolition of the Sherman Act, import tariffs and patent laws.

Hmmm, turns out none of this is true. It turns out the oligarchs favor the ideology of fascism, not libertarianism. PJO is wrong again.

Don't worry PJO. Estate taxes are scheduled to automatically increase dramatically at the end of this year if Congress does nothing. "Rich" people's estates will be taxed at much greater levels when they die on or after January 1, 2013.

So you'll get what you want—an infinitesimal increase in the probability that $211 trillion in unfunded liabilities will be funded, and the scene of many families being forced to liquidate family farms, businesses, ranches and other assets in order to pay the tax.
Why are deficits so concerning to you? We've had like 3 years in the last 100 where we weren't running the government on deficit spending, and if you think it's bad now, wait until budget cuts and austerity measures hit. They will plunge this fragile economy into ruin that will last for 2 decades and make The Great Depression seem quaint.

During recessions, you gotta spend. It's the only way out. Austerity measures should come during the
'boom cycle'. In this way, you get a steady, stable economy.

Republican presidents, first Reagan, then Bush 43, ushered in new eras of deficit spending which dwarfed their predecessors (with Reagan, deficit spending when from @$50 billion/year to $300 billion/year, and with Bush it went from about a half trillion dollars/year to right around $2 trillion/year). And, while doing this, each increased taxes for all americans except the uber-rich. (under Reagan, INCOME Tax went down for everyone, but the overall federal tax burden increased for all but the super-wealthy)

So...um...what did you expect?
Larry,
Perhaps your first lesson in the undeserved power of wealth. It takes the parts of an ideology that benefits it and throws the rest away. Property is sacrosanct and who gives a damn about the rest of it. Because libertarianism is ignorant of power in that form, you're bound to have never considered it.

Therefore, the Super Heroes of the libertarian comic book, like Competition Man, Rational Market Man and Liberty Woman don't get any attention. Well, except when Liberty Woman fires her laser-eyes and spells Liberty is Property, period! across the night sky. The rest of the time the libertarian heroes sit in their Fortress of Solicitude, waiting to be paid for oligarchic apologia, gazing at their navels whilst pondering the absolute meaning of liberty. Occasionally they take a break from that to polish their brass motto: We Will Defeat Undue Power By Ignoring it.

Yes, Larry, they don't love you for your mind, such as it is. They only like you because you're a willing and easy lay.
Robert Young on Open Salon has sagely remarked that GOPsters fixations with the budget deficit reflect the old principles of Hoovernomics. The Republicans wish for an economic collapse on Obama's watch more than anything. Such a thing would of course absolve them of taking any blame for the crash of 2008. But more importantly, the corresponding deflation of another great depression would be a welcome tonic for anyone holding massive amounts of cash in a bank. As prices fell, the value of all dollars would increase substantially. As a result, deflation for the very rich represents a risk free investment. And on top of that, future assets could be purchased by the rich for ever cheaper prices.

Of course there would be that little problem of widespread social unrest, starvation, etc, etc, etc.
lefty - it's not the 1930s. The devaluation of the dollar, which is still the currency with which goods and services are traded around the world, would destroy that liquid wealth much more than any domestic deflation would increase it.

The boon, which Obama is pushing for as much as any GOPer comes from the reduced price of labor.

We're too expensive to compete on the world market. I don't know if this is the best solution for that, but it's a solution.

SLOWEST RECOVERY (not complete yet) IN MODERN AMERICAN ECONOMIC HISTORY.

The recession was Bush's fault. The lacking recovery, at this point, falls squarely on Obama's shoulders (as much as one can blame a president for the economy, en masse, which is not a lot, but since they get credit when it's good...)
So much food for thought about the swelling of the investor class and the growh of the financial sector far beyond other compoents of the economy. Thanks, too, for the explication of late 19th century cycles, a subject I'm weak on. But I'm interested in questions Malcolm XY raised in his first comment: why are you/anyone hung up on deficits ? Didn't we have much larger deficits proportionately when WWII ended? When has the national debt been this "crushing burden that our children and grandchildren will suffer under"? I realize that the post-WWII world is now our current world ssituation but we are not in the situation Greece is today either. I'd be interested in your thoughts on this dimension, Ted. [r]
Ted, I guess I asked you the wrong question in my preceding comment--asking you to explain a position you yourself reject. It just seems to me that at face value big deficits and big debts have never crippled the economy or led to crises in themselves in US history. I'm wondering why any serious person really believes they are terribly dangerous and under what circumstances. Or is all the fear-mongering just propaganda? Maybe someone else will volunteer to respond.
Donegal,

Thank for your comment, and you answered your own question yourself: I am not hung up on deficits because the problem with them is not their absolute size but their relation to the rest of the economy. Republicans want to get voters to think of the nation's finances as no different from the family's finances as they sit around the kitchen table. But "money" is entirely different for a nation than for a family. For families money is two dimensional -- it is what they use to buy things, and so at the end of the day what goes out must balance what comes in. But for a nation money is just a resource that unlocks economic activity and potential -- think of it like blood running through the bodies circulatory system. Its three dimensional and so there is no need to obsess about balancing the budget, just managing it. Deficits only matter to conservatives after they've made their killing on debt-fueled speculation and want to protect those paper gains against erosion by inflation, even at the expense of the rest of the economy. But even here conservatives are wrong about the dangers of inflation since inflation is too much money chasing too few goods and when a nation puts more money into the economy through stimulus it creates new jobs jobs and opens shuttered factories thus creating MORE goods and more economic activity. It's the same basic idea that conservatives push with their supply side theory except that the funds are being provided by public rather than the private sector and without the outsized gains that go to Wall Streets "job creators." Conservatives will complain that government never creates jobs, but we know they don't believe that or else they wouldn't use that very same argument about jobs to defend their increases in defense.