North of Hollywood

DECEMBER 29, 2009 8:01PM

Will Amazon.com Destroy Bookstores, Publishers and Writers?

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There's a lively little comment thread going over at Ed Gorman's blog reacting to his post about how many of the best selling books for the Kindle are free. Crime fiction writer Dave Zeltserman commented, “Didn't mean to delete my comment, which was about Matt's reasonable anger towards where the kindle will be taking us--death of bookstores, death of publishers, and eventually the death books, at least those written by professional authors (since there will be no way to make money with novels).”

I'm amazed at the apocalyptic alarmism about the imminent death of bookstores, publishing and professional writers caused by the introduction of the Kindle and other reading gadgets.

If the Kindle et al are selling as well as their proponents are claiming, it means that there are a surprisingly large number of people so enthusiastic about reading that they are willing to invest $200+ just to read books.

Where there are enthusiastic readers there is a robust market for books. Where there is a market for books, in any format, there are commercial opportunities to exploit textual content.

If walk-in bookstores are slowly supplanted by electronic only books, so what? Books will still be read, only in different ways.

Although Kindle owners might like all books to be free, it won't happen. Writing is a time intensive occupation that most people can't pursue if they aren't able to generate at least a subsistence income. There will always be a lot of cheap or even free ebooks from frustrated writers unable to interest reputable publishers in their books who utilized vanity presses and POD in the past. Most readers will ignore those books, as they do now.

With the flood of available content, there will remain a need for some system readers can rely upon to sift the dross from the gold. Right now, agents, publishers and the admittedly declining venues for reviews serve that function. The need for qualitative ratings will remain. Some system will arise to satisfy it.

I'm not scared about Amazon's prospects for world domination. It remains to be seen whether the Kindle, with its proprietary software, will conquer the ereader category. There are already alternatives to Amazon, like Sribd, where writers can make texts available in a variety of formats and set their own price. More such sites are likely to spring up. But, assuming that Amazon eventually becomes the sole publisher of books, they can only make a profit charging for them, and the talented writer will still have a publisher seeking to purchase their writing.

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My optimism surprises me on days like today. I have no dog in this fight at the moment. I consider myself an interested outsider, intelligently observing and analyzing literary trends.
Well...since one of the great joys of my life is going to book stores and just browsing through stack after stack…I certainly hope the prophets of doom for book stores are very, very wrong. Like you, Peter, I tend to very much doubt they will go away.

As for concerns about authors being able to make a buck by writing…well, I am sure in a competitive age like the one in which we live, anyone who can wring a dime out of anything will manage to do so. I think one thing people who enjoy writing ought to consider, however, is that making a buck out of writing is very much like making a buck out of being a terrific baseball, football, or basketball player. It happens, but mostly it is going to be very small potatoes…and only the very best (and the luckiest) will ever do it for “a living.” Even people doing it for “a living” mention that it mostly is a very modest “living” at that.

I’ve only sold on piece in all the years I’ve been writing. NEWSWEEK pays a stipend of $1000 for a MY TURN…and I was lucky enough to land one once.

In any case, I agree with you that the sky is not falling here.
I think the boxer bomber and the TSA dealt a significant blow to the ebook industry recently. By prohibiting electronic device usage for the last hour of flights, more people will probably bring a paperback book to occupy that time with.
Most plane trips last hours, leaving several hours to use electronic devices, even if one hour is truncated. Also, I bet that the TSA rule will be rescinded.
Frank:

"Even people doing it for “a living” mention that it mostly is a very modest “living” at that."

You're certainly correct. Too many writers turn themselves inside out trying to get that one big score. You should write because you enjoy it, since that's usually your only reward.

If you own the rights to your Newsweek piece, you should publish it on OS.
Thank you for this. One can find faults with anything, but amazon ereading has given hope to lots of writers who would spend years and years going through agents who go through editors who go through committee who go through publishing heads. May most books pub. on Kindle will never make it to the shelf of a big bookstore, but I'm going to say that most writers are not in it for the money...if they were and has even a glimmer of insight into the mainstream publishing business, we do a Hemingway.