TimingLogic's Blog

Reasoned, Relevant And Often Contrarian Commentary On Economics

TimingLogic

TimingLogic
Birthday
November 07
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I'm an electrical engineer and mathematician by training. My career has spanned diverse areas of expertise from being part of a team which designed the world's most powerful computers to corporate consulting around business transformation and information-based solutions to being a corporate sales and marketing executive in the information technology and business consulting space. I’ve led teams responsible for innovative and transformative solutions and been part of teams that helped set strategy for many of America's greatest companies. Two of my interests are econometrics, democratic finance and quantitative - qualitative analysis. Over the years I have developed risk-based models and trading systems meant to identify significant investment opportunities and periods of extreme risk. My blog is an outlet for another of my passions, writing. I generally consider myself a contrarian. Therefore, many of my rantings are meant to encourage people to question what they believe to be true. Terms of Use & Disclaimer: First off, I don't take anything on here too seriously and you shouldn't either. These are simply sardonic rantings of Bill, my alter ego, often meant to agitate for peaceful & nonviolent reform. This web site reflects the views of its authors. It is unaffiliated with any NASD broker/dealer. Statements on this site do not represent the views or policies of anyone other than its authors. The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes, comedic relief and entertainment only and are not investing recommendations. The authors may have positions in securities mentioned herein. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities. While information discussed on this site was gathered from what are believed to be reliable sources, in no way is informational accuracy guaranteed. All information on this site may contain errors and omissions. Trading and investing involves high levels of risk. Always consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Authors of this site and any sites which are fed by said site, including Open Salon and others, will assume no responsibility for the actions of the reader and user. Readers and users agree, as condition to accessing this site, to release and hold harmless this site's authors from all liability in connection with this site or any views posted on this site. All readers and users of this site agree that use of this site requires acceptance to the current Terms Of Use & Disclaimer and that current terms include any and all use and material from site inception. If you do not understand these statements in their entirety or do not agree to be bound by this current agreement, you must immediately discontinue use of this site. This Terms Of Use & Disclaimer may change at any time and it is the reader's and user's responsibility to review, understand and abide by any updates.

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OCTOBER 5, 2012 10:36AM

A Dose Of Reality On The Collapsing Employment Picture–Personal Income In Michigan Has Dropped 11% Under Obama And 27% In The Last Decade

Rate: 2 Flag

How about a dose of reality to offset government’s mockery of employment. Michigan personal income has dropped 27% since 1999 and 11% since Obama took office. Similarly dreary numbers are shared by most states.  

At this rate, Obama’s plan of having us all work for minimum wage will be complete in no time.  Change you can believe in.

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Way back in the mid 1970's -we knew that we were going to have to play nice and share with the rest of the planet. I remember the charts and graphs on consumption - there was no way the rest of the world was going to carry our asses as they had been for nearly a hundred years.
I pay less now for a dress shirt then I did in 1980 - but a gallon of gas costs nearly five bucks - and I was shocked when it went over a dollar per gallon.

I believe that we lost the mandate in 2000 - and by invading Iraq in 2003 we proved that we were not what we once were - and had become somthing less deserving of the worlds respect - 2008 iced that cake and we are quite lucky to be doing as well as we are.

When it is you vs the world - bet on the world.
"When it is you against the world..." Indeed. But, it isn't the American people against the world. It is the power of the American military, corporations and politicians. We The People are part of the rest of the world. Don't bet against our nation's citizens. Bet against the continuation of corruption and hegemony. A collapse of American hegemony is wildly positive for American democracy.
From "The Daily Pfenning" by Chuck Butler, President EverBank World Markets:

"This will be real quick folks, and will center around the Jobs data from last Friday. We've all heard the cries from all corners about how those numbers were suspect, fishy, and questionable. to me, that's all par for the course, and therefore don't get all lathered up about it, for it happens nearly every time data prints in this country. The two things I'll point out about the Jobs report, that showed 114,000 new jobs created (no biggie), but also a drop in the unemployment rate from 8.1% to 7.8%... WOW! Now that's something to beat the drum about, eh?

Unfortunately, only those that know how the BLS actually calculates this unemployment rate, know better than to get all lathered up about this drop, when the jobs created are miniscule. As I've explained here for years, when an unemployed person, has their unemployment benefits expire, and they give up looking for a job, the are, in the infinite wisdom of the BLS, no longer counted as "unemployed". I kid you not! The person is still unemployed, but. the BLS no longer counts them as such. So, when you have tons of people that drop out of the "looking for a high paying job like the one they had game", the unemployment rate drops.

So, if you're new to class, this is how the data is recorded. Doesn't make sense, I know. A simple check of John Williams' website: Shadowstats.com, shows that when you actually count unemployed people the unemployment rate is 22.8%! that's a long way from 7.8%, eh? If we could only account for things as is, and not cook the books.

And then there's also this ditty that was in the report. September saw the largest monthly gain, ever, in Gov't workers hired. Now tell me that isn't a political move? I'm not going to get into that last thought, but it is what it is."

-R-
First, Obama doesn't have a plan to have us all working for minimum wage. For you to make such a claim is fairly ridiculous. 2nd, the unemployment we are currently experiencing can be fairly laid at the feet of the most recent Republican president, not President Obama.
Mark, I missed your link to Shadowstats when I first read your remark. Yeah, I think most would tell you John Williams is the foremost authority on how government has changed statistics over the years and what real government-reported data truly is.

Real underemployment and unemployment is likely some number that neither you or I would scoff at. ie, as much as 50% probably don't have a sustainable wage without some form of government transfer payment assistance be that SS, Medicaid, Medicare, unemployment, welfare, aid to families with dependent children, disability etc.

Anyone who opens their eyes sees the truth. I believe at last count I saw over 2 million people have dropped off of unemployment and who knows how many more just gave up looking as I am sure you know.

As for the comment below yours, you need to wake up. You are still in this false left right paradigm. Obama is a corporatist. Corporatists want cheap, obedient labor. His bailout of the auto workers slashed pay by 50% for new workers. If you think Bush had much of anything to do with this other than sustaining a system of massive corruption, you are in so deep, may God help you. The underpinnings of gains made by democracy have been eroding since 1947, That's when the National Security Act was passed that created the military-industrial complex and your master. (And Obama's) And, also the Taft-Hartley Act that was the first major blow to totally obliterating labor (democracy) in our economy. I fear you are clearly not ready for what is yet to come. Obama is a war and police state corporatist.